Sweaty-Impulse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$60.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 08-07 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-1

Politics

29% — —

Tech

20% — —

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	54	$8.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	07-12 01:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	46	$4.2K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	07-27 01:26
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	15	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	07-29 18:00
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	26	$2.0K	1,784	1,984	-200	open	—	06-24 11:10
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	9	$2.0K	2,405	405	+2,000	open	—	08-07 01:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$1.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	06-12 16:56
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	28	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-13 09:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	23	$1.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	06-19 16:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	20	$1.5K	2,037	2,037	+0	open	—	07-05 14:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	34	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-12 14:37
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	22	$1.3K	1,288	1,288	+0	open	—	06-30 07:22
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	17	$1.3K	1,506	706	+800	open	—	08-06 22:13
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	18	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-09 20:54
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	15	$1.2K	860	860	+0	open	—	06-30 18:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$1.1K	549	549	+0	open	—	07-05 23:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	19	$951	1,228	1,023	+205	open	—	08-03 08:05
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	10	$916	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-30 12:37
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	8	$835	530	530	+0	open	—	07-08 04:59
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	9	$767	822	822	+0	open	—	07-08 01:06
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	10	$766	600	600	+0	open	—	06-22 07:22
gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	3	$765	400	400	+0	open	—	07-03 03:16
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	13	$764	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 10:48
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	11	$754	600	600	+0	open	—	07-05 10:23
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	2	$696	400	400	+0	open	—	07-04 04:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	9	$692	550	550	+0	open	—	07-07 23:51
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	11	$664	600	600	+0	open	—	07-14 14:37
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	7	$641	600	400	+200	open	—	08-07 17:51
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	20	$608	1,253	1,253	+0	open	—	06-11 01:14
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	14	$604	500	500	+0	open	—	06-26 15:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$552	300	300	+0	open	—	06-08 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 17:51:52	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x692114…
08-07 01:07:52	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xe0925c…
08-06 22:13:47	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x7296b9…
08-06 22:13:47	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x5d0ec0…
08-06 22:13:45	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xfc2670…
08-03 08:05:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xdabe4e…
08-01 01:56:11	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x068ef5…
08-01 01:27:23	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xea4346…
08-01 01:27:09	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x040ec4…
07-30 00:30:56	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x6a7174…
07-29 18:00:18	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$38	0xf7344c…
07-29 18:00:18	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	156	95¢	$148	0x48ec4f…
07-29 17:58:54	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x9ad650…
07-29 17:58:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x056a1c…
07-29 12:58:32	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	45	36¢	$16	0xea3775…
07-28 11:40:05	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x671296…
07-28 11:40:02	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0xb03d09…
07-28 04:54:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	127	32¢	$41	0xf04716…
07-28 02:28:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0xbf2448…
07-27 13:59:54	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xc7b846…
07-27 01:26:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0xbf90ef…
07-27 01:24:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xe9c161…
07-26 00:21:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	38	41¢	$15	0xcc04c6…
07-26 00:13:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	38	41¢	$15	0xc105dc…
07-24 03:14:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe62706…
07-24 01:18:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xb90260…
07-24 01:11:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x9dba29…
07-24 00:02:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0xa9ac80…
07-23 23:53:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x50f2ec…
07-23 23:52:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	190	40¢	$76	0x167b1b…
07-23 14:46:40	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xf251f9…
07-21 15:01:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x8cbd0e…
07-20 18:44:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x1ce9c0…
07-17 20:45:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc932ac…
07-17 19:00:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x836261…
07-17 18:59:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x6f4288…
07-17 17:59:16	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0xfe91fd…
07-17 13:34:40	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd78fa6…
07-16 04:28:05	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	181	37¢	$67	0xb1e677…
07-16 04:27:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xb1530f…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x2c1650…
07-14 21:54:41	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xf7271a…
07-14 15:53:37	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xcabd10…
07-14 14:37:55	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x9c4e9f…
07-14 14:37:55	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x485205…
07-14 14:37:53	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	41¢	$33	0xf449f6…
07-14 14:37:53	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x88c4d6…
07-14 14:37:25	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xb9c288…
07-14 13:58:56	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	579	94¢	$543	0x9b262e…
07-13 19:31:10	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	182	14¢	$25	0x143b3e…
07-13 15:02:43	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x41d357…
07-13 13:37:53	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x024460…
07-13 13:18:34	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x74007c…
07-13 09:26:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xed68cd…
07-13 08:52:08	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	159	10¢	$16	0x0cc98a…
07-13 08:27:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	159	10¢	$15	0x526bf2…
07-13 07:13:28	spy closes above 745 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	167	90¢	$150	0x19ad49…
07-13 07:11:22	spy closes above 745 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x59d565…
07-13 04:33:16	spy closes above 745 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xa763fb…
07-13 04:18:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xaaa427…
07-12 23:33:46	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	194	84¢	$163	0x727fe6…
07-12 23:29:50	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0x68d33c…
07-12 21:52:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x98ddbe…
07-12 21:51:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x7eb951…
07-12 09:50:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x7889d1…
07-12 09:48:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xa493ed…
07-12 04:16:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	345	54¢	$186	0xf7f1ae…
07-12 03:53:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	55	54¢	$30	0x502314…
07-12 02:56:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xf8f708…
07-12 02:52:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xea92d8…
07-12 02:31:07	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x9145a7…
07-12 01:04:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xb6365a…
07-12 00:44:41	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x29f9f3…
07-12 00:26:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0xffa4dc…
07-12 00:25:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0x79213b…
07-12 00:23:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x5926a6…
07-11 22:29:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xc287f6…
07-11 19:40:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xf26bb5…
07-11 14:17:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xfd5bc4…
07-11 14:14:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xa3f4f5…
07-11 14:14:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xda1801…
07-11 14:14:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x778bee…
07-11 14:14:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1d87a1…
07-11 13:56:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x04adb2…
07-11 13:53:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x2fe2b3…
07-11 13:53:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x34ee2c…
07-11 13:53:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x3f5404…
07-11 13:53:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x131d7b…
07-11 13:53:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xff2000…
07-11 13:53:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x5a40fa…
07-11 13:53:07	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x3969f0…
07-11 13:53:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x29dc32…
07-11 13:52:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x025eb7…
07-11 13:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xed7481…
07-11 13:52:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xc065e8…
07-11 06:38:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xf53183…
07-11 03:07:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xeddc0b…
07-10 20:21:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xaeca55…
07-10 19:54:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xca1a3a…
07-10 18:25:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x4d0e08…