Careful-Chaplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

2,285

Trades

2,492

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-29 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

71% 96% -$36

Crypto

24% 97% -$47

Politics

5% 99% +$7

Sports

0% 83% -$11

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	3	$192	130	80	+50	Korea Republic	-$10	06-12 03:35
bitcoin above 66k on march 7	12	$129	115	115	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 14:27
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 32corhigher	4	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-07 04:08
bitcoin above 72k on march 14	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	03-14 16:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	03-08 13:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 18c	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-06 23:02
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	3	$59	31	30	+1	No	+$0	03-23 14:45
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 25c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-19 17:29
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	07-28 11:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-08 07:14
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-07 07:44
bitcoin up or down on february 26	7	$49	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	02-26 16:31
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 26c	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-17 19:47
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 10 2026 25c	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-09 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-12 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-12 04:03
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-27 00:18
bitcoin above 60k on march 14	3	$39	300	0	+300	Yes	-$39	03-09 01:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$1	03-04 14:07
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	4	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	06-15 17:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 19:28
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 28c	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-22 08:45
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 12 2026 23c	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-11 02:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 26c	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-12 19:07
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-18 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 12?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-11 18:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 20c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-24 03:10
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-15 15:38
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 3?	4	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-02 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 24?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-23 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 19:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb95f07…
07-29 18:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x89e4ae…
07-29 18:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1a5625…
07-29 18:01:23	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x022eb9…
07-28 11:34:56	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x012322…
07-28 10:18:22	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8be9b4…
07-28 10:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x63400c…
06-22 15:13:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd6f617…
06-22 12:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xec6f6e…
06-22 12:13:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x797f97…
06-22 11:28:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xba2745…
06-22 03:28:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3370df…
06-22 02:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8af40c…
06-22 02:28:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x0f0ce7…
06-22 02:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x808a0f…
06-22 02:13:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe9eb00…
06-22 01:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x5b57f3…
06-21 21:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa60d48…
06-21 18:21:31	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x46d372…
06-21 03:29:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9726ed…
06-20 15:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4227d5…
06-20 14:16:31	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7cc070…
06-18 20:18:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 19?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5fc50…
06-18 20:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95dd17…
06-18 01:10:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x763dfa…
06-18 00:13:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xdc4f25…
06-17 22:26:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb63750…
06-17 12:26:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x292c15…
06-17 07:55:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x034e80…
06-17 07:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d1a1d…
06-17 02:20:40	Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xa66150…
06-16 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaa5271…
06-16 15:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x660568…
06-16 15:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x895386…
06-16 14:43:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x61a1a7…
06-16 13:43:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd186e8…
06-15 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x33cdd0…
06-15 18:13:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x646e25…
06-15 17:44:33	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xcbb7d3…
06-15 17:44:21	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x5ab3a8…
06-15 17:36:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0efef5…
06-15 17:36:15	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x18b67b…
06-15 16:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb96856…
06-15 16:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xa50293…
06-15 16:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x87fb45…
06-15 15:38:48	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xccb2b4…
06-15 03:21:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0ec8cc…
06-14 19:28:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x9442e7…
06-14 19:28:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x733f9a…
06-14 17:38:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x16cc6f…
06-14 17:36:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xa2cc34…
06-14 17:36:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x834eb1…
06-14 17:32:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xeed852…
06-12 18:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe589a…
06-12 04:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84e2dc…
06-12 04:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe2a8d2…
06-12 03:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf25e7d…
06-12 03:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd740aa…
06-12 03:35:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x3677fa…
06-12 03:23:58	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x7f38d4…
06-12 03:16:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x2bb58d…
06-10 12:27:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1287b…
06-09 11:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89093f…
06-06 00:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca091a…
06-02 17:23:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff83c2…
06-02 16:13:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb1cae…
06-02 16:13:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a5602…
06-02 14:28:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0252f2…
06-02 13:26:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x46a2d0…
06-02 12:11:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8549ca…
05-30 22:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x505ea9…
05-28 14:47:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22b531…
05-28 03:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4228…
05-28 00:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf45ab3…
05-27 16:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99cb83…
05-26 21:59:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c2dbf…
05-26 18:24:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8fdc79…
05-26 17:34:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x008b55…
05-26 17:26:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x56a46e…
05-26 14:57:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2652a…
05-25 20:36:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe208df…
05-25 18:40:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x20aaa4…
05-25 14:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe532aa…
05-24 20:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 25?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x97b34b…
05-24 18:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x08c3c4…
05-24 18:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4f28ff…
05-24 18:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x10f10e…
05-24 17:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x372de7…
05-24 17:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x76421f…
05-24 17:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x507682…
05-24 17:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1ab9f9…
05-24 17:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ea7b2…
05-24 13:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28fe55…
05-24 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa46c89…
05-23 14:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1869bf…
05-23 06:47:36	Will Hurricanes win?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xcdc031…
05-23 06:20:06	Will Hurricanes win?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf6321b…
05-23 03:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f6828…
05-22 13:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2eb114…
05-21 16:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4279f4…