Torn-Myth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$325

Unrealized P&L

+$1.37K

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,255

lifetime

Volume

$392.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

$13.3K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-22 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

69% 50% +$153

Other

30% 46% +$172

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+12,461	$8,945	70¢	$8.8K	$-160	07-20 12:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+4,000	$3,490	86¢	$3.5K	$-30	07-08 03:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$880	92¢	$915	+$35	07-02 01:54
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+247	$-1,263	66¢	$161	+$1,425	07-14 12:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	-4	$-104	34¢	$-1	+$103	06-11 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	377	$41.6K	82,176	83,764	-1,587	open	—	05-27 12:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	29	$37.9K	33,115	20,654	+12,461	open	—	07-20 12:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	134	$37.3K	39,011	36,791	+2,221	open	—	05-24 20:23
Fed rate hike in 2026?	55	$20.6K	20,336	20,094	+242	open	—	07-14 12:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	18	$19.3K	10,347	11,345	-998	open	—	05-21 10:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	81	$19.2K	15,492	13,576	+1,916	open	—	05-23 11:24
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	56	$17.1K	9,578	9,578	+0	open	—	07-16 03:12
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	63	$13.5K	12,905	12,905	+0	open	—	06-08 23:20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	91	$11.9K	43,221	33,287	+9,934	open	—	05-28 18:10
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	94	$11.3K	11,140	11,140	+0	open	—	07-13 04:34
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	54	$10.2K	8,823	4,659	+4,164	open	—	07-22 12:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	24	$10.2K	8,218	8,218	+0	open	—	05-22 13:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	29	$7.8K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	06-12 03:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	25	$6.2K	5,852	5,852	+0	open	—	05-23 10:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	77	$5.3K	10,164	10,688	-524	open	—	05-08 19:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$5.3K	3,444	3,430	+14	open	—	06-14 22:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$5.2K	5,000	1,000	+4,000	open	—	07-08 03:00
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	53	$4.8K	6,302	3,326	+2,976	open	—	07-13 11:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	26	$4.5K	5,682	5,861	-180	open	—	05-23 13:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	28	$4.4K	3,580	2,341	+1,239	open	—	05-25 09:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$4.4K	2,151	2,600	-449	open	—	04-22 02:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	18	$4.0K	4,628	4,627	+1	open	—	05-18 15:11
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	8	$3.9K	5,413	353	+5,060	open	—	06-14 18:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	-0	open	—	06-12 01:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	25	$3.6K	4,298	2,839	+1,460	open	—	05-20 16:45
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	8	$2.9K	1,799	1,799	+0	open	—	07-14 08:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	29	$2.9K	2,545	2,475	+69	Down	+$898	05-04 13:00
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	10	$2.8K	1,569	1,569	+0	open	—	07-12 00:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	36	$2.7K	2,090	2,090	+0	open	—	06-12 12:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	20	$2.6K	3,456	3,844	-388	open	—	05-21 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 02:29:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,570	4¢	$55	0xa1ede7…
07-23 01:34:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	2,000	38¢	$760	0x744a2a…
07-23 01:29:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	1,618	39¢	$631	0x2e4740…
07-22 12:38:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x92d910…
07-22 12:09:46	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3828ca…
07-22 12:05:22	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x82234b…
07-22 12:04:09	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x040c4c…
07-22 06:41:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	1,997	41¢	$819	0x7ab2c9…
07-22 04:20:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x711688…
07-21 03:14:15	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	400	76¢	$304	0x338f28…
07-21 03:12:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe09b05…
07-21 03:11:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	400	42¢	$168	0xd9c258…
07-20 12:05:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,365	78¢	$1,064	0x490cb2…
07-20 12:03:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa2389f…
07-20 12:02:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	634	78¢	$494	0x39ac44…
07-20 11:36:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,838	78¢	$1,433	0x090a6a…
07-20 11:32:27	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	2,882	75¢	$2,162	0xbb63ba…
07-20 10:47:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,701	76¢	$2,053	0x61ec8a…
07-17 12:12:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	87	62¢	$54	0xbcbdba…
07-17 12:12:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	124	62¢	$77	0x6ac331…
07-17 08:50:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	140	72¢	$101	0x9a09c4…
07-17 08:32:40	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	164	76¢	$125	0x30742d…
07-17 05:32:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	78¢	$3,900	0x5713f6…
07-16 03:12:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	950	100¢	$948	0xd99d9e…
07-16 02:57:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1,000	46¢	$460	0x37b6f2…
07-16 02:25:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc994fc…
07-16 02:25:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11,414	76¢	$8,675	0xfcbb3b…
07-16 01:57:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1,000	45¢	$450	0x9f41c5…
07-16 01:50:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	610	85¢	$519	0x26ce36…
07-16 01:44:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	76¢	$3,800	0x273b2f…
07-16 01:43:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	76¢	$3,800	0x138648…
07-15 19:33:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0x228733…
07-15 12:04:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	650	95¢	$620	0x9bb45d…
07-15 12:02:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x1bcce1…
07-14 12:31:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	54¢	$2,160	0x6b2f47…
07-14 09:09:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	49	67¢	$33	0x4182c8…
07-14 08:32:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	610	75¢	$458	0x66ae1e…
07-14 08:11:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	784	82¢	$643	0x183c0c…
07-14 08:03:46	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	2,791	96¢	$2,686	0x1bd603…
07-14 08:03:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x793565…
07-14 08:02:46	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x067569…
07-14 02:45:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	235	74¢	$174	0x8baee3…
07-14 02:42:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	321	74¢	$237	0xdd43b3…
07-14 01:59:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	221	92¢	$204	0x4e9d3e…
07-14 01:48:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	109	69¢	$75	0x90a508…
07-14 01:33:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x73b217…
07-14 01:16:04	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xdb88d4…
07-13 20:52:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0xa0653f…
07-13 20:48:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	279	86¢	$239	0xe88e63…
07-13 13:29:40	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xe1800c…
07-13 12:43:52	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	493	81¢	$399	0xa878b4…
07-13 11:21:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	SELL	140	58¢	$81	0x80d62d…
07-13 11:06:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xbe6c28…
07-13 09:03:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x8ddd68…
07-13 08:51:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	SELL	328	58¢	$191	0xeb96ff…
07-13 08:07:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x6cd2c8…
07-13 04:53:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	217	77¢	$167	0x500c5b…
07-13 04:34:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1,097	31¢	$340	0xd94731…
07-13 04:32:17	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xd14012…
07-13 04:32:17	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x631188…
07-13 04:32:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xae7ec5…
07-13 04:28:05	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xb08f8c…
07-13 04:28:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xe0caf7…
07-13 04:28:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xe70a74…
07-13 04:28:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x29e184…
07-13 04:27:59	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xb8e43c…
07-13 04:19:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xf5810d…
07-13 04:19:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xf010db…
07-13 04:19:08	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xf57338…
07-13 04:16:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x52b6ed…
07-13 04:16:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x9af4fe…
07-13 04:16:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xb9e49e…
07-13 04:16:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x40cda1…
07-13 04:00:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x2606c1…
07-13 03:55:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x1881ab…
07-13 03:55:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0xd8b1e0…
07-13 03:45:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	102	31¢	$32	0x7cff11…
07-13 02:35:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x902bbc…
07-13 02:34:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xeb796f…
07-13 02:33:41	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xc9288d…
07-13 02:30:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x0e9b9a…
07-13 02:00:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x063105…
07-13 02:00:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	710	31¢	$220	0xa94073…
07-13 01:40:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7d63f2…
07-13 01:39:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x639c0f…
07-13 01:39:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x21e9a7…
07-13 01:39:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xbdcd95…
07-13 01:02:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1,000	31¢	$310	0x7f2c9f…
07-13 01:01:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	277	31¢	$86	0x7c3e2f…
07-13 00:57:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xaa16d9…
07-13 00:55:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	358	31¢	$111	0xfb4e9b…
07-13 00:43:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x73e474…
07-13 00:38:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb48c9c…
07-13 00:17:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xc0dea8…
07-13 00:17:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	372	40¢	$149	0xba47e8…
07-13 00:17:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe1eec3…
07-13 00:11:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	1,045	39¢	$408	0xbfb1f0…
07-13 00:10:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	3,607	28¢	$1,010	0xfefdd1…
07-12 23:32:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	887	67¢	$594	0x9fd77f…
07-12 23:31:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0xe627de…