Past-Pavement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$509

Unrealized P&L

-$164

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

241

Trades

551

lifetime

Volume

$32.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$906

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

56% 54% -$454

Crypto

24% 53% -$17

Politics

13% 54% -$26

Tech

5% 80% -$6

Sports

2% 62% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-742	-$693	97¢	$-718	-$26	06-14 11:52
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$99	99¢	$99	+$1	07-31 01:07
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+708	$418	8¢	$58	-$360	08-21 08:04
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+16	$15	96¢	$15	+$0	05-24 18:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-141	-$220	9¢	$-13	+$207	08-19 14:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-44	-$11	3¢	$-1	+$9	07-08 02:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	-10	-$5	8¢	$-1	+$4	06-23 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	10	$4.1K	2,147	2,147	+0	open	—	08-27 11:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$2.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	No	-$1	07-07 16:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$2.0K	1,033	1,021	+11	Yes	$0	05-21 16:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	-$1	07-04 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.8K	909	909	+0	No	-$1	04-23 16:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 22:09
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$0	03-29 04:13
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$1.4K	702	702	+0	No	+$1	03-28 12:44
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	3	$1.4K	704	704	+0	No	+$0	07-16 16:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$2	04-13 03:35
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	16	$997	500	500	+0	No	+$1	06-14 08:03
uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 btts	1	$964	965	0	+965	No	+$1	03-19 19:41
nvda above 190 on february 27 2026	3	$901	454	454	+0	No	+$2	02-27 19:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	5	$693	0	742	-742	open	—	06-14 11:52
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-28 17:24
googl close above 315 on february 24 2026	6	$500	450	355	+95	No	+$1	02-24 20:31
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	01-28 17:38
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on february 17	1	$500	502	0	+502	No	+$2	02-17 16:04
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	34	$418	708	0	+708	open	—	08-21 08:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	13	$410	193	334	-141	open	—	08-19 14:56
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	2	$408	410	0	+410	No	+$2	02-14 14:24
will solana reach 140 in march 2026	4	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$1	03-03 08:40
msft up or down on april 16 2026	44	$376	200	200	+0	Up	+$3	04-16 15:50
will backpack launch a token on march 23	4	$291	150	150	+0	Yes	+$8	03-23 12:39
cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$280	500	500	+0	PARIVISION	-$210	03-28 18:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$201	144	144	+0	Yes	-$5	03-04 16:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$200	101	100	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:56
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	4	$194	150	150	+0	Down	-$26	02-16 14:45
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	6	$178	103	110	-7	Yes	+$10	05-21 07:45
ucl ata ath1 2026 01 21 ata	2	$123	88	88	+0	No	+$23	01-21 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:25:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x155757…
09-16 17:02:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xa4a396…
08-31 18:27:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	42¢	$24	0xbbe970…
08-27 13:33:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x07d509…
08-27 11:07:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,069	96¢	$1,026	0xb80509…
08-26 16:30:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	700	96¢	$674	0xb5a366…
08-26 16:30:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	369	96¢	$355	0xbfa217…
08-22 22:36:33	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xb238c3…
08-22 16:22:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x8db1fb…
08-21 08:04:27	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x16d7e1…
08-19 14:56:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x86b2cb…
08-17 03:06:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x58737d…
08-16 14:09:13	Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xef57f3…
08-13 08:10:52	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x84a63c…
08-12 20:01:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	No	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0xa99065…
08-11 17:51:30	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x376caa…
08-11 14:32:57	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd434bf…
08-11 10:52:09	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x044350…
08-11 04:49:55	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xf4a4f6…
08-11 02:02:03	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe72509…
08-11 01:56:54	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xb93ad4…
08-10 17:02:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x51e562…
08-09 14:11:34	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa2ace6…
08-08 18:42:25	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x037515…
08-03 09:58:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x4849a6…
08-01 15:39:02	clf rma fio 2026 08 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xeac945…
08-01 08:40:50	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x61e347…
07-31 11:20:36	Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$2	0x9311ce…
07-31 11:20:26	Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$2	0x4875fb…
07-31 11:19:38	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf49374…
07-31 01:07:11	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa0a14b…
07-31 00:12:29	Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x26db51…
07-30 23:33:27	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd154f2…
07-30 16:08:20	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7a9c5c…
07-30 14:57:11	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8cc00a…
07-29 17:20:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x26d88d…
07-29 17:20:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x08ef53…
07-29 16:34:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x8c3374…
07-29 16:28:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb5a251…
07-20 16:36:25	atp zheng shelbay 2026 07 20	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4b07d3…
07-20 15:39:24	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xfd084f…
07-19 17:22:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb4ce49…
07-16 16:00:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8dc160…
07-15 06:33:28	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x8dbb0e…
07-15 06:33:20	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x773cbd…
07-13 16:43:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	703	100¢	$699	0xb3db5d…
07-13 15:48:52	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	704	99¢	$700	0xfb3862…
07-12 11:14:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	849	96¢	$817	0x5becce…
07-12 11:13:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3e4141…
07-12 11:13:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd7fdc9…
07-12 11:09:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x842312…
07-12 10:50:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	214	96¢	$207	0x34d28b…
07-12 10:44:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xf6c31c…
07-12 10:44:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	995	96¢	$958	0xac521b…
07-12 10:42:14	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x67405a…
07-11 20:21:44	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0aa3e2…
07-10 01:49:23	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x3e93a6…
07-10 01:48:40	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1eea82…
07-08 10:17:11	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x37e5f8…
07-08 02:42:20	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x41f5cb…
07-08 02:32:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xb1b3e7…
07-07 16:18:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x952937…
07-07 16:09:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0xe0bcdc…
07-06 18:47:53	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x387156…
07-05 22:28:37	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x7502d9…
07-04 16:29:55	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x2c5ac6…
07-04 11:36:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	1,019	98¢	$999	0x0e30c2…
07-04 11:31:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0x3f7fed…
07-03 22:13:10	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf7e4f7…
06-29 21:19:11	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3c532f…
06-29 20:25:25	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfe30b6…
06-26 02:14:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0x6f5b0b…
06-25 13:59:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x8da0f4…
06-25 13:54:08	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x255c97…
06-24 01:46:50	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5ab3d2…
06-23 19:33:13	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xe40485…
06-23 16:26:35	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x53a776…
06-23 16:11:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x61e831…
06-23 13:01:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xaf9d1e…
06-21 10:32:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x898cbb…
06-19 21:48:47	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc457f7…
06-17 19:14:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa9f394…
06-15 16:28:10	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5bfbeb…
06-15 15:41:06	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x0a74f7…
06-15 13:18:06	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0xb257e4…
06-15 06:41:12	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x1fa6a5…
06-14 23:52:18	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xedd42f…
06-14 23:52:18	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x69e9fb…
06-14 23:52:16	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0xc4b487…
06-14 23:48:19	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5d7916…
06-14 23:48:18	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xeb1924…
06-14 23:48:18	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa15cc3…
06-14 23:48:18	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x804b3c…
06-14 23:48:18	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x744718…
06-14 21:41:06	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xa43462…
06-14 21:19:06	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1a7fc0…
06-14 11:52:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0x38bd2d…
06-14 08:03:43	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x96200d…
06-14 07:36:54	Will Solana reach $140 in June?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x320335…
06-14 07:08:04	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x72e9bf…