Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,865
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$331
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-12 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
71% 0% $-35
Tech
14%
Crypto
10%
Politics
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -44 $-14 74¢ $-33 $-19 06-10 20:54
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -32 $-10 100¢ $-32 $-22 05-28 00:04
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -95 $-22 22¢ $-21 +$1 06-11 09:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +20 $7 100¢ $20 +$13 06-02 22:10
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -79 $-16 22¢ $-18 $-2 06-12 09:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +16 $9 100¢ $15 +$7 06-03 04:02
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-8 70¢ $-14 $-6 06-03 14:46
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -18 $-12 76¢ $-13 $-2 05-29 05:21
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -16 $-12 81¢ $-13 $-1 05-30 12:12
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -67 $-7 17¢ $-11 $-5 06-11 09:43
Discord IPO before 2027? No -22 $-7 44¢ $-10 $-2 06-12 09:20
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-9 80¢ $-10 $-1 06-01 15:12
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-10 78¢ $-10 +$0 05-29 21:36
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18 $9 54¢ $9 +$0 05-29 17:04
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -13 $-9 68¢ $-9 $-1 06-12 09:20
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -9 $-9 96¢ $-9 $-0 06-11 14:02
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -9 $-9 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-04 13:33
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +10 $7 86¢ $8 +$1 06-04 03:54
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -27 $-5 31¢ $-8 $-3 06-12 09:20
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-8 67¢ $-8 +$0 06-04 03:32
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -36 $-5 19¢ $-7 $-2 06-12 09:20
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -19 $-8 35¢ $-7 +$1 06-01 06:00
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -25 $-6 25¢ $-6 +$0 06-11 09:43
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-7 74¢ $-6 +$1 06-01 22:59
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 05-31 14:37
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -26 $-5 18¢ $-5 +$0 06-12 09:12
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? No -20 $-1 24¢ $-5 $-3 06-03 19:45
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -6 $-4 75¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 12:03
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-5 62¢ $-4 +$1 06-01 19:01
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No -24 $-10 17¢ $-4 +$6 06-08 15:11