(anonymous) 0x3f13c5…eb3345
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$912
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$748
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76% — —
Politics
24% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +80 $78 97¢ $77 $-1 06-08 19:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$0 06-09 09:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +70 $69 98¢ $69 $-0 06-08 22:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +70 $68 97¢ $68 $-0 06-08 21:13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +70 $69 97¢ $68 $-1 06-09 16:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +70 $66 95¢ $66 +$0 06-08 21:48
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 06-09 00:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +60 $54 92¢ $56 +$2 06-08 23:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +60 $53 87¢ $52 $-1 06-08 21:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 06-09 07:02
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +41 $39 96¢ $39 +$0 06-09 18:51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 +$0 06-09 10:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +40 $36 92¢ $37 +$0 06-10 00:46