Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
1,488
Trades
2,167
lifetime
Volume
$9.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$65
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 07-30 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
71% 63% -$5
Politics
18% 62% -$13
Crypto
6% 80% +$15
Sports
5% 54% +$0
Tech
0% 83% +$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 100¢ $-10 -$1 05-04 10:38
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 07-30 05:02
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 06-24 17:24
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? Yes -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-30 05:04
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 $0 05-21 21:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 07-28 17:57
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 07-29 13:02
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 07-25 14:17
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 -$4 93¢ $-5 $0 07-25 14:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -5 -$3 88¢ $-4 -$1 07-28 14:19
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 88¢ $-4 -$1 07-25 14:17
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-17 14:44
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$1 14¢ $-1 +$1 07-30 05:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -5 -$1 12¢ $-1 +$0 07-30 05:16
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 07-30 05:16