Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$724

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

108

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$9.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$41

1 position

First seen

2026-06-10

last 10-29 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

39% 49% +$1,951

Tech

28% 53% -$476

Politics

20% 44% -$411

Sports

9% 25% -$100

Crypto

2% 0% -$197

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes		+72	$16	57¢	$41	+$26	07-17 10:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	6	$660	1,651	0	+1,651	Yes	-$660	07-24 16:12
will trump praise allah again by june 30	4	$627	3,575	0	+3,575	Yes	-$627	06-10 11:32
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$539	400	400	+0	No	+$259	06-21 18:22
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	3	$380	1,583	0	+1,583	Yes	-$380	07-27 18:15
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	3	$380	791	0	+791	Yes	+$411	07-18 20:33
will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260804194832574	4	$320	577	0	+577	No	-$320	08-12 15:44
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	1	$279	775	0	+775	Yes	-$279	08-19 10:54
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	33	$256	603	0	+603	Yes	+$347	07-24 22:58
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	3	$231	466	0	+466	No	+$235	07-12 19:28
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?	3	$209	433	0	+433	Yes	-$209	07-14 18:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	1	$200	555	0	+555	Yes	+$355	10-19 15:58
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	2	$200	363	0	+363	No	+$163	07-24 02:00
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	2	$200	350	0	+350	No	-$200	07-15 20:46
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	2	$199	376	0	+376	Yes	+$177	07-16 19:39
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$196	466	0	+466	No	+$270	07-29 07:43
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	2	$193	165	165	+0	No	+$137	10-26 09:53
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	3	$193	282	141	+141	No	-$10	07-21 07:22
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$181	986	0	+986	No	-$181	07-30 23:27
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	1	$180	382	0	+382	Yes	-$180	07-27 04:29
Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	2	$180	352	0	+352	Yes	+$172	08-08 08:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$172	492	0	+492	Yes	+$183	07-30 20:35
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$172	1,075	0	+1,075	Yes	-$172	08-30 03:45
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	3	$157	578	0	+578	No	+$421	08-05 23:52
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	5	$141	313	0	+313	No	+$172	07-26 19:37
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	1	$128	493	0	+493	No	+$365	09-04 15:05
will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	2	$127	80	80	+0	Yes	+$28	07-11 12:21
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	3	$120	300	0	+300	No	-$120	07-31 18:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$117	717	0	+717	No	-$117	07-30 20:52
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	1	$110	478	0	+478	Yes	-$110	10-23 16:51
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	2	$100	243	0	+243	No	-$100	07-24 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:33:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x510670…
10-26 09:53:08	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x264395…
10-25 19:50:48	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	BUY	165	17¢	$28	0x4a6efe…
10-23 16:51:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	478	23¢	$110	0x00b631…
10-20 05:05:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	878	5¢	$44	0x5537ab…
10-19 15:58:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	555	36¢	$200	0x6c2bee…
10-19 10:39:11	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	398	19¢	$76	0x406129…
10-06 22:46:14	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x788de7…
10-04 20:39:44	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x0716af…
10-02 01:09:15	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xac27d6…
09-28 12:10:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0xb57426…
09-21 10:38:42	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	239	13¢	$31	0x7fa727…
09-20 21:13:47	Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	No	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0xe58d60…
09-09 12:03:46	will laptop flip trump by december 31 2026	No	BUY	237	35¢	$83	0xee92a8…
09-05 01:26:16	Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	284	26¢	$74	0xbea4c5…
09-04 15:05:37	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	BUY	493	26¢	$128	0x44abf5…
08-31 04:35:58	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0cefd2…
08-30 03:45:46	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,075	16¢	$172	0xea8259…
08-21 19:24:45	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 20	No	BUY	218	11¢	$24	0x134e77…
08-20 23:30:57	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0xb6b673…
08-19 10:54:46	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	775	36¢	$279	0x2503c4…
08-13 08:05:58	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8a47b5…
08-12 15:44:01	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260804194832574	Yes	BUY	143	50¢	$72	0x439d2b…
08-12 15:44:01	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260804194832574	Yes	BUY	137	50¢	$68	0x20aebf…
08-10 14:15:40	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	126	18¢	$23	0x2dcc10…
08-10 03:13:36	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	28¢	$42	0xe36f10…
08-09 07:22:09	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x30261c…
08-09 04:31:46	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	21¢	$26	0x8bcef5…
08-08 23:51:31	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x2a54ca…
08-08 23:51:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc54e48…
08-08 23:51:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8c5ecd…
08-08 23:51:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x621773…
08-08 23:51:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x14397f…
08-08 23:51:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x0b852b…
08-08 15:11:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x7d3817…
08-08 13:54:24	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x6f0283…
08-08 08:44:03	Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	156	51¢	$80	0x0a77aa…
08-07 20:54:57	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x3dff89…
08-07 14:14:34	over 5m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831374	No	BUY	75	34¢	$25	0x04b394…
08-07 13:52:06	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xe8ffb1…
08-07 08:50:24	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0xb99ccf…
08-07 04:50:52	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0x77c741…
08-07 03:23:13	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xb8d338…
08-06 16:45:29	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x022a40…
08-05 23:52:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	136	41¢	$56	0x431b2c…
08-05 15:36:11	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	247	24¢	$59	0xc992cf…
08-05 06:03:51	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xedd78e…
08-04 06:38:44	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1add9e…
08-03 15:52:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	306	15¢	$46	0xbee61a…
08-03 14:26:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	Yes	BUY	97	11¢	$11	0x478ba5…
08-03 04:53:54	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xcc23d0…
08-03 02:57:18	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x35f604…
08-02 19:00:56	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x10c034…
08-02 19:00:54	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xcbc044…
08-02 19:00:54	Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?	No	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x382b65…
08-02 19:00:54	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x1250d1…
08-02 06:04:35	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?	No	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x884ba2…
08-01 22:56:50	Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x48c2e7…
08-01 02:46:51	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xfd034a…
07-31 21:03:06	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd176d8…
07-31 18:41:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x20b2ef…
07-31 08:15:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0xc006f3…
07-30 23:27:09	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	725	8¢	$58	0xcd2bdc…
07-30 20:52:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	162	24¢	$39	0x222400…
07-30 20:35:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	137	58¢	$79	0xad7473…
07-30 08:20:24	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd160b1…
07-29 18:00:18	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xf7344c…
07-29 07:43:39	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	276	42¢	$116	0xf979cc…
07-29 06:14:56	Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x748655…
07-28 20:03:32	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1dd420…
07-27 21:43:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x44027f…
07-27 18:15:04	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	No	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0xee0522…
07-27 15:12:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x09eea8…
07-27 12:02:06	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfb8812…
07-27 06:50:00	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7479c0…
07-27 04:29:22	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	183	18¢	$33	0xa6529b…
07-27 04:29:21	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	BUY	382	47¢	$180	0x9cd3c5…
07-27 01:16:24	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	201	30¢	$60	0xc616f9…
07-26 19:37:12	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	53	44¢	$24	0xf192ea…
07-26 18:38:03	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	66	26¢	$17	0xa2e01f…
07-26 15:46:46	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x596dd0…
07-26 07:03:25	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x42dfe0…
07-25 14:19:18	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	85	21¢	$18	0x6d82a7…
07-24 23:00:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	130	39¢	$51	0x702de5…
07-24 23:00:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x48788f…
07-24 22:58:03	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	96	32¢	$31	0xb3f83a…
07-24 22:58:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xefd33f…
07-24 22:58:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xbb8532…
07-24 22:58:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x9104e9…
07-24 22:58:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x58e8db…
07-24 22:58:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2acca1…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xbb1e9d…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xa67850…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x997611…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x942f64…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x312e41…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x2db5e2…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x2ada0f…
07-24 22:57:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x21bab5…
07-24 22:57:57	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf784a8…