Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,865
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$255
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-12 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
71% 0% $-35
Tech
14%
Crypto
10%
Politics
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -44 $-14 80¢ $-35 $-22 06-10 20:54
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -95 $-22 20¢ $-19 +$4 06-11 09:43
Discord IPO before 2027? No -22 $-7 68¢ $-15 $-8 06-12 09:20
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -18 $-12 77¢ $-14 $-2 05-29 05:21
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-8 68¢ $-13 $-5 06-03 14:46
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -16 $-12 84¢ $-13 $-1 05-30 12:12
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -79 $-16 16¢ $-13 +$3 06-12 09:04
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18 $9 55¢ $10 +$1 05-29 17:04
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-9 80¢ $-10 $-1 06-01 15:12
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-8 79¢ $-9 $-1 06-04 03:32
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -9 $-9 98¢ $-9 $-0 06-04 13:33
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -9 $-9 96¢ $-9 $-0 06-11 14:02
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -27 $-5 32¢ $-9 $-3 06-12 09:20
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -13 $-9 61¢ $-8 +$0 06-12 09:20
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 06-04 03:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-10 65¢ $-8 +$2 05-29 21:36
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-7 85¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 22:59
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -19 $-8 34¢ $-7 +$1 06-01 06:00
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -67 $-7 $-6 +$1 06-11 09:43
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 +$0 05-31 14:37
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 19:01
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -6 $-4 86¢ $-5 $-1 05-28 12:03
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -36 $-5 12¢ $-4 +$1 06-12 09:20
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -26 $-5 14¢ $-4 +$2 06-12 09:12
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -25 $-6 14¢ $-3 +$3 06-11 09:43
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -4 $-10 80¢ $-3 +$7 06-10 02:36
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? No -20 $-1 12¢ $-2 $-1 06-03 19:45
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -2 $-2 82¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 17:10
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$1 06-12 09:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-11 03:08