Realized P&L
+$2.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$673
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
15,834
lifetime
Volume
$1.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$6.39K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-20 15:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
84% 100% +$2,036
Other
11%
Tech
6%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 846 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +2,715 $1,875 82¢ $2.2K +$352 07-18 21:52
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,263 $-188 100¢ $1.3K +$1,450 06-20 22:34
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,146 $-618 64¢ $-728 $-110 07-16 11:57
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +3,015 $681 18¢ $528 $-153 07-18 21:52
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -1,146 $-584 38¢ $-436 +$148 07-16 11:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -342 $-253 76¢ $-262 $-9 06-07 20:16
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +500 $340 52¢ $258 $-83 07-10 19:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +942 $356 24¢ $221 $-135 07-20 07:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -219 $-211 97¢ $-212 $-2 06-06 08:56
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +311 $789 55¢ $173 $-617 07-16 05:12
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +982 $213 $63 $-150 07-13 22:58
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -219 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-06 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $7 46¢ $7 +$0 07-14 07:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +8 $-563 68¢ $5 +$569 07-20 15:37
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +8 $298 30¢ $2 $-296 07-20 15:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +2 $20 48¢ $1 $-19 07-15 16:53
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +551 $202 $1 $-201 06-20 15:01
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +0 $59 44¢ $0 $-59 07-15 23:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $14 14¢ $-0 $-14 06-02 12:29