Realized P&L
-$100
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
100
lifetime
Volume
$9.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$1.10K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-10 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52% 0% $-100
Crypto
36%
Other
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -422 $-285 76¢ $-321 $-36 06-10 17:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -1,538 $-176 12¢ $-177 $-1 06-04 07:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -834 $-131 18¢ $-154 $-24 06-03 07:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -192 $-98 70¢ $-135 $-37 06-04 07:08
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -140 $-122 88¢ $-122 $-1 06-04 07:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,489 $-97 $-92 +$5 06-01 18:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -52 $-36 81¢ $-42 $-6 06-04 07:08
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -252 $-35 16¢ $-42 $-6 06-04 07:09
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? Yes -717 $-7 $-11 $-4 06-03 07:52