Secret-Quota — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

898

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-21 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% +$2

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No		-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	06-21 17:02
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes		+18	$1	4¢	$1	$-1	06-02 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down february 18 7am et	14	$44	38	38	+0	open	—	02-18 13:03
ethereum up or down february 18 3am et	5	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	02-18 09:10
ethereum up or down february 18 6am et	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 11:57
ethereum up or down february 18 2am et	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	02-18 08:11
ethereum up or down february 18 1am et	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-18 06:58
ethereum up or down february 17 8pm et	6	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-18 02:00
ethereum up or down february 18 12am et	5	$30	20	18	+2	open	—	02-18 06:03
ethereum up or down february 17 9pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-18 02:53
ethereum up or down february 17 11am et	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-17 17:11
btc updown 5m 1773085500	5	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 19:50
btc updown 5m 1773175200	7	$14	13	12	+1	open	—	03-10 20:45
btc updown 5m 1773413700	7	$13	9	8	+2	open	—	03-13 14:59
btc updown 5m 1773172200	7	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 19:55
btc updown 5m 1773174600	8	$13	124	12	+111	open	—	03-10 20:35
btc updown 5m 1773083400	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-09 19:13
ethereum up or down february 17 8am et	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-17 14:05
btc updown 5m 1773087000	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-09 20:16
ethereum up or down february 17 7am et	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-17 13:25
btc updown 5m 1773175500	5	$12	14	2	+12	open	—	03-10 20:50
btc updown 5m 1773076800	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-09 17:24
btc updown 5m 1773165000	5	$11	8	6	+3	open	—	03-10 17:55
btc updown 5m 1773072600	3	$11	9	5	+4	open	—	03-09 16:15
ethereum up or down february 17 5am et	6	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	02-17 10:54
ethereum up or down february 18 9am et	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	02-18 14:58
btc updown 5m 1773080400	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-09 18:25
ethereum up or down february 1 1pm et	8	$10	44	29	+15	open	—	02-01 19:18
ethereum up or down february 16 10am et	4	$10	37	37	+0	open	—	02-16 16:48
btc updown 5m 1774973400	9	$10	129	29	+100	open	—	03-31 16:14
btc updown 5m 1773167100	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-10 18:29
ethereum up or down february 17 4am et	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-17 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 17:02:11	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5323b1…
06-02 15:33:44	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x7832bd…
06-02 15:32:10	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3948d9…
05-16 08:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x8dc83b…
05-16 08:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6effa9…
05-16 08:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefe373…
05-16 08:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3dea6b…
05-16 08:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xef3b5f…
05-16 08:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe5267c…
05-15 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7be187…
05-15 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x463bfa…
05-15 21:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x747c9b…
05-15 21:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd139bf…
05-15 21:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xadd5fe…
05-15 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x62b1ab…
05-15 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7435b7…
05-15 20:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xf765dc…
05-15 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf439b2…
05-15 14:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbfa584…
05-15 14:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3bc76a…
05-15 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa1cd54…
05-15 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0d823a…
05-15 11:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaade77…
05-15 11:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x96bf81…
05-15 11:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x06213d…
05-15 11:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x0334d2…
05-15 11:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x31f94a…
05-15 11:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1ec2c1…
05-15 11:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcb6b87…
05-15 09:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0787c1…
05-15 09:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x610ea4…
05-15 08:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe8ff96…
05-15 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x21cedb…
05-13 21:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xebcc3d…
05-13 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2cb4f1…
05-13 21:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xc0579a…
05-13 21:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c90dc…
05-13 21:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x7b7ec9…
05-13 21:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x34445b…
05-13 20:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x801aaf…
05-12 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2aa491…
05-12 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6c4f60…
05-12 18:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9a23f2…
05-12 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x545f51…
05-12 18:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4b5f72…
05-12 18:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4fffee…
05-12 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x778e83…
05-12 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1dca6d…
05-12 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xdae305…
05-12 18:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x52bcc3…
05-12 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd6b027…
05-12 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1afb16…
05-11 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc62726…
05-11 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x13e7a0…
05-11 19:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4c227…
05-11 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe34314…
05-11 19:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xba5c3f…
05-11 19:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdb8b9b…
05-11 19:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xbbd379…
05-11 19:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xafdbde…
05-11 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6799d8…
05-11 19:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x524a5b…
05-11 19:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9e294f…
05-11 19:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xce0882…
05-11 19:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1ddac4…
05-11 19:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x64308f…
05-11 19:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a3c04…
05-11 19:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb85542…
05-11 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf91688…
05-11 19:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4cfc4a…
05-11 19:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x21613f…
05-10 16:25:47	Will Harris English finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x32a8b7…
04-19 19:36:54	2026 rbc heritage top10 aldrich potgieter	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x06a47f…
04-18 10:45:14	2026 rbc heritage top10 aldrich potgieter	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb36f7c…
04-10 08:05:47	btc updown 5m 1775808300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x98f223…
04-10 08:05:17	btc updown 5m 1775808000	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15ebcc…
04-10 08:04:03	btc updown 5m 1775808000	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5947d0…
04-10 05:54:47	btc updown 5m 1775800200	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64adf7…
04-10 05:54:21	btc updown 5m 1775800200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x042a8a…
04-10 05:53:01	btc updown 5m 1775800200	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xf54ee1…
04-10 05:52:25	btc updown 5m 1775800200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb7530d…
04-10 05:49:25	btc updown 5m 1775799900	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x157d93…
04-10 05:47:23	btc updown 5m 1775799900	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa64cf6…
04-10 05:44:47	btc updown 5m 1775799600	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x541b5e…
04-10 05:44:25	btc updown 5m 1775799600	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc81d65…
04-10 05:43:31	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xcc27d8…
04-06 16:12:39	btc updown 5m 1775491800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x30bff8…
04-06 16:06:49	btc updown 5m 1775491500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8fbc59…
04-06 16:00:09	btc updown 5m 1775490900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xecc6d5…
04-06 15:59:53	btc updown 5m 1775490900	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x481350…
04-06 15:59:31	btc updown 5m 1775490900	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x23a602…
04-06 15:55:39	btc updown 5m 1775490900	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xea46f7…
04-06 15:46:43	btc updown 5m 1775490300	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x98d861…
04-06 15:45:45	btc updown 5m 1775490300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf0c35e…
04-06 15:43:55	btc updown 5m 1775490000	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x226dd7…
04-06 15:43:03	btc updown 5m 1775490000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd8ed60…
04-06 15:34:07	btc updown 5m 1775489400	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x4c451f…
04-06 15:33:35	btc updown 5m 1775489400	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf6c6ca…
04-06 15:29:41	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x165a85…
04-02 16:08:55	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x455996…