Similar-Brushing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$285

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-23 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

85% 20% +$56

Politics

13% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$23

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	-48	$-10	15¢	$-7	+$4	06-19 10:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-72	$-5	5¢	$-4	+$1	06-19 10:05
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	+91	$10	4¢	$4	$-6	06-23 12:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	2	$88	89	89	+0	Yes	+$72	05-05 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$42	413	413	+0	open	—	05-13 08:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$21	42	42	+0	open	—	04-24 19:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$21	138	138	+0	open	—	05-06 11:18
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	2	$19	111	111	+0	open	—	05-28 06:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$19	343	343	+0	open	—	05-06 11:18
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	2	$14	128	128	+0	open	—	04-22 10:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$10	0	48	-48	open	—	06-19 10:05
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	06-23 12:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$6	833	800	+33	open	—	04-28 13:10
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	147	0	+147	Yes	$-5	05-12 19:17
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	27	0	+27	Yes	$-5	05-12 20:27
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	45	0	+45	No	$-5	05-12 19:22
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	28	0	+28	Sean Strickland	+$23	05-08 09:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$5	0	72	-72	open	—	06-19 10:05
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	208	-208	open	—	06-19 10:05
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	1	$1	0	276	-276	open	—	06-19 10:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	312	-312	open	—	06-19 10:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$1	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 06:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	04-22 10:18
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	125	0	+125	Yes	$-1	05-12 19:25
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$1	0	265	-265	open	—	06-19 10:06
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	564	-564	open	—	06-19 10:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	252	-252	open	—	06-19 10:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	1	$0	0	71	-71	open	—	06-19 10:06
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$0	0	56	-56	open	—	06-19 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 12:16:26	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xdf4449…
06-19 10:06:34	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	SELL	276	0¢	$1	0x77395f…
06-19 10:06:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	0¢	$1	0xd13a94…
06-19 10:06:23	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	265	0¢	$1	0x12712a…
06-19 10:06:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	564	0¢	$1	0xeb9624…
06-19 10:06:13	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$1	0x8943ba…
06-19 10:06:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$0	0xd108a3…
06-19 10:06:02	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xd96bce…
06-19 10:05:56	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$3	0x07bb72…
06-19 10:05:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$5	0x19a8ff…
06-19 10:05:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$10	0x17dfb7…
05-28 06:01:38	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0xfbffc1…
05-26 06:06:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x69569a…
05-13 08:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x0d249f…
05-12 20:27:02	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x036e8b…
05-12 19:25:10	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x693ccd…
05-12 19:22:25	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb39ad9…
05-12 19:17:03	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xfaf1ee…
05-08 09:00:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2b21d8…
05-06 12:51:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x2d9110…
05-06 11:32:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	263	10¢	$27	0x0e4289…
05-06 11:18:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	343	2¢	$8	0x1912f9…
05-06 11:18:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0xe9ce05…
05-06 06:58:18	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xac574a…
05-05 21:08:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x7dad8e…
05-05 20:56:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x307b94…
05-05 20:52:04	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	89	90¢	$80	0x6e975a…
04-30 11:29:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3d7108…
04-30 11:28:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x97376b…
04-28 13:11:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x672a0f…
04-28 13:10:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$1	0xacdac3…
04-24 19:22:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xe582e8…
04-24 19:21:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x0759d9…
04-23 08:25:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$6	0xd75b8f…
04-23 08:25:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x2b6275…
04-22 11:18:58	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x360829…
04-22 10:18:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0a5d20…
04-22 10:13:08	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	128	7¢	$9	0x087a3d…
04-16 13:19:20	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x374736…
04-16 13:14:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe3ea74…
04-16 13:03:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x65f6e7…