(anonymous) 0x839f88…90ecba Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$577
Unrealized P&L
+$396
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
3,793
Trades
20,116
lifetime
Volume
$72.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 11-07 10:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
66% 44% +$570
Crypto
25% 46% -$183
Politics
8% 44% +$136
Tech
1% 44% +$51
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 984 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +240 $137 80¢ $192 +$55 11-04 21:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +177 $82 99¢ $175 +$93 11-04 06:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +182 $111 80¢ $147 +$36 11-04 21:46
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +125 $95 99¢ $124 +$29 10-23 17:16
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +111 $33 85¢ $94 +$61 11-06 07:35
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +80 $58 96¢ $77 +$19 10-23 17:18
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? No +73 $59 100¢ $73 +$14 11-07 00:48
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +65 $60 98¢ $64 +$4 10-05 06:19
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +111 $72 55¢ $61 -$12 11-03 21:57
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +70 $42 85¢ $60 +$17 11-07 09:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +110 $50 54¢ $59 +$8 11-06 16:14
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +55 $37 99¢ $54 +$18 11-04 01:09
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No +56 $22 90¢ $51 +$29 11-06 06:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +50 $40 97¢ $49 +$8 11-04 15:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +105 $51 46¢ $49 -$3 11-06 15:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +48 $39 100¢ $48 +$9 11-04 01:58
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +105 $29 45¢ $48 +$19 11-03 20:42
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +238 $102 20¢ $47 -$55 11-04 16:09
Dota 2: potn9ki vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A Zenith +75 $40 62¢ $47 +$7 11-06 12:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $34 88¢ $46 +$12 10-22 20:44
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +41 $36 98¢ $41 +$5 11-05 00:48
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +40 $17 100¢ $40 +$23 11-04 22:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +77 $60 51¢ $39 -$21 11-05 21:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +36 $24 99¢ $35 +$11 11-02 04:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +179 $65 20¢ $35 -$30 11-04 20:13
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +67 $13 49¢ $33 +$20 11-05 12:05
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $27 82¢ $33 +$6 11-06 22:24
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +40 $30 76¢ $30 +$0 11-05 15:53
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? No +34 $18 84¢ $28 +$11 11-03 19:04
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 94¢ $28 +$4 09-22 18:03