Tremendous-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

Trades

917

lifetime

Volume

$47.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-30 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$7

Sports

37% 50% $-122

Crypto

3% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No		+35	$29	86¢	$30	+$1	06-21 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?	13	$6.2K	3,151	3,151	+0	open	—	03-29 02:50
nba det orl 2026 03 01	17	$1.4K	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	03-02 01:32
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	11	$1.4K	876	876	+0	open	—	02-22 20:33
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	2	$981	497	497	+0	open	—	02-22 18:41
mls laf mia 2026 02 21 laf	33	$897	451	451	+0	open	—	02-22 04:33
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$888	489	489	+0	open	—	02-28 19:48
Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$841	556	556	+0	open	—	04-21 01:54
bra cru vit 2026 04 01 cru	6	$758	466	463	+4	open	—	04-02 01:12
nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	10	$744	648	648	+0	open	—	03-05 02:41
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	6	$692	417	417	+0	open	—	03-02 00:33
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	4	$679	505	505	+0	open	—	02-25 22:11
nba phi min 2026 02 22	2	$662	334	334	+0	open	—	02-23 02:49
atp tabilo passaro 2026 02 18	5	$603	409	409	+0	open	—	02-19 02:21
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	9	$600	302	302	+0	open	—	02-24 19:28
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$583	519	519	+0	Yes	+$30	02-23 20:50
will iran strike cyprus in march	3	$567	357	357	+0	open	—	03-04 21:19
nba was atl 2026 02 24	2	$560	280	280	+0	open	—	02-25 02:18
nba phi ind 2026 02 24	2	$560	280	280	+0	open	—	02-25 02:05
atp hanfman gaubas 2026 02 26	2	$518	268	268	+0	open	—	02-27 18:45
nba orl lal 2026 02 24	10	$512	400	400	+0	open	—	02-25 05:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$509	312	312	+0	open	—	03-03 20:15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$492	2,304	944	+1,360	open	—	03-18 22:15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	51	$492	7,674	7,674	+0	No	+$30	03-23 13:21
nba phi bos 2026 03 01	2	$490	290	290	+0	open	—	03-02 03:44
nba bos phx 2026 02 24	2	$483	248	248	+0	open	—	02-25 03:38
lib cor san1 2026 04 15 cor	4	$480	300	300	+0	open	—	04-16 02:39
nba hou orl 2026 02 26	2	$472	472	472	+0	open	—	02-27 01:26
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$469	774	774	+0	open	—	02-22 04:07
bra fla bah 2026 04 19 btts	27	$467	400	399	+1	open	—	04-19 23:50
atp mensik grieksp 2026 02 26	10	$450	513	506	+7	open	—	02-26 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 03:59:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x955d47…
06-21 14:08:40	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xe32ad6…
06-18 17:14:46	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x50aba6…
06-18 17:14:46	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0x2e8871…
06-18 02:41:58	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x8696ee…
06-15 18:45:55	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf4431e…
06-15 15:24:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xda299e…
06-14 21:22:21	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8e351f…
06-13 14:51:19	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x0ef1a4…
06-13 13:28:49	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1a5ef…
06-11 20:12:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x2ef3ab…
06-11 20:04:42	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x632489…
06-11 20:01:06	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x465f28…
06-11 19:49:12	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x794c53…
06-11 19:44:58	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x38dc46…
05-29 00:25:17	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	219	68¢	$149	0xd95269…
05-26 04:01:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	120	37¢	$44	0x2c11ee…
05-26 04:01:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb51ce4…
05-26 04:00:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0xc26e18…
05-26 04:00:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x911019…
05-26 04:00:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xe6b267…
05-26 04:00:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc6e689…
05-26 04:00:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf94a93…
05-26 04:00:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe7f3cf…
05-26 04:00:17	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xb49b7f…
05-26 03:59:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2d5fb3…
05-26 03:59:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xcf3018…
05-26 03:59:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x30efaf…
05-26 03:58:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0d77ab…
05-26 03:58:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa7dd13…
05-26 03:58:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x892323…
05-26 03:58:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x389959…
05-26 03:57:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6c0b84…
05-26 03:57:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xc053ac…
05-26 03:57:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbf3d64…
05-26 03:56:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xae7d01…
05-26 03:56:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x161311…
05-18 20:42:05	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xcd5d3b…
05-18 20:41:23	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x0e878c…
05-18 20:37:18	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0xe599ef…
05-18 20:37:13	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x0178b5…
05-18 20:35:58	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x22ef76…
05-18 20:34:32	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x25ca8c…
05-18 20:33:55	Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	162	55¢	$89	0xcb6f5a…
05-18 20:33:45	Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb29fa9…
05-18 20:33:45	Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x3231d1…
05-18 20:31:39	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x965d9f…
05-18 20:27:25	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x3d25fb…
05-12 01:24:36	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	310	18¢	$56	0x903542…
05-12 01:23:47	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	310	48¢	$149	0x2b32b7…
05-09 03:18:56	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x19fbda…
05-05 00:18:28	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0xb4ef7d…
05-03 19:46:16	CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0x6bffd4…
05-01 22:58:30	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x365bdb…
05-01 21:55:04	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	215	36¢	$77	0x7f6a51…
05-01 21:54:50	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0xb387b6…
05-01 15:14:24	Will Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xec36a8…
05-01 15:14:16	Will Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf290e4…
05-01 02:33:08	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	72	35¢	$25	0xd09478…
05-01 02:33:06	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x7904c9…
05-01 02:33:06	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x3677e0…
05-01 02:33:06	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x311858…
05-01 02:33:06	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x1bfa34…
04-30 23:29:34	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	610	33¢	$201	0xed4af8…
04-30 22:45:46	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x2f2770…
04-30 19:29:36	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x7a3600…
04-30 03:11:10	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	SELL	147	50¢	$73	0x1a0c23…
04-30 03:11:08	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	SELL	73	50¢	$37	0xf6bae0…
04-29 17:07:18	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x92d251…
04-28 03:16:54	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	97	4¢	$4	0x555ac7…
04-28 02:27:34	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xf0039e…
04-28 02:27:32	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x143564…
04-28 02:27:30	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x859ab9…
04-28 02:27:30	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	72	30¢	$22	0x0e6844…
04-28 02:25:16	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0xc60507…
04-27 20:11:34	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	530	19¢	$101	0x5b7eb2…
04-27 13:39:58	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	272	19¢	$52	0x7e7c12…
04-27 08:24:54	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0xb22e7f…
04-26 23:47:20	CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0xc96e67…
04-26 23:23:08	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0xb72a5f…
04-26 23:07:52	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0xfe6259…
04-26 23:07:52	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	58	31¢	$18	0xc57e28…
04-26 23:07:52	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xba6754…
04-26 23:07:50	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6c11a5…
04-26 23:07:50	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x299aff…
04-26 23:07:22	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x942464…
04-26 23:07:18	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x803a25…
04-26 23:07:10	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd43a7b…
04-26 23:06:52	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0b0a1e…
04-26 23:06:22	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa265b9…
04-26 23:06:06	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc05f81…
04-26 23:06:00	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xda3888…
04-26 23:05:48	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x51c167…
04-26 23:05:34	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbb2fa9…
04-26 23:05:28	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x68fbe5…
04-26 20:45:30	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	145	70¢	$102	0x374e86…
04-26 18:50:44	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x4efca0…
04-26 18:48:16	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x327d1b…
04-26 18:47:04	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x11429c…
04-26 18:44:06	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xebaae1…