Aching-Defender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$354

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,983

lifetime

Volume

$394.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-05 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 67% +$193

Politics

6% 50% $-547

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 316 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	9	$6.4K	8,840	7,940	+900	open	—	06-02 23:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$6.4K	6,217	6,217	+0	open	—	03-30 00:24
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	6	$6.2K	26,734	4,734	+22,000	open	—	03-16 22:27
btc updown 5m 1772562600	16	$5.1K	5,182	3,727	+1,455	open	—	03-03 18:33
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	51	$4.9K	10,813	4,897	+5,915	open	—	01-26 16:02
btc updown 5m 1772649300	178	$4.5K	4,429	4,407	+21	open	—	03-04 18:40
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	10	$3.8K	31,217	0	+31,217	open	—	02-18 17:39
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	41	$3.8K	10,000	4,247	+5,753	open	—	01-14 22:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	11	$3.6K	3,624	3,494	+130	open	—	04-26 20:16
btc updown 5m 1772741400	72	$3.5K	5,722	1,144	+4,578	open	—	03-05 20:14
btc updown 5m 1772739300	6	$3.5K	7,685	0	+7,685	open	—	03-05 19:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	19	$3.5K	6,285	5,962	+323	open	—	04-24 15:46
btc updown 5m 1772739600	126	$3.4K	14,131	9,103	+5,028	open	—	03-05 19:47
btc updown 5m 1772390700	85	$3.3K	4,862	439	+4,423	open	—	03-01 18:48
btc updown 5m 1772632800	4	$3.3K	281,332	0	+281,332	open	—	03-04 14:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	20	$3.3K	5,628	2,339	+3,289	open	—	05-22 22:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	6	$3.0K	12,953	12,143	+811	open	—	04-23 11:27
btc updown 5m 1772400300	26	$3.0K	3,300	3,267	+33	open	—	03-01 21:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	19	$2.9K	3,031	3,310	-279	open	—	05-24 13:56
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	4	$2.8K	14,088	14,088	+0	open	—	03-04 13:52
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$2.7K	5,917	5,917	+0	open	—	03-03 16:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	11	$2.7K	7,333	4,464	+2,869	open	—	04-30 21:03
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	9	$2.6K	11,034	0	+11,034	open	—	02-18 17:01
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$2.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	01-25 13:20
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	6	$2.6K	12,510	0	+12,510	open	—	06-03 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	60	$2.5K	3,818	3,818	+0	open	—	05-01 02:59
btc updown 5m 1772419200	41	$2.4K	5,401	1,478	+3,923	open	—	03-02 02:44
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	14	$2.4K	37,511	0	+37,511	open	—	02-13 17:26
will bitcoin reach 72k march 23 29	14	$2.4K	1,657	1,644	+13	open	—	03-25 02:20
btc updown 5m 1774882500	15	$2.3K	2,342	1,376	+966	open	—	03-30 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:13:45	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x4b0334…
06-03 14:32:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	699	15¢	$105	0x42a77e…
06-03 13:42:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	600	15¢	$90	0x3c2418…
06-03 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa2fbe7…
06-02 23:31:49	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	600	44¢	$264	0x4aa484…
06-02 23:25:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	No	BUY	890	43¢	$383	0xa7e9bf…
06-02 23:25:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9c2cfb…
06-02 23:06:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4c2a0e…
06-02 23:05:42	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,100	15¢	$165	0xd0872f…
06-02 23:05:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	900	15¢	$135	0x7dac2b…
06-02 23:01:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	BUY	1,400	16¢	$224	0x8adf7f…
06-02 23:01:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x062957…
06-02 19:43:31	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	105	46¢	$48	0xea7079…
06-02 19:43:17	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	155	46¢	$71	0xddd247…
06-02 19:39:44	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	900	29¢	$258	0xcdab1d…
06-02 19:39:33	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,300	17¢	$221	0x396bd4…
06-02 19:39:16	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	440	46¢	$202	0x4430dd…
06-02 15:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	600	35¢	$210	0xe8f685…
06-02 15:14:38	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	600	35¢	$210	0xf0dea2…
06-02 14:39:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	1,032	40¢	$413	0x9f088d…
06-02 14:39:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	238	31¢	$74	0x19d1c3…
06-02 14:39:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	6,908	39¢	$2,694	0x8f1780…
06-02 13:49:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	238	8¢	$20	0x35220f…
06-02 13:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0x8d2981…
06-02 13:47:03	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	7,912	24¢	$1,893	0xfb5480…
06-02 13:46:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x765eaf…
06-02 13:46:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x76520a…
06-02 13:46:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x6a69b5…
06-02 13:45:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	7,790	36¢	$2,804	0x230f74…
05-24 14:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	630	15¢	$95	0xd7687c…
05-24 14:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x319ff7…
05-24 14:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x5e0c5f…
05-24 13:56:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	81	92¢	$74	0x3e17e1…
05-24 13:56:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,500	5¢	$68	0x17f791…
05-23 13:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	389	11¢	$44	0xa1166b…
05-23 13:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	540	6¢	$30	0xf621db…
05-23 13:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	715	14¢	$100	0x4ac732…
05-23 13:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	695	8¢	$58	0x8a7951…
05-23 13:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	870	5¢	$42	0x291116…
05-23 13:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	598	17¢	$100	0x6b0263…
05-23 13:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x4534d8…
05-23 13:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	794	23¢	$185	0xf5e470…
05-23 13:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	175	26¢	$46	0x97baca…
05-23 13:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xabc753…
05-23 13:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x718983…
05-23 13:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x18ca6f…
05-23 13:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	424	24¢	$100	0x16f188…
05-23 13:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xdddb7a…
05-23 13:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf1b376…
05-23 13:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x85ab5d…
05-23 13:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc6e6e0…
05-23 13:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1070d6…
05-23 13:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	695	37¢	$258	0xa43922…
05-23 13:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xebe4eb…
05-23 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0x2fb195…
05-23 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x561e1a…
05-23 13:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x408cbf…
05-23 13:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0xff2da0…
05-23 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbac382…
05-23 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9bdf5c…
05-23 13:01:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$32	0x9a79c4…
05-23 13:01:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x4f0e57…
05-23 13:00:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0x9d5d23…
05-23 01:41:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	279	17¢	$47	0x35c9ed…
05-22 22:22:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x4714f0…
05-22 21:48:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xc5d2f5…
05-22 21:48:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x5bd64f…
05-22 21:48:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,200	25¢	$298	0x33f684…
05-20 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	289	9¢	$26	0xf5acbe…
05-20 20:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x52523d…
05-20 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x71caae…
05-20 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	219	61¢	$134	0x998989…
05-20 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0xcaf88b…
05-20 19:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd7fa8d…
05-20 19:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4c3baa…
05-20 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2b86f3…
05-20 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1f1a90…
05-20 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0x8e921c…
05-20 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x330209…
05-20 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x0f28b3…
05-20 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x04e202…
05-20 00:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x43c50b…
05-20 00:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xcf7d21…
05-20 00:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa15b9d…
05-20 00:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1fe8c2…
05-20 00:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd97cf5…
05-20 00:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x47b077…
05-20 00:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf7b49b…
05-11 09:07:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	156	42¢	$66	0xf38378…
05-11 02:30:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	800	79¢	$634	0x998db1…
05-11 02:29:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,333	38¢	$507	0x0cd677…
05-10 23:17:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xb1f783…
05-10 23:16:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	800	75¢	$600	0xf09431…
05-10 23:16:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,333	30¢	$400	0x8b67e8…
05-10 23:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x63d318…
05-10 23:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5336ce…
05-10 23:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x506a63…
05-10 23:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0xd239e4…
05-10 23:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9b18a5…
05-10 23:12:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	554	5¢	$25	0x59dd9d…