Sugary-Passport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-03 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

38% 100% +$3

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	3	$110	353	43	+310	open	—	07-09 18:27
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	5	$96	128	63	+65	open	—	07-09 18:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$91	102	45	+57	open	—	07-09 18:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$83	313	73	+240	open	—	07-09 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$78	45	35	+10	open	—	05-11 16:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$76	306	32	+274	open	—	07-09 18:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	6	$68	169	164	+5	open	—	07-09 18:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$59	59	44	+15	open	—	07-09 18:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$46	280	22	+258	open	—	07-09 18:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$33	36	0	+36	No	+$3	05-07 15:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	4	$32	160	15	+145	open	—	07-09 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	06-07 20:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	1	$20	0	54	-54	open	—	07-02 16:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	3	$19	0	20	-20	open	—	07-08 19:35
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	1	$17	0	22	-22	open	—	07-02 16:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	4	$13	28	12	+16	open	—	07-09 18:27
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	4	$12	17	4	+13	open	—	07-09 18:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$12	23	9	+14	open	—	07-09 18:27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-07 20:05
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$10	101	9	+92	open	—	07-09 18:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-03 23:31
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	3	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	07-08 19:35
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	07-08 19:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$10	12	10	+3	open	—	07-09 18:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$9	21	0	+21	open	—	06-07 20:05
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	07-09 18:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	07-09 18:27
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	08-03 13:32
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-07 20:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	0	92	-92	open	—	06-07 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 13:32:23	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0x445f22…
08-03 13:32:18	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x3ac936…
08-03 13:32:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xd6499d…
07-09 18:27:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	310	11¢	$34	0xe5e07f…
07-09 18:27:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x8cdc3a…
07-09 18:27:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0x05d9de…
07-09 18:27:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5a5941…
07-09 18:27:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x177a09…
07-09 18:27:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	65	63¢	$41	0xc410e6…
07-09 18:27:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9bf56c…
07-09 18:27:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xb92c00…
07-09 18:27:13	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x1363fb…
07-09 18:27:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x024fac…
07-09 18:27:05	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x9b5d5b…
07-09 18:27:02	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x9efeaa…
07-09 18:27:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xf76ad4…
07-09 18:26:56	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	12¢	$19	0x18e2e4…
07-09 18:26:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	306	16¢	$49	0x43d9ad…
07-09 18:26:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	280	9¢	$25	0x2db5d1…
07-09 18:26:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	4¢	$13	0x35b534…
07-08 19:35:44	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0x40144d…
07-08 19:35:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x90f792…
07-08 19:35:37	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	37¢	$12	0x0b7876…
07-08 19:35:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xb36a02…
07-08 19:35:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x687895…
07-08 19:35:28	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4697d8…
07-08 19:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc62a6e…
07-08 19:35:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x3b59a8…
07-08 19:35:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xe07ef4…
07-08 19:35:17	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x636416…
07-08 19:35:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x605b3c…
07-08 19:35:11	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xf4f49f…
07-08 19:35:10	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xa5ccad…
07-08 19:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	85¢	$17	0xae7cfe…
07-08 19:35:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x12a4ba…
07-08 19:35:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x5e2229…
07-02 16:01:20	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	22	75¢	$17	0xc1939a…
07-02 16:01:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	54	38¢	$20	0x3a958f…
07-02 02:34:59	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf42a16…
07-02 02:34:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x063b9d…
07-01 22:10:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x5895eb…
07-01 22:09:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0x5bb5ef…
07-01 22:09:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xef326c…
07-01 14:57:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0x392a06…
07-01 14:57:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x595907…
07-01 14:57:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$19	0x90339d…
07-01 14:56:58	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xd20a89…
07-01 13:24:25	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x6fa91b…
07-01 13:24:22	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x643a72…
07-01 13:24:19	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1ffcba…
07-01 13:24:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x7736dd…
07-01 13:24:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x278676…
07-01 13:24:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2c0014…
07-01 13:24:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xb14a59…
07-01 13:24:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xc305fc…
07-01 13:23:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xc18c1a…
07-01 13:23:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x912ae5…
07-01 13:23:47	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9620d6…
07-01 13:23:44	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x56f32a…
07-01 13:23:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x97f5a1…
07-01 13:23:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x6a9170…
07-01 13:23:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf0ab5c…
07-01 13:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x596739…
07-01 13:23:32	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xad4119…
06-07 20:05:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$4	0xb895c2…
06-07 20:05:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x9872fc…
06-07 20:05:03	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x55ad5d…
06-07 20:05:03	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x43aae2…
06-07 20:05:03	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x17e22a…
06-07 20:05:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xeb2623…
06-07 20:05:01	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe1a303…
06-07 20:05:01	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb7ce1c…
06-07 20:05:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x6b655f…
06-07 20:05:01	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x65f0cc…
06-07 20:05:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x20f917…
06-07 20:05:00	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x9c2380…
06-07 20:05:00	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x8e08d0…
06-07 20:05:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x366530…
06-07 20:05:00	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x35bf5c…
06-07 20:05:00	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x0920a4…
06-07 20:05:00	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x036edc…
06-07 20:04:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xcbf553…
06-07 14:56:45	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd7656f…
06-07 14:56:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x30c85b…
06-07 14:56:45	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07de1f…
06-07 14:56:43	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe23a92…
06-07 14:56:43	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc6d5c5…
06-07 14:56:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa316d1…
06-07 14:56:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x672a56…
06-07 14:56:43	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x5fbe15…
06-07 14:56:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2e84c4…
06-07 14:56:43	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x2126cc…
06-07 14:56:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xc5fab0…
06-07 14:56:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9c3767…
06-07 14:56:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x452c32…
06-07 14:56:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x148112…
06-07 14:56:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x0ef0fd…
06-07 12:54:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xfc0960…
06-07 12:54:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	151	19¢	$29	0x71498b…
06-06 22:49:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	151	20¢	$30	0x19d79c…