Realized P&L
+$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
-$389
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
5,376
lifetime
Volume
$313.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$4.91K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-03 07:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
59% 67% +$1,966
Crypto
29% 75% +$444
Other
12% 0% $-97
Sports
0% 100% +$217
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -11,104 $-2,195 12¢ $-1388 +$806 06-26 16:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -2,946 $-1,574 47¢ $-1385 +$190 06-21 13:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +3,500 $2,676 22¢ $752 $-1,924 06-22 18:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -5,355 $-777 12¢ $-669 +$107 06-27 15:22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -1,322 $-725 26¢ $-348 +$377 05-27 23:53
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +1,016 $210 18¢ $183 $-27 06-30 23:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +125 $113 100¢ $125 +$12 06-09 19:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,000 $-65 $-23 +$43 05-29 13:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +565 $51 $14 $-36 06-24 15:48
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $20 $8 $-12 06-03 23:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -137 $-21 $-6 +$14 06-22 22:50
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $4 14¢ $5 +$0 05-30 02:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $7 16¢ $4 $-3 05-28 12:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +783 $-63 $1 +$64 06-10 17:00