Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$1.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$571
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-01 08:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
81%
Politics
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +110 $97 92¢ $101 +$4 06-30 17:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $85 100¢ $100 +$15 06-11 19:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +70 $66 98¢ $68 +$2 06-08 21:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +60 $53 100¢ $60 +$7 06-08 21:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +60 $57 96¢ $58 +$1 06-19 10:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +60 $54 94¢ $56 +$2 06-17 20:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +50 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 06-21 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +60 $54 72¢ $43 $-11 06-17 20:21
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +40 $36 96¢ $38 +$2 06-23 20:33