(anonymous) 0x839f88…90ecba
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$461
Unrealized P&L
+$283
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved (30d)
1,776
Trades (30d)
9,796
17,920 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$37.8K
$63.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 11-01 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$470
Crypto
26% 46% -$178
Politics
6% 41% +$106
Tech
1% 46% +$53
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 984 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +125 $95 98¢ $122 +$28 10-23 17:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +108 $26 96¢ $104 +$78 10-25 21:55
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +90 $49 96¢ $87 +$38 10-30 11:25
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +80 $58 94¢ $76 +$18 10-23 17:18
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +72 $44 98¢ $71 +$27 10-28 22:45
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +65 $60 98¢ $64 +$4 10-05 06:19
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +90 $22 69¢ $62 +$39 11-01 15:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $34 88¢ $46 +$12 10-22 20:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $48 74¢ $44 -$4 10-26 03:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +52 $35 76¢ $39 +$4 10-19 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +39 $29 79¢ $31 +$2 10-02 17:14
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +96 $67 31¢ $30 -$37 11-01 18:53
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +30 $4 100¢ $30 +$26 10-30 01:39
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1? No +30 $26 99¢ $30 +$4 10-30 00:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +50 $21 60¢ $30 +$9 10-29 07:33
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +40 $34 72¢ $29 -$5 10-29 06:44
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +50 $27 56¢ $28 +$0 10-25 12:11
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$2 10-29 17:22
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 89¢ $27 +$3 09-22 18:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +60 $24 44¢ $27 +$3 10-27 10:00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +30 $21 88¢ $27 +$5 09-30 10:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +31 $20 84¢ $26 +$6 11-01 17:50
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +30 $28 86¢ $26 -$2 10-26 17:49
No one announced as next James Bond? No +30 $22 86¢ $26 +$4 10-26 17:37
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +30 $25 86¢ $26 +$1 10-30 06:34
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +25 $10 96¢ $24 +$14 10-04 22:57
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +30 $21 72¢ $22 +$1 10-24 12:16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +25 $19 82¢ $20 +$2 10-31 08:22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 10-23 07:39
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 10-15 07:16