Realized P&L (90d)
+$655
Unrealized P&L
+$170
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved (90d)
62
Trades (90d)
993
2,265 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$501.7K
$1.44M lifetime
Avg / trade
$634
Open exposure
$74.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
55% 96% -$234
Politics
29% 92% -$696
Sports
14% 93% +$958
Crypto
2% 100% +$65
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -24,315 -$11,942 61¢ $-14747 -$2,804 10-05 23:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -27,270 -$13,112 39¢ $-10731 +$2,381 10-22 15:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,444 $7,288 94¢ $7.0K -$328 10-06 08:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7,500 -$6,160 83¢ $-6244 -$84 10-14 17:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -7,000 -$5,601 80¢ $-5635 -$34 10-06 16:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -6,017 -$5,018 84¢ $-5051 -$33 10-05 02:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,500 94¢ $4.7K +$175 10-12 21:56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -13,971 -$3,100 20¢ $-2724 +$376 10-11 00:04
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2,203 $2,187 99¢ $2.2K +$4 10-29 13:43
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -3,000 -$1,320 72¢ $-2175 -$855 07-21 22:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2,500 -$2,098 85¢ $-2114 -$16 09-24 12:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,967 98¢ $2.0K -$7 10-29 13:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,000 -$1,716 88¢ $-1753 -$37 10-06 16:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,692 81¢ $-1615 +$77 10-03 18:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,500 -$1,287 17¢ $-1256 +$31 10-02 07:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,041 $1,000 97¢ $1.0K +$9 10-13 13:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,017 -$974 16¢ $-966 +$8 10-13 13:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,560 28¢ $-825 +$735 05-27 05:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$396 15¢ $-386 +$9 09-28 07:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$292 19¢ $-385 -$93 10-19 16:33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4,000 -$800 6¢ $-260 +$540 05-20 18:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$286 12¢ $-247 +$39 10-05 21:39
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +107 $100 93¢ $100 +$0 10-13 13:28
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +103 $100 96¢ $99 -$1 10-13 13:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $34 96¢ $96 +$62 09-16 23:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 $0 10-29 13:40
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +25 $22 92¢ $23 +$2 10-26 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +105 $23 18¢ $19 -$4 10-28 17:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 09-08 02:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 -$14 98¢ $1 +$15 09-27 19:21