Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,098

lifetime

Volume

$9.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-05 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 100% +$0

Politics

19% 67% +$3

Crypto

6% 67% $-19

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		-5	$-4	80¢	$-4	$-0	06-05 00:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$247	124	124	+0	open	—	03-18 18:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$166	171	0	+171	open	—	03-31 03:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	05-26 16:14
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	5	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	03-19 04:02
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	16	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	03-15 20:28
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	15	$63	91	91	+0	open	—	03-03 17:41
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$56	44	44	+0	No	$-20	03-19 18:12
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	5	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	03-21 20:15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	13	$44	62	62	+0	open	—	02-28 15:51
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	10	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	03-09 02:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	03-19 15:45
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	06-05 00:53
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	4	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	03-21 23:46
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$34	48	28	+21	open	—	03-18 16:50
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	03-16 00:52
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-01 00:24
highest temperature in munich on march 5 2026 16c	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-05 16:04
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-07 22:08
cl up or down on march 18 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-18 22:58
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 17corbelow	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-05 17:12
highest temperature in nyc on march 5 2026 50forhigher	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-06 07:36
highest temperature in chicago on march 5 2026 50 51f	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-06 07:42
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 14c	3	$29	21	11	+10	open	—	03-22 04:37
greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	03-16 19:50
highest temperature in lucknow on march 8 2026 38c	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 09:48
highest temperature in paris on march 8 2026 15c	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 11:09
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-24 01:33
highest temperature in atlanta on march 3 2026 60 61f	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-03 20:53
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$27	28	28	+0	open	—	03-24 15:31
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 22c	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-06 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 00:53:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xfff1e2…
06-05 00:42:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2defa3…
06-05 00:39:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xe6a165…
05-26 16:14:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x1eaa65…
04-21 09:12:42	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x20b142…
04-13 08:58:43	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x61d174…
04-03 14:25:07	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x611e33…
03-31 03:32:21	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x77c70b…
03-31 03:31:21	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xca0ba4…
03-31 03:25:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc0f6c8…
03-31 03:24:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x9996fa…
03-30 12:32:10	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xed2af3…
03-30 12:31:42	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xea130c…
03-30 12:29:06	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xa09a56…
03-28 16:42:47	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbd1c00…
03-27 18:57:19	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x85052a…
03-27 14:50:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x593780…
03-27 02:23:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x12bbeb…
03-27 01:17:21	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x469b33…
03-26 22:14:49	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x02c3cb…
03-25 06:26:45	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xaf209c…
03-25 04:50:19	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xcde606…
03-25 03:37:47	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0xdbb267…
03-25 01:16:03	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xa8fc98…
03-25 01:15:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x1c5e43…
03-25 01:14:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x2bee9d…
03-25 01:06:25	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x95c344…
03-24 22:45:31	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xebdc9f…
03-24 19:30:35	Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x80786d…
03-24 18:36:21	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x526352…
03-24 18:16:05	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x7e2e1a…
03-24 17:59:35	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x25ee15…
03-24 16:42:25	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf3da3a…
03-24 16:28:43	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x39fc42…
03-24 16:22:51	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xb9b910…
03-24 15:31:01	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xc2d62d…
03-24 15:30:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x345ddc…
03-24 15:27:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xc4b261…
03-24 15:27:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	41¢	$10	0xb60588…
03-24 14:04:25	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x11f0fe…
03-24 13:45:59	highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 52forhigher	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xcf3875…
03-24 13:45:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xafb252…
03-24 13:33:05	highest temperature in houston on march 26 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x402021…
03-24 13:29:31	highest temperature in houston on march 24 2026 94forhigher	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x204db1…
03-24 13:27:39	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x96c68d…
03-24 13:18:41	highest temperature in houston on march 24 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x23ab4c…
03-24 13:13:17	highest temperature in houston on march 24 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x00c975…
03-24 11:36:53	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x011d12…
03-24 11:36:03	highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc5a372…
03-24 11:29:37	highest temperature in nyc on march 26 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe681bb…
03-24 11:28:49	highest temperature in nyc on march 26 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1826fd…
03-24 11:05:13	highest temperature in taipei on march 27 2026 30c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5dc6e0…
03-24 10:44:27	highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x747217…
03-24 10:39:47	highest temperature in beijing on march 25 2026 23c	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xf54977…
03-24 10:36:57	highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2d1bfd…
03-24 09:04:35	highest temperature in los angeles on march 26 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8faddd…
03-24 08:57:33	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x634774…
03-24 08:48:03	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x2d59de…
03-24 05:02:57	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x783e24…
03-24 04:01:43	aws service disrupted by march 31 623	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x433072…
03-24 01:33:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x3ce09a…
03-24 01:07:31	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x792f03…
03-24 00:48:03	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdf7397…
03-23 23:59:45	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fa6d8…
03-23 21:57:03	highest temperature in los angeles on march 26 2026 86forhigher	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2c0938…
03-23 21:55:59	highest temperature in los angeles on march 24 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x420cd6…
03-23 21:55:11	highest temperature in san francisco on march 27 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9a78c2…
03-23 21:53:51	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3b4539…
03-23 21:51:47	highest temperature in san francisco on march 27 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5adc70…
03-23 21:46:25	highest temperature in denver on march 27 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa8d85b…
03-23 21:35:35	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x605563…
03-23 21:35:01	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 78forhigher	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x62fec6…
03-23 21:13:21	bra2 cui afc 2026 03 22 draw	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdf2698…
03-23 20:47:25	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x45b9b1…
03-23 20:37:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 26 2026 94 95f	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf2f453…
03-23 20:32:15	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x21db92…
03-23 20:30:25	highest temperature in atlanta on march 25 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd2ec33…
03-23 19:32:17	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 23c	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x221049…
03-23 19:21:49	highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7e4e37…
03-23 19:17:55	highest temperature in milan on march 26 2026 9c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1bc050…
03-23 19:11:45	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9d6625…
03-23 19:11:29	highest temperature in chengdu on march 27 2026 16c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x093c38…
03-23 19:09:55	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4a2a36…
03-23 19:04:47	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 23c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xacc11c…
03-23 18:56:47	highest temperature in beijing on march 27 2026 18c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa402f3…
03-23 18:56:29	highest temperature in beijing on march 27 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc7cd95…
03-23 18:54:55	highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x740d91…
03-23 18:50:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x574297…
03-23 18:45:39	highest temperature in houston on march 26 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf9f315…
03-23 15:18:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xf772c7…
03-23 15:14:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x50d6ca…
03-23 13:47:39	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x07bad5…
03-23 12:31:01	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7d529b…
03-23 12:30:57	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe41eb6…
03-23 07:36:27	highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 12c	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x0b84f6…
03-23 02:33:11	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa04cae…
03-23 01:04:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xce49a5…
03-23 00:14:31	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x0c473f…
03-23 00:08:13	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x77b4a4…
03-23 00:06:55	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x44c8a2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x3abf…b143	595	$146.9K	10,703	04-02 19:43
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	569	$601.2K	42,108	06-08 22:47
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	567	$10.9M	59,724	03-23 00:07
(anonymous) 0x2b78…c6b5	479	$93.3K	8,540	03-22 17:49
Rosy-Trinket 0x6ac5…4b6e	423	$1.93M	12,051	03-22 18:59
Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de	420	$151.4K	1,590	03-22 23:56
(anonymous) 0xf588…2b81	399	$1.48M	17,571	03-08 18:21
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	396	$371.3K	30,358	04-21 13:16