(anonymous) 0x839f88…90ecba
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Realized P&L
+$382
Unrealized P&L
+$237
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
3,102
Trades
16,691
lifetime
Volume
$59.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-28 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$433
Crypto
26% 46% -$178
Politics
5% 37% +$78
Tech
1% 50% +$49
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 984 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +125 $95 95¢ $119 +$24 10-23 17:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $57 97¢ $87 +$30 10-26 19:55
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +79 $61 94¢ $74 +$13 10-23 22:41
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +80 $58 92¢ $74 +$16 10-23 17:18
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +65 $60 97¢ $63 +$3 10-05 06:19
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +65 $51 96¢ $62 +$11 09-29 20:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +60 $50 94¢ $56 +$7 10-21 14:17
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +86 $64 62¢ $53 -$10 10-25 23:49
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +51 $36 91¢ $46 +$10 10-26 18:02
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $48 77¢ $46 -$2 10-26 03:08
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +52 $30 87¢ $45 +$15 10-27 14:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $34 84¢ $44 +$10 10-22 20:44
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 10-19 10:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $26 96¢ $38 +$12 09-30 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down +40 $37 94¢ $38 +$1 10-28 07:59
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +52 $35 72¢ $38 +$2 10-19 17:43
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +35 $26 99¢ $35 +$9 10-01 18:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +50 $27 66¢ $33 +$5 10-25 12:11
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +39 $29 79¢ $31 +$1 10-02 17:14
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +80 $16 38¢ $30 +$15 10-25 22:54
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $21 100¢ $30 +$9 10-25 18:29
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $26 99¢ $30 +$4 10-15 06:41
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +30 $24 99¢ $30 +$5 09-30 23:36
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +30 $26 97¢ $29 +$3 10-27 17:51
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +28 $24 100¢ $28 +$4 09-27 21:57
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 92¢ $27 +$3 09-22 18:03
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +30 $21 88¢ $26 +$5 09-30 10:13
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +30 $27 85¢ $26 -$1 10-05 05:48
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +25 $10 96¢ $24 +$14 10-04 22:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +30 $9 76¢ $23 +$14 10-27 16:32