Realized P&L
+$2.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.23K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
15,179
lifetime
Volume
$954.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$15.4K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 12:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
86% 100% +$2,036
Other
9%
Tech
5%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1517 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +3,890 $3,675 100¢ $3.9K +$205 06-25 08:32
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +3,894 $2,788 74¢ $2.9K +$113 06-28 14:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,891 $1,377 59¢ $1.7K +$329 06-29 03:41
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1,699 $1,380 90¢ $1.5K +$157 06-29 08:28
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,263 $-188 100¢ $1.3K +$1,450 06-20 22:34
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +2,891 $1,320 42¢ $1.2K $-120 06-29 03:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $837 100¢ $996 +$159 06-14 21:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +3,894 $888 24¢ $915 +$27 06-28 14:01
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +300 $234 100¢ $299 +$65 06-25 19:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -342 $-253 84¢ $-286 $-33 06-07 20:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,313 $535 16¢ $217 $-318 06-30 06:12
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -219 $-211 95¢ $-209 +$1 06-06 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,871 $140 $13 $-127 06-25 17:28
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -219 $-12 $-8 +$3 06-06 08:56
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,797 $64 $8 $-56 06-26 17:22
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +475 $416 $1 $-415 06-08 04:22
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +551 $202 $1 $-201 06-20 15:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $14 20¢ $-0 $-14 06-02 12:29