Aching-Defender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$368

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

1,028

Trades

8,628

lifetime

Volume

$576.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$59

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-17 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 52% -$46,964

Politics

4% 64% -$1,657

Other

3% 44% -$3,111

Sports

0% 33% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+10,661	$427	0¢	$53	-$373	08-01 14:39
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+1,307	$8	0¢	$6	-$2	07-29 12:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$0	16¢	$0	+$0	07-15 01:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$6	11¢	$0	+$6	09-06 21:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	70	$17.1K	28,777	24,075	+4,702	Yes	+$598	07-31 14:09
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	73	$15.4K	24,692	24,292	+400	No	+$1,153	07-29 19:08
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	45	$14.0K	12,751	12,751	+0	No	+$614	07-28 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	23	$7.1K	4,951	4,951	+0	No	+$316	07-26 02:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	9	$6.4K	8,840	7,940	+900	Yes	-$138	06-02 23:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$6.4K	6,217	6,217	+0	Yes	-$208	03-30 00:24
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	6	$6.2K	26,734	4,734	+22,000	Yes	-$1,246	03-16 22:27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	21	$6.0K	5,150	5,150	+0	Yes	+$126	09-15 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:30 UTC	16	$5.1K	5,182	3,727	+1,455	Up	+$314	03-03 18:33
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	51	$4.9K	10,813	4,897	+5,915	No	-$1,990	01-26 16:02
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	5	$4.6K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	+$72	07-09 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:35 UTC	178	$4.5K	4,429	4,407	+21	Up	+$544	03-04 18:40
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	17	$4.4K	3,408	3,408	+0	No	+$119	07-26 02:14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	14	$4.1K	8,600	8,600	+0	open	—	09-10 12:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	14	$4.1K	4,683	2,670	+2,013	No	-$1,004	09-16 18:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	25	$4.0K	5,928	4,139	+1,789	Yes	-$12	05-22 22:22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	16	$3.9K	7,634	6,198	+1,435	Yes	-$219	09-15 20:46
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	10	$3.8K	31,217	0	+31,217	No	-$3,790	02-18 17:39
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	12	$3.8K	7,064	7,064	+0	No	+$1,919	07-21 16:18
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	41	$3.8K	10,000	4,247	+5,753	No	-$1,148	01-14 22:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	21	$3.6K	3,931	3,931	+0	No	+$83	05-24 13:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	11	$3.6K	3,624	3,494	+130	No	-$49	04-26 20:16
will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	13	$3.6K	3,169	3,169	-0	No	-$24	07-28 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC	72	$3.5K	5,722	1,144	+4,578	Up	-$1,905	03-05 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:35 UTC	6	$3.5K	7,685	0	+7,685	Down	-$3,500	03-05 19:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	19	$3.5K	6,285	5,962	+323	No	+$785	04-24 15:46
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	12	$3.5K	4,477	3,446	+1,031	Yes	-$222	07-29 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:40 UTC	126	$3.4K	14,131	9,103	+5,028	Up	-$700	03-05 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:45 UTC	85	$3.3K	4,862	439	+4,423	Up	+$1,840	03-01 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:00 UTC	4	$3.3K	281,332	0	+281,332	Down	-$3,336	03-04 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 09:37:55	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0xdc3677…
09-16 22:21:43	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0x09547a…
09-16 18:17:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x90f521…
09-16 18:17:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	SELL	1,784	25¢	$451	0xb64f3e…
09-16 14:33:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x4ec7b8…
09-16 14:32:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xda2dad…
09-16 14:32:06	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x310a1c…
09-16 14:31:57	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x6ae2db…
09-16 14:31:49	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xec0d65…
09-16 14:31:45	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xf1672d…
09-16 14:31:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,915	17¢	$493	0x3bf24e…
09-16 06:52:51	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	774	26¢	$201	0xd41f0d…
09-16 04:37:25	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xeae6f2…
09-16 03:58:58	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xd621e1…
09-16 00:28:27	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0xc70c9d…
09-15 23:20:04	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9f1a83…
09-15 23:19:16	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	751	17¢	$128	0xe4f853…
09-15 22:24:46	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xe7be94…
09-15 20:47:46	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0x15b05c…
09-15 20:47:16	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x271a50…
09-15 20:47:03	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x1cc28c…
09-15 20:46:40	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	600	55¢	$330	0x4f29b6…
09-15 20:46:31	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	518	30¢	$155	0x5f6fd8…
09-15 20:46:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	700	55¢	$385	0xce5273…
09-15 20:45:55	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	SELL	600	89¢	$536	0xf53cef…
09-15 20:45:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	1,300	83¢	$1,077	0x9792bd…
09-15 20:03:25	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	177	52¢	$92	0xc726c4…
09-15 20:03:00	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x48947c…
09-15 18:41:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	300	82¢	$245	0xc1714a…
09-15 16:07:52	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	363	17¢	$62	0xd5ed84…
09-15 16:07:06	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,519	4¢	$65	0x74f09e…
09-14 13:30:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd7854d…
09-14 13:30:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	No	BUY	79	74¢	$58	0x3038a4…
09-14 13:27:04	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xe68f3f…
09-14 13:24:27	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0x6818ec…
09-14 10:43:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xe2095e…
09-14 10:43:28	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0x886602…
09-14 10:43:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0xb26839…
09-14 10:43:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	165	56¢	$92	0xd5c246…
09-14 10:42:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x8bf752…
09-14 10:42:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x64151f…
09-14 10:42:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	SELL	1,300	66¢	$852	0xca2b0a…
09-13 14:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	332	9¢	$30	0xa9d522…
09-13 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,231	8¢	$100	0x2a7ddf…
09-13 13:42:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0xfc8759…
09-12 21:39:27	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	314	37¢	$116	0x30c1d5…
09-12 19:21:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x1eb82f…
09-12 18:59:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	SELL	1,905	2¢	$47	0x58d6f9…
09-12 18:59:18	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	20¢	$410	0x6ee441…
09-12 14:52:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	342	1¢	$5	0x6ccb3a…
09-12 14:52:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x21f638…
09-12 14:52:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xb0958e…
09-12 14:52:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x271e2e…
09-12 14:51:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x8be025…
09-12 14:50:24	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,300	14¢	$182	0x0707f7…
09-12 14:50:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?	Yes	SELL	428	53¢	$227	0xd63d3f…
09-12 13:48:36	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	428	46¢	$197	0x9269ad…
09-12 13:48:06	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	700	18¢	$126	0x881f9c…
09-12 13:46:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x62ed17…
09-12 13:46:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	BUY	600	59¢	$354	0xaacabd…
09-12 13:46:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	BUY	700	59¢	$413	0xc284c1…
09-12 13:45:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x1f7c28…
09-12 13:45:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	835	60¢	$501	0x856d27…
09-12 13:45:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	1,200	60¢	$720	0xc199db…
09-12 13:22:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xeac5da…
09-12 00:58:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	SELL	1,767	35¢	$618	0x72a31d…
09-11 23:52:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7,400	7¢	$518	0x457ab1…
09-11 23:51:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	600	13¢	$78	0xa4a764…
09-11 23:50:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	789	42¢	$330	0x00eb31…
09-11 20:30:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x759121…
09-11 19:19:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xed4bbc…
09-11 19:19:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x805845…
09-11 19:19:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x9b4122…
09-11 19:18:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	SELL	290	57¢	$165	0x423f7a…
09-11 17:27:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x5f5dbe…
09-11 17:27:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	175	31¢	$54	0x2fbf65…
09-11 17:24:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x448db2…
09-11 17:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	262	30¢	$79	0x357517…
09-11 16:52:57	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0x07e63c…
09-11 16:52:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	SELL	290	62¢	$180	0x332591…
09-11 16:52:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	600	30¢	$180	0xdb7760…
09-11 16:52:15	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xfe302b…
09-11 16:52:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x3b7f4a…
09-11 16:06:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	1,277	55¢	$702	0xe1ab76…
09-11 16:06:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	1,040	61¢	$633	0x2ef1a5…
09-11 16:06:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	SELL	4,431	28¢	$1,230	0xe14343…
09-11 14:41:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x4edf6e…
09-11 14:40:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	BUY	580	69¢	$400	0xd6d419…
09-11 14:40:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	891	22¢	$200	0x141810…
09-11 14:40:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	3,540	20¢	$700	0xf1ee3a…
09-11 14:40:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0x1fed45…
09-11 14:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	1,277	47¢	$600	0x1cdc98…
09-11 13:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	1,079	37¢	$400	0x96a976…
09-11 13:00:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0x614cd4…
09-11 13:00:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xda14c7…
09-10 12:12:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?	Yes	SELL	1,939	15¢	$291	0xaae9f3…
09-10 12:12:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,550	16¢	$568	0x5a8c83…
09-10 12:11:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?	Yes	SELL	5,133	16¢	$821	0x51687f…
09-08 22:34:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8?	No	SELL	160	75¢	$120	0xcf2c66…
09-08 22:34:24	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xacdb77…