Peaceful-Roadway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$413

Unrealized P&L

-$77

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

352

Trades

1,184

lifetime

Volume

$36.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$62

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-23 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

90% 98% +$454

Crypto

3% 67% -$23

Sports

2% 57% +$42

Politics

2% 67% +$4

Tech

2% 60% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	+670	$98	6¢	$44	-$54	10-23 16:02
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+48	$4	23¢	$11	+$7	10-21 11:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$21	4¢	$4	-$17	07-21 10:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$16	3¢	$3	-$13	07-21 10:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US strike Yemen next?	7	$2.0K	990	990	+0	No	+$12	03-01 20:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$1.6K	790	790	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 15:18
Will the US strike Cuba next?	14	$1.5K	771	756	+15	No	+$3	03-01 16:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	4	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$2	06-08 15:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$1.2K	640	640	+0	No	+$15	04-08 06:29
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	29	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$1	03-31 13:51
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	4	$1.1K	538	538	+0	Yes	+$0	02-17 21:08
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	5	$998	501	501	+0	No	+$0	02-20 02:36
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	30	$904	482	424	+59	No	+$1	01-16 14:30
will gold gc hit high 5200 by end of january 343 743 428	4	$796	400	400	+0	Yes	+$3	01-29 08:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	10	$778	400	400	+0	No	+$2	06-05 07:35
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	4	$740	483	262	+221	Gold	+$2	01-25 21:22
will turbotax file your tax return be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	14	$611	347	267	+80	No	+$2	02-12 07:05
will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	8	$601	326	276	+50	No	+$1	01-30 11:52
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	5	$601	302	302	+0	No	+$1	02-22 10:16
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	23	$540	271	271	+0	No	+$1	02-06 14:26
will grok be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	15	$525	216	311	-95	No	+$0	02-13 05:48
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	13	$520	196	330	-133	No	+$3	01-29 12:24
will capcut photo video editor be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	14	$511	256	256	+0	No	+$1	02-12 13:51
will whatnot shop sell collect be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	17	$509	255	255	+0	No	+$0	01-16 14:07
Will the US strike another country first?	4	$499	400	100	+300	No	+$2	03-01 21:41
will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	15	$454	228	228	+0	No	+$1	02-13 11:27
will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	13	$444	225	220	+5	No	+$0	02-06 14:41
will capcut photo video editor be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	15	$430	215	215	+0	No	+$0	01-29 22:53
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	5	$419	210	210	+0	No	+$1	02-26 16:23
will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	17	$414	245	171	+74	No	+$1	01-23 08:44
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	8	$401	202	202	+0	No	+$1	02-26 07:56
will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	17	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-29 10:30
will grok be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	7	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$1	01-26 19:58
will gold gc hit high 5100 by end of january 412 277 258 652	4	$397	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	01-28 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 16:02:08	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0xad1bc2…
10-23 16:02:02	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	131	10¢	$13	0x444af3…
10-22 14:34:23	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb80c82…
10-22 14:31:57	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x15cea0…
10-22 14:31:51	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	121	17¢	$21	0xaccbd7…
10-21 13:33:21	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	120	20¢	$23	0xca8af4…
10-21 11:27:17	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x971992…
10-08 16:53:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	433	6¢	$26	0x822ca3…
10-05 14:59:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	7¢	$16	0xd9069a…
08-24 18:50:49	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xc5c08e…
08-24 18:50:24	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	577	4¢	$25	0x283f16…
08-24 18:49:01	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$32	0xfd2a74…
08-24 13:47:13	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	150	28¢	$42	0x249c5a…
08-23 17:45:10	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xb8c271…
08-20 18:32:57	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x4ad256…
08-19 19:21:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	27¢	$71	0x3dafbc…
08-18 12:07:24	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0x19674a…
08-18 06:22:18	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	190	4¢	$8	0x7848eb…
08-17 23:16:49	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0xdabb63…
08-16 13:15:36	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xb8a444…
08-16 06:41:33	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x65f145…
08-16 03:34:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x4e35f6…
08-16 03:34:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0x40d091…
08-16 03:34:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x120dd3…
08-16 03:34:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0696b7…
08-16 03:13:54	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7dc9a1…
08-15 18:14:45	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x80dd46…
08-15 12:10:31	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x55bd1b…
08-14 22:04:57	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x032a3e…
08-14 22:04:54	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x901aa9…
08-14 22:04:46	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x516cc6…
08-14 22:04:43	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xd7b773…
08-14 22:04:43	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x82b836…
08-14 22:04:43	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x771721…
08-14 21:29:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf1840c…
08-14 21:29:28	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x972cd1…
08-14 20:58:46	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb06c89…
08-14 20:58:45	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd8239e…
08-14 20:58:45	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x717146…
08-06 21:18:09	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4dfb92…
08-04 23:21:32	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	164	16¢	$26	0x317f1a…
08-04 05:08:39	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x91e511…
08-01 00:06:27	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x76e249…
07-24 11:08:04	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x349c35…
07-23 06:57:07	will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xb44f3e…
07-21 14:14:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	32¢	$54	0x6276a2…
07-21 10:52:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x98e808…
07-21 10:48:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x5916cd…
07-21 09:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	45¢	$104	0x2420d7…
07-17 14:08:01	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9adb30…
07-17 14:02:57	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0xd07c85…
07-17 13:58:21	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x1512d2…
07-17 13:58:00	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	90	77¢	$69	0xcd512b…
07-17 13:56:24	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xeee197…
07-17 13:56:24	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x3a640a…
07-17 13:56:22	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0xa5321a…
07-12 22:38:47	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	275	6¢	$16	0x7f27a1…
06-19 10:12:40	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	8¢	$50	0x8cfb5b…
06-11 16:06:33	Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x42d7aa…
06-11 14:33:06	Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4bc9f8…
06-11 05:58:13	Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6b2f0b…
06-11 05:57:46	Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x8113e2…
06-09 19:58:34	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x850bac…
06-09 19:58:22	Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xcbe4a3…
06-09 19:55:49	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbcddc5…
06-09 19:55:42	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc35b4b…
06-09 19:55:31	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd9d5c8…
06-09 19:55:25	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcb2c82…
06-09 19:55:18	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5b7e0c…
06-09 19:55:07	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb097cd…
06-09 19:54:51	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa09a3d…
06-09 19:54:27	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x76f49a…
06-09 19:53:18	Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7a06af…
06-09 19:52:37	Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1ef03b…
06-09 19:52:22	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x72ada3…
06-09 19:51:24	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7ea1cb…
06-09 19:50:15	Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xad080e…
06-08 15:05:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$296	0x1cf734…
06-07 19:21:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x4e7ea5…
06-07 13:22:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0xf28d31…
06-05 15:03:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0x04a5e2…
06-05 07:35:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x8322b0…
06-04 19:16:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2811c3…
06-04 19:10:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0xa667bf…
06-04 19:08:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xec1450…
06-04 19:08:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$62	0x925464…
06-04 09:49:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x465b19…
06-04 09:27:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0xccd1bf…
06-04 09:22:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x227c2c…
06-04 08:13:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x48627b…
06-03 11:10:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xd92391…
05-18 06:29:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xa9543b…
05-14 13:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9a6f09…
05-13 20:39:11	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb64772…
04-30 17:43:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	735	0¢	$3	0x9a07af…
04-30 17:26:02	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf6cb84…
04-30 16:10:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6b1a82…
04-27 15:18:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	756	99¢	$751	0x213861…
04-27 14:37:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x556a51…
04-27 14:06:02	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x909894…