(anonymous) 0x45acce…b9d2bb
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Realized P&L
-$699
Unrealized P&L
-$209
Hit rate
8.2%
Resolved
60
Trades
2,071
lifetime
Volume
$66.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$0
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-31 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
71% 9% -$303
Politics
19% 10% -$297
Tech
6% 0% -$99
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +0 $27 100¢ $0 -$27 09-30 13:19
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $4 21¢ $0 -$4 10-30 15:12
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +0 $2 18¢ $0 -$2 10-24 02:41
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +0 $1 29¢ $0 -$1 07-22 12:53
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +0 $48 10¢ $0 -$48 10-18 23:33
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +0 $10 16¢ $0 -$10 10-22 20:33
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +0 $17 13¢ $0 -$17 10-04 01:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +0 $5 25¢ $0 -$5 09-16 18:49
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +0 $25 18¢ $0 -$25 10-02 09:46
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $15 13¢ $0 -$15 10-30 22:03
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +0 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 10-30 20:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +0 $12 14¢ $0 -$12 09-24 11:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +0 $29 6¢ $0 -$29 09-01 16:41
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? No +0 $14 4¢ $0 -$14 10-10 23:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 09-23 16:47