Determined-Workshop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-16 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% 100% +$15

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes		+1,030	$82	3¢	$32	$-50	06-09 02:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	1	$479	510	0	+510	open	—	05-31 05:12
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	1	$478	525	0	+525	open	—	05-30 05:30
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$445	450	0	+450	FCSB	+$5	05-11 09:38
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	1	$441	450	0	+450	Como 1907	+$9	05-10 08:30
sud tig mac 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$316	323	0	+323	open	—	04-16 06:31
will trump visit north korea by december 31	4	$106	880	880	+0	open	—	07-08 07:12
israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	6	$91	870	870	+0	open	—	07-16 12:41
will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	4	$88	630	630	+0	open	—	06-21 05:45
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	4	$84	870	870	+0	open	—	07-08 05:41
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	2	$82	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	06-09 02:28
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	5	$82	820	820	+0	open	—	06-27 07:44
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	4	$81	810	810	+0	open	—	06-27 05:27
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	4	$68	860	860	+0	open	—	07-14 04:53
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	4	$49	610	610	+0	open	—	06-16 05:36
putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	4	$39	780	780	+0	open	—	06-27 06:52
sud aud clo 2026 04 08 spread home 2pt5	2	$29	572	0	+572	open	—	04-08 07:55
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	2	$26	841	0	+841	open	—	04-26 05:24
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$22	827	827	+0	open	—	04-26 05:04
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	2	$21	667	0	+667	open	—	04-11 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 12:41:32	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	Yes	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0x71a126…
07-14 04:53:17	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	415	4¢	$16	0x7d40da…
07-14 04:53:16	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	445	4¢	$17	0x169f84…
07-14 03:23:08	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x89810e…
07-14 03:19:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	425	4¢	$17	0xffff08…
07-14 03:19:04	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	435	4¢	$17	0x7288ff…
07-14 02:25:50	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	Yes	SELL	450	5¢	$22	0x67c0d3…
07-14 02:25:38	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	Yes	SELL	312	5¢	$15	0xb8046c…
07-14 01:32:22	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	Yes	BUY	430	6¢	$25	0x97b67b…
07-14 01:32:11	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	Yes	BUY	440	6¢	$26	0x430df0…
07-08 07:12:05	will trump visit north korea by december 31	Yes	SELL	455	6¢	$27	0x396bb6…
07-08 07:11:55	will trump visit north korea by december 31	Yes	SELL	425	6¢	$26	0x0458f8…
07-08 06:05:05	will trump visit north korea by december 31	Yes	BUY	435	6¢	$26	0x4c1b53…
07-08 06:04:55	will trump visit north korea by december 31	Yes	BUY	445	6¢	$27	0x0c76d9…
07-08 05:41:58	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	450	5¢	$21	0x642684…
07-08 05:41:49	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	420	5¢	$19	0x3dda31…
07-08 05:04:26	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	430	5¢	$22	0x43bc35…
07-08 05:04:05	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	440	5¢	$22	0x6848dd…
06-27 07:44:02	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7a15df…
06-27 07:43:29	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	5¢	$20	0x8348ef…
06-27 07:43:17	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	5¢	$20	0x8e8672…
06-27 07:09:20	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	5¢	$21	0x9d71c7…
06-27 07:08:55	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	5¢	$20	0x5eb621…
06-27 06:52:20	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	385	3¢	$12	0x727645…
06-27 06:51:58	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	395	3¢	$12	0x998cf6…
06-27 06:04:17	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	405	2¢	$8	0xca089d…
06-27 06:04:04	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	375	2¢	$8	0x2e3da5…
06-27 05:27:38	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0x2e3451…
06-27 05:26:35	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	410	5¢	$20	0x5c9d38…
06-27 02:59:50	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	5¢	$21	0x6a5192…
06-27 02:59:25	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	5¢	$20	0xd85d33…
06-21 05:45:37	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	310	7¢	$22	0x4f9153…
06-21 05:45:08	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	320	7¢	$22	0xfc34d7…
06-21 03:22:44	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	330	7¢	$23	0xb9ea5a…
06-21 03:22:29	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x1b42d1…
06-16 05:36:10	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x1aad59…
06-16 05:35:48	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	310	4¢	$12	0x5478ed…
06-16 04:51:04	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	320	4¢	$13	0x9562ea…
06-16 04:50:49	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	290	4¢	$12	0x5f631a…
06-09 02:28:09	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	8¢	$41	0x78867a…
06-09 02:27:57	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	8¢	$42	0x4388ec…
05-31 05:12:03	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC	BUY	510	94¢	$479	0x912dcf…
05-30 05:30:40	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	525	91¢	$478	0x2768f4…
05-11 09:38:50	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	450	99¢	$445	0x60646a…
05-10 08:30:15	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	450	98¢	$441	0xf92d62…
04-26 05:24:36	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	FC Nantes	BUY	421	3¢	$13	0x55bf6a…
04-26 05:24:20	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	FC Nantes	BUY	420	3¢	$13	0x6320ef…
04-26 05:04:44	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	1¢	$5	0xec2f8b…
04-26 05:04:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	413	1¢	$5	0x08de78…
04-26 02:50:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	1¢	$5	0xa4cd0b…
04-26 02:50:34	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	413	1¢	$5	0xc1b34c…
04-16 06:31:36	sud tig mac 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	CA Tigre	BUY	323	98¢	$316	0x14ddc0…
04-11 07:55:09	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	315	3¢	$10	0x2420e9…
04-11 07:54:53	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	352	3¢	$11	0xd51e0b…
04-08 07:55:39	sud aud clo 2026 04 08 spread home 2pt5	Audax CS Italiano	BUY	283	5¢	$14	0x3d0a1a…
04-08 07:55:05	sud aud clo 2026 04 08 spread home 2pt5	Audax CS Italiano	BUY	289	5¢	$14	0x52888a…