Liquid-Head — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved

Trades

514

lifetime

Volume

$129.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$251

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-11 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

36% 0% $-8

Other

32% — —

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

6% 67% $-197

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$13.3K	6,880	6,880	+0	open	—	02-27 17:29
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	3	$10.0K	0	9,997	-9,997	open	—	01-29 00:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$9.7K	5,046	5,046	+0	open	—	04-30 07:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$5.9K	3,005	3,005	+0	open	—	05-16 10:13
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$5.8K	3,094	3,094	+0	open	—	06-27 00:19
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	2	$3.8K	4,448	0	+4,448	open	—	06-11 17:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	8	$3.8K	2,160	2,160	+0	open	—	06-14 22:15
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$3.6K	4,003	0	+4,003	open	—	03-16 18:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	7	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-25 08:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$2.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	02-28 21:05
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	20	$2.2K	3,003	0	+3,003	open	—	04-30 07:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$2.2K	1,131	1,131	+0	open	—	06-13 10:49
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$2.0K	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	03-26 20:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 19:28
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	2	$1.9K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	06-12 09:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$1.9K	1,004	1,004	+0	open	—	06-27 00:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$1.8K	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	05-06 11:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$1.8K	2,115	0	+2,115	open	—	05-18 17:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$1.7K	1,332	566	+766	open	—	03-23 12:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	17	$1.6K	1,512	712	+800	open	—	05-21 20:12
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$1.5K	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	03-15 03:00
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$1.5K	977	977	+0	Sean Strickland	$-218	05-10 04:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$1.1K	874	437	+437	open	—	02-19 13:52
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	06-27 00:42
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	1	$1.0K	0	1,033	-1,033	open	—	07-26 22:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-19 13:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$987	0	1,007	-1,007	open	—	06-11 19:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$979	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-04 13:58
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	1	$962	0	1,002	-1,002	open	—	02-05 13:38
will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	1	$935	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	08-01 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:32:45	ufc eri15 don13 2026 08 15	Donte Johnson	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0x9e1585…
08-10 10:03:51	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xdc1ef5…
08-09 01:04:04	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08 go the distance	Yes	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x0eba75…
08-08 10:20:49	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	No	BUY	200	84¢	$167	0xc7615c…
08-08 10:14:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xaa3131…
08-08 10:11:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd7d321…
08-07 22:48:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x53c39e…
08-07 22:48:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	580	86¢	$499	0x5ffc4f…
08-07 22:48:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x1648cf…
08-07 22:36:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x5b51f3…
08-07 22:36:01	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x84f9cd…
08-06 00:59:53	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x763392…
08-06 00:59:23	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x56b89f…
08-06 00:58:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x7586f7…
08-06 00:56:02	will ethereum reach 2000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0xd37f57…
08-06 00:55:18	will ethereum reach 2000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x25612a…
08-06 00:55:09	will ethereum reach 2000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0xcddb77…
08-06 00:47:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xc2ad23…
08-06 00:46:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xf53763…
08-05 00:34:23	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x15ccd1…
08-04 23:32:54	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd63c80…
08-04 23:31:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xce6928…
08-04 23:28:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x37742b…
08-02 22:16:56	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xbbbf83…
08-02 22:12:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x71fe77…
08-02 22:12:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xec53d3…
08-02 22:09:56	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xbcce58…
08-02 22:09:17	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x4b1fb6…
08-01 19:21:50	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	Uroš Medic	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x591313…
08-01 18:59:17	ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	Jan Blachowicz	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbab244…
08-01 18:31:26	ufc mar12 ale15 2026 08 01 go the distance	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x18b8e5…
08-01 17:41:56	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x348f6b…
08-01 17:26:02	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1d822f…
08-01 17:25:32	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$935	0x86506b…
08-01 17:25:11	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x10a48c…
08-01 17:24:35	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x98c6f5…
08-01 17:24:08	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xe0a21b…
08-01 17:14:24	ufc mjanic ngugno 2026 08 01	Noah Gugnon	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xfbb76c…
08-01 14:46:44	ufc hai nmilos 2026 08 01	Nina Miloševic	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x9a3437…
07-30 03:52:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0x9a3160…
07-28 21:22:38	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x1d471d…
07-26 22:27:40	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x69c3e6…
07-26 22:27:16	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x8ca540…
07-26 22:26:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2aa677…
07-26 22:25:07	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,033	100¢	$1,028	0xbb42ac…
07-26 01:22:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xd3f358…
07-26 01:20:42	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x5cb1d0…
07-26 01:13:42	will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x7cb297…
07-25 20:18:33	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0xf8bfec…
07-25 18:47:55	ufc mag1 bog1 2026 07 25 go the distance	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x6a5dd1…
07-25 15:43:28	ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25	Valter Walker	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3dca48…
07-25 13:41:52	ufc mik1 nur 2026 07 25	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x50d865…
07-23 20:07:25	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x57020d…
07-22 13:59:33	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x3176b6…
07-22 13:59:27	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x7c2d7b…
07-22 13:59:24	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x414775…
07-22 13:43:52	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x3da9d0…
07-21 22:58:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x1a4813…
07-21 22:58:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8c86f7…
07-21 22:58:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf86349…
07-21 22:52:25	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	SELL	500	83¢	$416	0x8e632a…
07-21 22:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x99351c…
07-19 22:07:36	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	201	92¢	$184	0x6f0971…
07-19 01:15:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xab7da8…
07-19 01:01:25	ufc tab fat 2026 07 18	Fatima Kline	SELL	99	92¢	$91	0xeb5090…
07-18 23:49:21	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	99	73¢	$72	0xf2ee37…
07-18 22:52:24	ufc fel11 lev1 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x549183…
07-18 22:37:10	ufc dander eellio 2026 07 18	Damien Anderson	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x88a5fa…
07-18 22:28:28	ufc dander eellio 2026 07 18	Damien Anderson	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x67fcfe…
07-17 21:23:16	ufc jea2 seo1 2026 07 18	Seokhyeon Ko	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xd971f6…
07-17 21:19:58	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	102	48¢	$49	0x3a4a26…
07-17 21:14:07	ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18	Tommy McMillen	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x1aa0a5…
07-17 21:09:39	ufc tab fat 2026 07 18	Fatima Kline	BUY	99	81¢	$80	0x3759be…
07-15 14:30:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	101	76¢	$77	0xdad8aa…
07-15 14:29:41	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,003	92¢	$922	0x112d6c…
07-15 12:57:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf1891d…
07-13 20:44:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	101	84¢	$84	0x31e1fe…
07-12 02:43:34	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Cory Sandhagen	SELL	105	21¢	$22	0xabe3f5…
07-12 02:30:14	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Cory Sandhagen	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x6e964d…
07-12 02:29:49	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Cory Sandhagen	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x071ddf…
07-12 02:01:07	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Lone'er Kavanagh	SELL	51	38¢	$19	0xb12948…
07-12 00:49:25	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x86037c…
07-12 00:47:56	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1d4695…
07-12 00:47:08	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x24d701…
07-12 00:37:58	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x664ed5…
07-10 12:07:59	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$99	0xca678d…
07-02 13:23:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd01131…
07-02 13:14:20	will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x11ddfc…
07-02 13:13:25	Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$347	0x5b9e19…
07-02 13:11:31	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0xfb1345…
07-01 20:55:20	ufc ces2 dam11 2026 07 11	Damian Pinas	BUY	101	65¢	$65	0xaeac29…
07-01 20:54:01	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	101	54¢	$55	0x979916…
07-01 20:41:37	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	101	66¢	$67	0xdc0438…
07-01 20:23:10	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x01af6e…
07-01 20:20:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x554fde…
06-29 17:25:56	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x530c20…
06-29 17:24:55	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x519ff4…
06-27 17:11:53	ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27	Asu Almabayev	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x8f1860…
06-27 00:42:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	96¢	$960	0xb4f01d…
06-27 00:40:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	1,004	94¢	$945	0x0d24af…