Aching-Defender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$354

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

7,972

lifetime

Volume

$521.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-31 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 67% +$193

Politics

4% 50% $-547

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	70	$17.1K	28,777	24,075	+4,702	open	—	07-31 14:09
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	73	$15.4K	24,692	24,292	+400	open	—	07-29 19:08
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	43	$13.9K	11,573	12,751	-1,178	open	—	07-28 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	23	$7.1K	4,951	4,951	+0	open	—	07-26 02:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	9	$6.4K	8,840	7,940	+900	open	—	06-02 23:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$6.4K	6,217	6,217	+0	open	—	03-30 00:24
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	6	$6.2K	26,734	4,734	+22,000	open	—	03-16 22:27
btc updown 5m 1772562600	16	$5.1K	5,182	3,727	+1,455	open	—	03-03 18:33
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	51	$4.9K	10,813	4,897	+5,915	open	—	01-26 16:02
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	5	$4.6K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	07-09 19:47
btc updown 5m 1772649300	178	$4.5K	4,429	4,407	+21	open	—	03-04 18:40
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	17	$4.4K	3,408	3,408	+0	open	—	07-26 02:14
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	10	$3.8K	31,217	0	+31,217	open	—	02-18 17:39
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	41	$3.8K	10,000	4,247	+5,753	open	—	01-14 22:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	11	$3.6K	3,624	3,494	+130	open	—	04-26 20:16
will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	13	$3.6K	3,169	3,169	-0	open	—	07-28 22:21
btc updown 5m 1772741400	72	$3.5K	5,722	1,144	+4,578	open	—	03-05 20:14
btc updown 5m 1772739300	6	$3.5K	7,685	0	+7,685	open	—	03-05 19:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	19	$3.5K	6,285	5,962	+323	open	—	04-24 15:46
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	12	$3.5K	4,477	3,446	+1,031	open	—	07-29 23:33
btc updown 5m 1772739600	126	$3.4K	14,131	9,103	+5,028	open	—	03-05 19:47
btc updown 5m 1772390700	85	$3.3K	4,862	439	+4,423	open	—	03-01 18:48
btc updown 5m 1772632800	4	$3.3K	281,332	0	+281,332	open	—	03-04 14:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	20	$3.3K	5,628	2,339	+3,289	open	—	05-22 22:22
will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	8	$3.1K	3,155	3,155	+0	open	—	07-04 00:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	6	$3.0K	12,953	12,143	+811	open	—	04-23 11:27
btc updown 5m 1772400300	26	$3.0K	3,300	3,267	+33	open	—	03-01 21:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	19	$2.9K	3,031	3,310	-279	open	—	05-24 13:56
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	3	$2.9K	0	7,064	-7,064	open	—	07-21 16:18
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	10	$2.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	07-13 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 14:09:56	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	2,817	14¢	$400	0x7eecf6…
07-31 14:09:41	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,444	8¢	$436	0xd72824…
07-31 14:08:15	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	345	21¢	$72	0x17985a…
07-31 14:07:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x987b53…
07-31 14:07:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1,560	5¢	$71	0x18a0e6…
07-31 14:06:47	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	540	33¢	$179	0xcf027b…
07-31 14:06:12	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0xda4ac8…
07-31 13:59:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1,560	6¢	$100	0x93cef1…
07-31 13:59:08	bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,750	8¢	$300	0x8c6b79…
07-31 13:50:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,648	11¢	$400	0x757ffe…
07-31 13:50:08	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	1,812	23¢	$424	0x8a71b5…
07-31 13:46:45	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	5,435	20¢	$1,109	0x2923bc…
07-30 14:48:12	btc updown 5m 1785422700	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8f9f00…
07-30 14:47:59	btc updown 5m 1785422700	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb48fdd…
07-30 13:42:21	btc updown 5m 1785418800	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb916c4…
07-30 13:41:20	btc updown 5m 1785418800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5da7b8…
07-30 13:25:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	1,729	7¢	$121	0xaa0e8f…
07-30 12:20:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,444	9¢	$400	0xe067f5…
07-30 12:15:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	3,847	8¢	$300	0xa9b701…
07-30 02:41:06	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	197	27¢	$53	0xaa2d55…
07-30 02:39:41	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xcf7099…
07-30 00:23:12	btc updown 5m 1785370800	Up	BUY	566	28¢	$158	0xc86682…
07-30 00:23:11	btc updown 5m 1785370800	Up	BUY	1,391	25¢	$342	0x067d47…
07-30 00:18:29	btc updown 5m 1785370500	Down	BUY	1,133	17¢	$187	0xd657c2…
07-30 00:18:29	btc updown 5m 1785370500	Down	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x926193…
07-30 00:18:29	btc updown 5m 1785370500	Down	BUY	802	13¢	$108	0x6fe5fa…
07-30 00:18:27	btc updown 5m 1785370500	Down	BUY	951	11¢	$100	0x8ec91f…
07-30 00:06:50	btc updown 5m 1785369900	Down	BUY	393	25¢	$100	0x309bda…
07-30 00:02:41	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	343	38¢	$130	0xa34e10…
07-30 00:02:29	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x44f5dd…
07-29 23:33:51	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6b9ebe…
07-29 23:33:44	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x752cdd…
07-29 23:33:20	btc updown 5m 1785367800	Down	SELL	630	63¢	$396	0xb84376…
07-29 23:33:08	btc updown 5m 1785367800	Down	BUY	300	9¢	$26	0xbecd5e…
07-29 23:32:15	btc updown 5m 1785367800	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xcfa3cd…
07-29 23:29:45	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcaab93…
07-29 23:29:45	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x039031…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf5491a…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xe8e41d…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcd1d1e…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0xa22458…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x992a1e…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7f18d3…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x727e95…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5544a5…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3361a9…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0x313375…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x14130e…
07-29 23:29:44	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x0ac952…
07-29 23:29:42	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xf842b6…
07-29 23:29:42	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xcda8d1…
07-29 23:29:42	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcd8fe5…
07-29 23:29:42	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x36ad42…
07-29 23:29:42	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x28e0bb…
07-29 23:29:39	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3746ff…
07-29 23:28:02	btc updown 5m 1785367800	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x57c5af…
07-29 23:26:54	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x0961fa…
07-29 23:26:51	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0x96aaa3…
07-29 23:26:14	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x66b0f2…
07-29 23:25:53	btc updown 5m 1785367500	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x473c5f…
07-29 23:25:24	btc updown 5m 1785367800	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1e5e18…
07-29 23:21:56	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	931	43¢	$400	0x7c67eb…
07-29 23:21:53	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	1,018	39¢	$400	0x0ed008…
07-29 22:25:15	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	1,610	59¢	$942	0x62b916…
07-29 22:24:56	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	1,955	57¢	$1,115	0x46d8c7…
07-29 21:08:23	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	BUY	477	42¢	$200	0x3e18fc…
07-29 21:08:15	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	739	41¢	$300	0x04d0a7…
07-29 21:08:11	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	182	59¢	$107	0x66abb1…
07-29 21:00:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	BUY	871	46¢	$400	0x6ab7d3…
07-29 21:00:11	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	871	46¢	$400	0x1eafa8…
07-29 21:00:09	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x812be7…
07-29 20:54:30	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$103	0x372a1a…
07-29 20:54:20	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	BUY	427	47¢	$200	0x6c6033…
07-29 20:39:35	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x638e84…
07-29 20:39:30	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0x80fe02…
07-29 20:34:05	btc updown 5m 1785357000	Down	BUY	282	18¢	$52	0x7e2a50…
07-29 20:30:33	btc updown 5m 1785357000	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xced3b0…
07-29 20:30:27	btc updown 5m 1785357000	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd823ca…
07-29 20:16:33	btc updown 5m 1785356100	Up	SELL	105	84¢	$88	0xec0d33…
07-29 20:16:29	btc updown 5m 1785356100	Up	SELL	315	84¢	$265	0x95451d…
07-29 20:11:53	btc updown 5m 1785356100	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c129d…
07-29 20:11:32	btc updown 5m 1785355800	Down	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd72fc1…
07-29 20:08:35	btc updown 5m 1785355500	Down	SELL	140	65¢	$91	0x657d5d…
07-29 20:07:51	btc updown 5m 1785355800	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc20dbc…
07-29 20:07:29	btc updown 5m 1785355500	Down	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xadeb42…
07-29 20:07:12	btc updown 5m 1785356100	Up	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xcff305…
07-29 20:07:09	btc updown 5m 1785355500	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x33c5b0…
07-29 19:08:36	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x477796…
07-29 19:08:27	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x053ee9…
07-29 18:37:56	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	SELL	1,491	34¢	$506	0xe944b1…
07-29 14:30:39	btc updown 5m 1785335400	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x85df4e…
07-29 13:57:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x927f35…
07-29 13:47:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	58¢	$580	0xc924a5…
07-29 13:46:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,021	62¢	$637	0x371cb8…
07-29 13:46:44	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	1,191	25¢	$300	0xc4dda7…
07-29 13:46:24	bitcoin up or down on july 29 2026	Up	SELL	400	86¢	$344	0x06646f…
07-29 13:45:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1,776	79¢	$1,406	0x26dd74…
07-28 23:17:11	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	150	55¢	$83	0xcfc391…
07-28 23:17:04	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	450	54¢	$245	0x3ffbd6…
07-28 22:36:34	btc updown 5m 1785278100	Up	SELL	108	67¢	$72	0x45d5bf…