Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$435

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-04 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

92% 40% -$40

Sports

3% 0% -$12

Politics

3% 40% $0

Crypto

2% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+3	$1	22¢	$1	$0	07-21 20:03
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-21 20:03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	05-10 12:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+5	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	05-10 12:23
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	+8	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	07-21 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-19 17:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	07-17 18:47
spx up or down on june 24 2026	4	$17	20	20	+0	Down	+$13	06-24 19:01
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	5	$16	148	7	+142	Mumbai Indians	-$4	03-29 17:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	-$15	04-19 13:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	04-19 13:04
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	3	$13	13	6	+7	No	-$3	06-26 19:24
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?	3	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	07-02 13:02
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	07-29 19:03
xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$6	07-29 18:06
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	06-26 15:33
xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	3	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	07-20 17:55
spx up or down on july 20 2026	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	07-20 20:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	06-23 18:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$7	13	0	+13	No	-$7	09-04 11:57
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	2	$7	39	0	+39	Gujarat Titans	-$7	04-30 15:38
spx up or down on july 1 2026	4	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	07-01 19:27
will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	29	$6	188	0	+188	No	-$6	06-19 20:55
spx up or down on june 26 2026	3	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	06-26 19:25
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	09-04 11:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	1	$5	32	0	+32	No	-$5	09-25 14:36
xauusd up or down on october 5 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	10-04 15:55
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	-$5	06-23 19:04
will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	1	$5	71	0	+71	No	-$5	07-17 18:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5	89	0	+89	Yes	-$5	04-19 13:07
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	1	$5	25	0	+25	No	-$5	07-26 11:13
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	04-19 13:12
spx up or down on june 17 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	06-17 18:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	09-20 17:39
lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 6pt79	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	07-26 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 15:55:26	xauusd up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x52f1a9…
09-25 14:38:38	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x34eece…
09-25 14:38:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x85878b…
09-25 14:37:17	xauusd up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc38b11…
09-25 14:36:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x280c1d…
09-20 17:39:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb9f9b3…
09-11 10:54:10	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdbe5b9…
09-11 10:51:33	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5fe15c…
09-11 10:50:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb95ac6…
09-11 10:50:18	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x18b424…
09-11 10:44:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x75ee1e…
09-04 12:00:55	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf447a6…
09-04 12:00:37	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfa10ae…
09-04 11:59:51	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0b1374…
09-04 11:57:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x68eb32…
08-06 16:53:36	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4e2dfb…
08-05 15:56:23	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd0f600…
08-04 21:23:09	will xauusd dip to 4000 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x10e2e9…
08-02 15:22:45	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9084fd…
08-02 15:22:08	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc7dee1…
08-02 15:17:41	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1192af…
08-02 15:16:59	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in June?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe4cf6d…
08-02 15:16:56	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5618e4…
08-02 15:13:51	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x192457…
08-02 15:11:51	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x6c3969…
08-02 15:11:38	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x68db3b…
08-02 15:10:24	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x711422…
08-02 15:09:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb00d66…
07-29 19:03:50	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1c418b…
07-29 18:06:05	xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xcc6232…
07-29 16:16:53	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6860b0…
07-29 16:16:20	xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xae7255…
07-29 16:15:53	spx up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x5552fc…
07-26 11:17:01	lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 6pt79	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1b885e…
07-26 11:16:00	f1 hungarian grand prix safety car 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x598c69…
07-26 11:13:45	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0c2776…
07-22 19:12:12	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x178c32…
07-21 20:08:30	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x92d60a…
07-21 20:08:16	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfa1cb7…
07-21 20:03:36	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x15891c…
07-21 20:03:07	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1ca90b…
07-21 16:31:24	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x15c685…
07-21 16:31:00	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x94984f…
07-20 20:05:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b350e…
07-20 17:55:51	xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xd4b680…
07-20 17:55:12	ukx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0596aa…
07-19 22:20:22	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2a8121…
07-19 18:06:39	xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x830a6e…
07-19 18:04:30	ukx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f2957…
07-19 11:58:09	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x84daa8…
07-19 11:56:39	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x826eee…
07-19 11:51:16	xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x203163…
07-19 11:50:13	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf8575d…
07-17 18:47:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x8dba93…
07-17 18:46:16	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0c203c…
07-08 14:34:31	xauusd up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe97aa6…
07-08 14:15:46	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x67cf9b…
07-08 13:28:02	xauusd up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x28be3b…
07-08 13:26:59	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7830cf…
07-02 13:02:35	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8f5a52…
07-01 19:31:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x671f56…
07-01 19:30:10	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ccf4a…
07-01 19:27:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x51c720…
07-01 19:27:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x3375d8…
07-01 15:20:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa88ae9…
07-01 15:03:31	will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x87858b…
07-01 13:33:32	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x72d404…
06-30 17:16:23	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x4ec58f…
06-30 17:14:44	Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x01c614…
06-30 17:06:04	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea1742…
06-30 15:30:37	will nike say revenue 5 times during earnings call 20260624143210391	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc73b7e…
06-30 15:26:19	xauusd up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x907e2a…
06-30 15:25:52	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x73fe3f…
06-28 19:00:49	xauusd up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x63952b…
06-26 19:25:22	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xdb0559…
06-26 19:24:31	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x4e3776…
06-26 15:35:22	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4a307a…
06-26 15:34:49	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xda58b1…
06-26 15:34:35	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x525fb6…
06-26 15:33:56	Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5f5662…
06-26 14:12:04	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc68692…
06-24 19:01:40	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xc64521…
06-24 19:01:29	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$0	0xd692ed…
06-24 18:00:35	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5cae6d…
06-24 15:21:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x55c915…
06-24 15:20:11	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd4c97f…
06-24 15:19:49	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb2610a…
06-24 15:17:44	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x3fe4ea…
06-23 19:06:11	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4d744e…
06-23 19:04:59	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x55c307…
06-23 18:58:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8c97e5…
06-20 12:01:59	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x5b514c…
06-20 12:01:53	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x18d0c2…
06-19 20:55:20	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf80e6c…
06-19 20:55:19	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc7a1ec…
06-19 20:55:17	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf6bc31…
06-19 20:55:17	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xedd512…
06-19 20:55:17	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcfed97…
06-19 20:55:17	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x793a98…
06-19 20:55:17	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2755bc…