Realized P&L
-$100
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
123
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$619
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-26 19:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-100
Crypto
39%
Other
10%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -256 $-135 56¢ $-145 $-10 06-15 09:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -192 $-98 70¢ $-136 $-37 06-04 07:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -1,538 $-176 $-131 +$46 06-04 07:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -834 $-131 12¢ $-104 +$26 06-03 07:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,489 $-97 $-54 +$42 06-01 18:22
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -252 $-35 20¢ $-49 $-14 06-04 07:09
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +81 $50 $0 $-50 06-19 20:14