Quintessential-Cofactor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$788

Unrealized P&L

-$298

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

279

Trades

1,241

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$114

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-26 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

86% 24% -$637

Politics

10% 39% -$149

Sports

4% 25% +$23

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$18

Crypto

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+2,920	$400	4¢	$104	-$297	09-26 22:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-10	-$9	98¢	$-10	$0	07-05 21:56
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	No	-9	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	07-02 18:17
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	+60	$2	0¢	$0	-$1	05-28 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	42	$1.1K	1,427	860	+568	Yes	+$544	03-29 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$706	670	302	+368	Yes	+$266	04-02 13:47
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	42	$661	787	632	+155	Yes	-$17	01-27 00:06
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	30	$653	1,513	210	+1,303	No	-$492	03-31 17:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	7	$492	292	292	+0	Yes	+$42	03-30 16:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	27	$451	1,146	1,146	+0	No	-$319	03-31 15:30
Trump out as President before 2027?	10	$447	3,251	331	+2,920	open	—	09-26 22:39
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	19	$446	840	840	+0	No	+$11	03-25 08:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	10	$440	566	243	+322	Yes	+$368	04-29 14:15
transgender women be banned from the olympics before winter games	12	$418	266	266	+0	No	+$51	01-29 06:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$306	418	100	+318	Yes	+$198	04-28 10:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	45	$243	3,628	3,628	+0	Yes	-$139	03-02 08:15
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	10	$191	254	85	+169	Yes	+$131	03-06 17:44
spx up or down on february 11 2026	8	$188	250	250	+0	Down	+$91	02-11 21:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	14	$184	660	0	+660	No	-$184	03-13 18:20
trump out as president by march 31	28	$176	2,959	2,959	+0	No	+$12	01-29 06:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	4	$173	122	122	+0	Yes	+$28	04-02 05:43
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	29	$171	8,826	3,688	+5,138	No	-$58	01-07 21:58
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	6	$157	540	140	+400	Down	+$121	03-18 13:18
nflx above 90 on february 27 2026	5	$151	249	0	+249	Yes	+$98	02-27 15:35
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	31	$145	2,521	2,621	-100	No	-$24	01-14 12:28
tsla above 390 on february 27 2026	8	$138	672	297	+375	Yes	-$102	02-27 20:49
ice shooter charged by march 31	25	$136	346	346	+0	No	-$50	01-29 06:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$134	200	0	+200	No	-$134	04-29 18:47
tsla above 400 on february 27 2026	6	$125	310	100	+210	Yes	-$13	02-27 17:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$119	355	0	+355	No	-$119	04-28 13:41
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	3	$115	70	70	+0	Yes	+$25	03-06 06:28
tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	16	$110	1,035	0	+1,035	Yes	-$110	02-27 12:40
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	5	$108	107	107	+0	No	+$12	01-08 14:58
spx up or down on february 12 2026	5	$104	120	90	+30	Down	+$88	02-12 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 22:39:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$6	0xa288de…
09-26 22:39:21	Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x18b03e…
09-21 09:45:21	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x76477b…
09-21 09:45:00	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc6195b…
08-08 16:14:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x0d9e77…
07-11 22:57:47	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0xdb6845…
07-11 22:57:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xc0c445…
07-11 21:55:04	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x3eb3e8…
07-11 21:48:29	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	122	6¢	$7	0x53557a…
07-11 21:45:25	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x0379f6…
07-11 21:44:29	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5f9600…
07-11 21:44:16	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbcd5bb…
07-11 21:43:02	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0xd136fb…
07-11 21:41:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0x97d5cd…
07-11 21:39:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x61807a…
07-11 21:05:26	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x8c9b0a…
07-11 21:05:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	153	7¢	$11	0xe123ca…
07-11 21:03:40	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x3ff580…
07-11 21:03:13	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x132dc8…
07-05 21:56:50	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$9	0x4bb23b…
07-05 21:56:29	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x7fe39f…
07-02 18:17:50	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x6c2d5b…
07-02 18:17:37	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x66adc6…
07-02 18:17:13	Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5b5b8a…
07-02 18:16:46	Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x51bdf3…
06-26 21:29:50	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x2ede74…
06-23 16:38:08	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd4cd86…
06-23 16:37:16	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x7393a5…
06-23 16:27:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,019	0¢	$3	0x3659fe…
06-23 16:27:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,014	0¢	$4	0x03052b…
06-14 16:16:15	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x535ae4…
06-12 22:16:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x1bf9f8…
06-12 05:31:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf87454…
06-01 14:04:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x316fab…
05-29 09:19:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6f1ec2…
05-28 07:22:31	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xa2e316…
05-28 07:21:35	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0x97a17d…
05-26 08:44:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xde48f8…
05-26 05:10:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xc3051f…
05-25 13:57:05	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x366ba8…
05-25 12:50:24	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xcc5da0…
05-25 12:32:40	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xc4d9d3…
05-24 21:24:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	521	10¢	$52	0x6c306d…
05-24 06:53:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	57	22¢	$12	0xcf18f2…
05-24 06:09:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xdb9281…
05-23 23:19:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0xe8034f…
05-23 23:11:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0x699063…
05-23 23:07:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x80da10…
05-21 10:52:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x018410…
05-21 10:08:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd4175f…
05-18 16:55:47	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x45b470…
05-13 11:02:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x73eb0b…
05-13 10:54:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xbdd47b…
05-13 10:54:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xae0077…
05-13 10:53:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xf5123b…
05-13 10:53:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa866d8…
05-12 09:37:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed530c…
05-11 18:43:14	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	194	2¢	$3	0xdce320…
05-11 13:28:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8770f8…
05-11 12:46:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4ce6fc…
05-08 12:41:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xb65c3b…
05-08 12:25:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x35e801…
05-08 12:21:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x275e4b…
05-08 12:01:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x1c1448…
05-08 11:48:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x18ac31…
05-04 17:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2e0c8f…
05-04 16:49:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xc43510…
05-04 16:49:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x567cc7…
05-04 15:32:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf6fd5e…
05-04 11:57:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xe4e34d…
05-04 08:07:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x061151…
05-01 18:50:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe86607…
05-01 00:38:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	84	16¢	$13	0xc5aad2…
04-30 23:58:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xecd6a8…
04-30 22:25:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x26911c…
04-30 13:24:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x56826f…
04-30 13:24:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x99a0b0…
04-30 11:18:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd5ebae…
04-30 09:19:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,100	14¢	$154	0xb2034a…
04-30 05:34:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0xec5758…
04-30 05:26:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe0c9e7…
04-29 22:57:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	71	34¢	$24	0xbd485b…
04-29 22:47:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x1035ab…
04-29 22:34:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdcbb25…
04-29 22:33:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x078ab6…
04-29 22:33:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xe9cab8…
04-29 18:47:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xe0974b…
04-29 16:49:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x46b87c…
04-29 14:52:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xd7e13f…
04-29 14:52:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xd4424c…
04-29 14:15:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x63bd6c…
04-29 14:15:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x604153…
04-29 13:17:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x250f2c…
04-29 13:14:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb31fce…
04-29 12:23:56	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0x812ed6…
04-29 11:37:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0xb409a9…
04-29 11:32:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf80d2d…
04-29 08:21:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x281f88…
04-29 03:50:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc9b19c…
04-28 18:44:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xb89d40…