Realized P&L
+$165
Unrealized P&L
+$434
Hit rate
89.7%
Resolved
234
Trades
2,311
lifetime
Volume
$1.45M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$629
Open exposure
$75.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-31 19:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
54% 96% -$226
Politics
29% 92% -$695
Sports
14% 93% +$958
Crypto
2% 100% +$65
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -24,315 -$11,942 61¢ $-14893 -$2,950 10-05 23:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -27,270 -$13,112 39¢ $-10567 +$2,545 10-22 15:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,444 $7,288 94¢ $7.0K -$254 10-06 08:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7,500 -$6,160 83¢ $-6259 -$99 10-14 17:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -7,000 -$5,601 82¢ $-5708 -$108 10-06 16:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -6,017 -$5,018 84¢ $-5057 -$39 10-05 02:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,500 94¢ $4.7K +$225 10-12 21:56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -13,971 -$3,100 18¢ $-2578 +$522 10-11 00:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,450 $2,410 99¢ $2.4K +$15 10-31 19:20
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2,203 $2,187 99¢ $2.2K -$1 10-29 13:43
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -3,000 -$1,320 72¢ $-2145 -$825 07-21 22:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2,500 -$2,098 85¢ $-2120 -$22 09-24 12:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,000 -$1,716 87¢ $-1747 -$31 10-06 16:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,692 79¢ $-1589 +$103 10-03 18:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,500 -$1,287 17¢ $-1241 +$46 10-02 07:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,041 $1,000 98¢ $1.0K +$15 10-13 13:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,017 -$974 16¢ $-960 +$14 10-13 13:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +868 $867 100¢ $867 $0 10-31 19:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,560 29¢ $-855 +$705 05-27 05:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$292 21¢ $-411 -$119 10-19 16:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$396 15¢ $-380 +$16 09-28 07:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$286 13¢ $-253 +$33 10-05 21:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4,000 -$800 6¢ $-220 +$580 05-20 18:27
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +107 $100 93¢ $100 +$0 10-13 13:28
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +103 $100 96¢ $99 -$1 10-13 13:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $34 97¢ $97 +$63 09-16 23:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 $0 10-29 13:40
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +25 $22 93¢ $23 +$2 10-26 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +105 $23 20¢ $20 -$3 10-28 17:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$3 09-08 02:56