Subdued-Corporal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

-$178

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

2,921

Trades

7,767

lifetime

Volume

$772.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$1.68K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-01 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

92% 95% -$314

Sports

6% 94% +$588

Crypto

2% 85% -$135

Politics

0% 67% -$212

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,010	-$565	44¢	$-874	-$309	09-22 23:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	+470	$460	98¢	$460	$0	10-31 14:13
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	+334	$320	95¢	$317	-$3	10-30 00:01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+29	-$106	98¢	$28	+$134	10-29 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5.0K	5,015	0	+5,015	No	+$15	10-27 15:13
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	9	$4.2K	2,277	2,249	+29	open	—	10-29 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 9?	8	$4.2K	4,250	0	+4,250	No	+$85	10-09 14:56
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	1	$4.1K	0	4,211	-4,211	No	-$138	05-12 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	6	$4.0K	4,019	0	+4,019	Yes	+$41	07-15 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	15	$3.2K	3,299	513	+2,786	Yes	-$382	07-20 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?	11	$3.2K	3,201	0	+3,201	Yes	+$50	09-09 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$30	08-21 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?	8	$2.7K	1,348	1,348	+0	Yes	+$16	07-15 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	1	$2.4K	2,469	0	+2,469	Yes	+$25	10-01 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 7?	18	$2.4K	2,464	0	+2,464	No	+$30	09-07 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 3?	2	$2.4K	2,437	0	+2,437	No	+$37	05-03 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?	3	$2.3K	2,330	0	+2,330	No	+$30	05-06 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?	4	$2.3K	2,312	0	+2,312	Yes	+$24	09-12 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?	14	$2.1K	1,080	1,080	+0	No	+$28	05-03 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 5?	9	$2.1K	2,144	0	+2,144	No	+$33	07-05 07:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	3	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	+$20	03-31 17:45
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	No	+$15	04-01 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 11?	3	$2.0K	2,033	0	+2,033	No	+$33	05-11 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	54	$1.9K	1,179	1,179	+0	Yes	-$53	07-09 07:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 17c	15	$1.8K	1,349	622	+727	Yes	-$44	04-17 07:58
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	2	$1.8K	1,838	0	+1,838	No	+$33	01-30 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?	8	$1.8K	904	904	+0	Yes	+$8	09-13 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?	6	$1.7K	1,771	3	+1,768	Yes	+$21	05-05 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 5?	5	$1.7K	1,771	0	+1,771	Yes	+$23	09-05 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 1?	5	$1.7K	1,746	0	+1,746	Yes	+$20	09-01 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?	6	$1.7K	1,744	0	+1,744	No	+$34	08-06 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	4	$1.7K	1,682	0	+1,682	Yes	+$17	09-24 03:59
cbb stan wvir 2026 04 02	7	$1.6K	1,668	316	+1,351	West Virginia Mountaineers	-$1	04-03 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	10	$1.6K	1,043	1,043	+0	Yes	-$360	05-11 04:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x925612…
11-01 15:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x103f47…
11-01 15:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca5584…
11-01 15:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x07999d…
11-01 15:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	362	99¢	$360	0x63abb0…
11-01 15:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x7fcb10…
11-01 14:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x44c69a…
11-01 14:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x6a684a…
11-01 14:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8543a4…
11-01 14:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x7935dc…
11-01 14:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xe1e770…
11-01 14:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x366ac1…
11-01 14:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x5c0c5d…
11-01 14:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x32d629…
11-01 14:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x9e8adf…
11-01 13:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd08131…
11-01 13:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xfdbb64…
11-01 09:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x7fbe94…
11-01 07:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xdd9590…
11-01 07:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x6f9960…
11-01 07:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xecd388…
11-01 06:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbcbdf3…
11-01 06:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7abc3d…
11-01 06:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x9e37b9…
11-01 05:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x37283c…
11-01 05:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x5dd33d…
11-01 05:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$131	0x7c49bb…
11-01 05:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x20f88e…
11-01 05:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x338afa…
11-01 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa7b761…
11-01 05:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x884384…
11-01 05:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa84d4b…
11-01 05:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x134db9…
11-01 05:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x65a2c8…
11-01 05:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xd66e24…
11-01 05:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa761ac…
11-01 05:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc03c4a…
11-01 04:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x0a72f1…
11-01 04:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x6b448d…
11-01 04:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x005bb4…
11-01 04:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xab618c…
10-31 16:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1f1a91…
10-31 16:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8d1f94…
10-31 16:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xf81d32…
10-31 14:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x708031…
10-31 14:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xd24147…
10-31 14:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x5a73f9…
10-31 14:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xb7b405…
10-31 14:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5af51c…
10-31 14:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7b04ca…
10-31 14:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x76ec34…
10-31 14:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x7ee7d3…
10-31 14:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x10e2ae…
10-31 14:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x61c556…
10-31 14:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xac99e1…
10-31 14:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x6418fe…
10-31 14:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x03a697…
10-31 14:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x18036d…
10-31 14:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x88e92c…
10-31 14:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x706886…
10-31 14:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x93efc1…
10-31 14:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x11f2fb…
10-31 14:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x9ba1b0…
10-31 14:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xfbf0aa…
10-31 14:13:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x2a9ee5…
10-31 14:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd04ace…
10-31 14:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xee32d3…
10-31 14:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0x8fbc70…
10-31 14:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x52a42f…
10-31 05:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xa55889…
10-31 05:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xbaee3f…
10-31 05:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xd201e1…
10-31 05:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x9212c3…
10-31 05:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xdd1664…
10-31 05:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x04a1b9…
10-31 05:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xda58d6…
10-31 05:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xc6093d…
10-31 05:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xe7d006…
10-31 05:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	213	98¢	$210	0x2b4a2b…
10-31 05:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xce2b88…
10-31 04:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8237f3…
10-31 04:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfe4f38…
10-31 04:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x26adf1…
10-31 04:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x658d19…
10-31 04:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0xc51769…
10-31 03:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	294	99¢	$291	0xd6e531…
10-31 03:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$220	0xefda60…
10-30 14:42:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	215	98¢	$210	0x73c396…
10-30 14:41:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x78112b…
10-30 14:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x39a8b6…
10-30 14:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xa48815…
10-30 14:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x724ef5…
10-30 12:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf23d2c…
10-30 12:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x031d8d…
10-30 12:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xce95d9…
10-30 12:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0x657881…
10-30 12:49:00	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	No	BUY	289	95¢	$275	0xef8c2c…
10-30 12:48:43	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x4e7b35…
10-30 12:47:28	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0be540…
10-30 00:01:31	Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	221	95¢	$210	0x52ce3c…