Realized P&L
+$45.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.55K
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
307
Trades
5,526
lifetime
Volume
$636.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$26.8K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 10-26 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
50% 44% +$37,875
Politics
50% 52% +$8,188
Tech
0% 100% +$340
Sports
0% 100% +$85
Crypto
0% 0% -$1,118
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 761 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +5,696 $4,509 94¢ $5.4K +$874 10-23 16:18
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,340 $4,599 76¢ $4.8K +$223 09-13 22:05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -6,340 -$6,023 72¢ $-4533 +$1,490 09-17 08:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,174 $3,210 69¢ $4.3K +$1,050 08-16 01:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +8,773 $3,863 22¢ $1.9K -$1,977 09-29 23:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $1,110 39¢ $1.2K +$60 10-20 22:27
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,098 $988 97¢ $1.1K +$79 10-25 17:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -1,000 -$940 97¢ $-969 -$29 07-12 11:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,141 $890 82¢ $941 +$51 10-20 23:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +774 $512 87¢ $673 +$160 10-02 23:31
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +598 $146 98¢ $586 +$441 10-25 18:14
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +293 $208 92¢ $268 +$60 10-23 16:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +200 -$126 66¢ $133 +$259 10-25 19:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +367 $52 16¢ $60 +$9 08-04 19:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $3 74¢ $5 +$2 08-15 20:41
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $197 68¢ $0 -$197 08-15 00:32