Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved
230
Trades
2,194
lifetime
Volume
$1.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$647
Open exposure
$90.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
54% 96% -$313
Politics
29% 92% -$696
Sports
14% 93% +$958
Crypto
2% 100% +$65
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +20,655 $20,591 100¢ $20.6K -$8 10-28 00:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -24,315 -$11,942 61¢ $-14905 -$2,962 10-05 23:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -27,270 -$13,112 39¢ $-10553 +$2,558 10-22 15:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,444 $7,288 92¢ $6.8K -$477 10-06 08:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7,500 -$6,160 84¢ $-6304 -$144 10-14 17:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -7,000 -$5,601 82¢ $-5722 -$121 10-06 16:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -6,017 -$5,018 83¢ $-5021 -$3 10-05 02:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,500 92¢ $4.6K +$75 10-12 21:56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -13,971 -$3,100 18¢ $-2550 +$550 10-11 00:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2,500 -$2,098 85¢ $-2124 -$26 09-24 12:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -3,000 -$1,320 66¢ $-1995 -$675 07-21 22:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,000 -$1,716 87¢ $-1741 -$25 10-06 16:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,692 82¢ $-1639 +$53 10-03 18:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,500 -$1,287 16¢ $-1196 +$91 10-02 07:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,560 34¢ $-1005 +$555 05-27 05:33
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,041 $1,000 96¢ $998 -$2 10-13 13:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,017 -$974 17¢ $-996 -$22 10-13 13:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$396 15¢ $-376 +$19 09-28 07:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$292 18¢ $-361 -$69 10-19 16:33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4,000 -$800 8¢ $-340 +$460 05-20 18:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$286 13¢ $-259 +$27 10-05 21:39
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +107 $100 93¢ $100 +$0 10-13 13:28
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +103 $100 96¢ $99 -$1 10-13 13:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $34 97¢ $96 +$63 09-16 23:57
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +25 $22 86¢ $21 $0 10-26 20:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 09-08 02:56
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 09-06 11:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 -$14 98¢ $1 +$15 09-27 19:21
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +1 -$16 97¢ $1 +$17 10-09 07:08
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$17 64¢ $0 +$17 07-09 16:44