Realized P&L
-$11.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
1,202
Trades
4,752
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$669
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 08:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
73% 60% -$11,686
Crypto
17% 73% +$11
Tech
5% 80% +$315
Politics
5% 59% +$266
Sports
0% 55% -$15
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +188 $100 50¢ $95 -$5 10-16 12:23
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,774 $157 3¢ $55 -$102 10-04 00:59
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$52 97¢ $-55 -$3 08-17 23:17
Human moon landing in 2026? No -42 -$42 99¢ $-42 $0 08-17 23:15
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -42 -$41 98¢ $-41 $0 08-17 23:15
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,390 $227 3¢ $40 -$188 07-24 01:11
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -41 -$38 94¢ $-38 $0 08-17 23:15
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? No -31 -$31 99¢ $-31 $0 08-17 23:15
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 06-04 09:39
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -17 -$17 97¢ $-17 $0 08-17 23:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -16 -$16 97¢ $-16 $0 08-17 23:15
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No -16 -$16 99¢ $-16 $0 08-17 23:16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -145 -$136 11¢ $-15 +$121 06-06 12:22
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -16 -$12 94¢ $-15 -$3 10-16 12:21
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -138 -$144 10¢ $-14 +$129 06-06 11:55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? Yes +993 $116 1¢ $14 -$102 10-16 12:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -89 -$13 15¢ $-14 $0 08-17 23:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -101 -$138 12¢ $-13 +$125 06-05 16:11
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +36 $20 34¢ $12 -$8 06-04 12:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 09-07 09:16
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 08-17 23:16
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 99¢ $-11 $0 09-07 09:11
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No -11 -$11 94¢ $-11 +$0 09-07 09:11
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 99¢ $-11 $0 09-07 09:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes +858 $41 1¢ $10 -$30 07-01 23:00
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 09-07 09:16
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -10 -$10 96¢ $-10 +$0 05-12 08:23
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -13 -$7 74¢ $-9 -$2 09-07 09:17
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$8 77¢ $-9 -$1 09-07 09:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -104 -$56 8¢ $-9 +$47 06-04 00:38