(anonymous) 0x839f88…90ecba
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$216
Unrealized P&L
+$406
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved (7d)
351
Trades (7d)
2,284
17,233 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$8.69K
$61.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-30 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$434
Crypto
26% 46% -$191
Politics
6% 37% +$77
Tech
1% 50% +$49
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 984 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +125 $95 94¢ $118 +$23 10-23 17:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +108 $26 95¢ $103 +$77 10-25 21:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $57 99¢ $89 +$32 10-26 19:55
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +85 $44 99¢ $84 +$40 10-29 17:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +130 $31 58¢ $76 +$45 10-29 23:17
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +80 $58 92¢ $74 +$16 10-23 17:18
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +72 $44 99¢ $71 +$27 10-28 22:45
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +65 $51 98¢ $64 +$13 09-29 20:42
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +65 $60 97¢ $63 +$3 10-05 06:19
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +65 $29 95¢ $62 +$33 10-28 16:40
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +140 $101 42¢ $58 -$43 10-29 23:17
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +86 $64 64¢ $55 -$9 10-25 23:49
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +52 $30 97¢ $50 +$20 10-27 14:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +80 $16 61¢ $49 +$33 10-29 14:14
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +51 $36 96¢ $49 +$13 10-26 18:02
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $48 78¢ $47 -$1 10-26 03:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +52 $34 80¢ $42 +$8 10-22 20:44
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 10-28 03:17
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +40 $37 99¢ $40 +$3 10-29 08:42
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +52 $35 76¢ $40 +$4 10-19 17:43
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $26 98¢ $39 +$13 09-30 06:07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 10-19 10:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? No — +40 $25 94¢ $37 +$13 10-30 00:32
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +35 $26 99¢ $35 +$9 10-01 18:34
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +34 $30 100¢ $34 +$4 10-28 04:12
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +40 $34 84¢ $34 $0 10-29 06:44
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +50 $27 61¢ $30 +$3 10-25 12:11
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +39 $29 77¢ $30 +$1 10-02 17:14
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $21 100¢ $30 +$9 10-25 18:29
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +30 $26 100¢ $30 +$4 10-27 17:51