Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$912
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$750
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76%
Politics
24%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +80 $78 97¢ $78 $-0 06-08 19:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$0 06-09 09:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$1 06-09 16:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$0 06-08 22:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +70 $68 98¢ $68 +$0 06-08 21:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +70 $66 95¢ $66 +$0 06-08 21:48
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 06-09 00:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +60 $54 90¢ $54 +$0 06-08 23:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +60 $53 88¢ $53 +$0 06-08 21:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 $-0 06-09 07:02
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +41 $39 97¢ $39 +$0 06-09 18:51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +40 $38 94¢ $38 $-0 06-09 10:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +40 $36 92¢ $37 +$0 06-10 00:46