Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$683

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

35,429

lifetime

Volume

$2.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$10.5K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

57% 91% +$13,141

Politics

40% 91% +$15,887

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+3,830	$3,607	97¢	$3.7K	+$95	10-28 14:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+1,831	$2,667	97¢	$1.8K	-$899	10-29 05:19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+1,552	$1,521	99¢	$1.5K	+$12	10-29 05:16
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	+1,354	$1,290	99¢	$1.3K	+$52	10-29 00:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+1,184	$1,161	100¢	$1.2K	+$18	10-28 22:34
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	+799	$783	98¢	$781	-$2	10-28 23:14
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	+119	$117	99¢	$118	+$1	10-28 16:21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-1,218	-$75	3¢	$-36	+$39	07-28 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	3,729	$279.8K	205,532	96,421	+109,111	Yes	+$8,386	01-23 06:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1,575	$276.8K	151,342	149,511	+1,831	open	—	10-29 05:19
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4,691	$230.3K	167,590	70,528	+97,063	No	+$3,029	02-08 23:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1,599	$142.0K	73,917	73,304	+614	No	+$245	09-30 18:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1,676	$136.9K	94,534	47,170	+47,364	No	+$1,442	04-01 04:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1,428	$131.1K	94,772	47,966	+46,806	No	+$3,392	04-01 02:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,820	$130.7K	94,456	39,783	+54,673	Yes	+$1,571	01-28 18:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,210	$114.7K	118,858	51,131	+67,727	No	-$330	03-03 18:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	837	$95.5K	68,653	28,423	+40,230	Yes	+$607	03-18 18:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	678	$93.4K	50,161	45,064	+5,098	No	+$176	06-27 15:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1,025	$85.1K	67,913	23,733	+44,180	No	+$3,462	03-15 19:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2,102	$78.7K	40,831	39,278	+1,552	open	—	10-29 05:16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1,285	$70.8K	39,420	35,589	+3,830	open	—	10-28 14:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	807	$70.6K	51,579	19,754	+31,825	No	+$333	05-30 11:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	644	$67.7K	50,751	18,603	+32,148	No	+$820	03-06 18:43
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	595	$64.6K	48,809	18,313	+30,496	No	+$1,035	02-25 03:02
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	930	$63.1K	44,339	25,115	+19,224	No	+$1,779	03-08 13:40
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	873	$51.8K	35,040	17,731	+17,309	No	+$364	02-17 21:32
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	940	$44.3K	28,193	17,150	+11,042	No	+$284	02-19 22:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	317	$42.8K	30,192	13,019	+17,173	No	+$183	04-30 22:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	234	$36.7K	19,111	17,927	+1,184	open	—	10-28 22:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	256	$34.2K	23,539	11,893	+11,646	No	+$230	02-27 04:33
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	332	$30.8K	20,971	10,237	+10,734	No	+$150	03-15 04:45
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	422	$29.7K	21,578	8,682	+12,895	No	+$229	02-16 21:17
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	269	$28.1K	19,534	9,501	+10,033	No	+$98	02-24 05:00
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	485	$27.7K	18,237	9,668	+8,569	No	+$58	01-31 18:12
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	331	$26.6K	17,780	9,229	+8,551	No	+$116	02-16 02:45
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	202	$23.4K	13,403	10,952	+2,451	No	+$93	02-20 14:37
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	204	$21.1K	16,445	4,759	+11,686	Yes	+$50	02-01 03:17
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	825	$16.9K	9,429	8,075	+1,354	open	—	10-29 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:19:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,141	97¢	$1,102	0xba17d6…
10-29 05:16:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x53cfc6…
10-29 04:24:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5104c…
10-29 03:38:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3563aa…
10-29 00:53:56	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	177	99¢	$175	0xf8522c…
10-28 23:32:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x603d2f…
10-28 23:31:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc86a9e…
10-28 23:14:17	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x78e7e3…
10-28 23:01:11	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0xfed3e2…
10-28 22:34:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb38219…
10-28 22:32:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2559c7…
10-28 22:32:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa2ff2d…
10-28 21:01:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdc1e3a…
10-28 18:32:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	170	96¢	$164	0x69457e…
10-28 18:18:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x4d53ac…
10-28 16:23:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xfbcbe1…
10-28 16:21:55	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9a22e2…
10-28 16:16:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x028535…
10-28 14:54:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x266355…
10-28 14:15:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea15c7…
10-28 14:06:25	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd1885d…
10-28 14:02:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x891177…
10-28 14:02:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2cf560…
10-28 13:54:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	194	96¢	$187	0x37fd72…
10-28 08:51:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6bbc0f…
10-28 07:34:31	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2b8cd5…
10-28 05:23:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4de8bf…
10-28 05:22:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x858390…
10-28 04:51:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xda0915…
10-28 03:33:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x81c25e…
10-28 03:18:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x751ec3…
10-28 03:15:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x4d781f…
10-28 03:00:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x303fcd…
10-28 02:35:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe21e20…
10-28 02:21:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb1955…
10-28 02:20:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7adff2…
10-28 02:19:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x25a270…
10-28 02:12:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x6cc900…
10-27 23:56:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd04c4f…
10-27 23:53:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49df9a…
10-27 23:16:24	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x7cad2f…
10-27 21:17:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0ce80b…
10-27 20:49:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24d144…
10-27 18:28:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x122d54…
10-27 18:14:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x5d34e6…
10-27 17:11:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb62db9…
10-27 16:38:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	402	100¢	$400	0x7a7001…
10-27 16:18:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0xbbe418…
10-27 16:06:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$399	0xfb97e6…
10-27 15:18:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc655a9…
10-27 14:46:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	466	99¢	$461	0x7e00c3…
10-27 14:26:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x41014c…
10-27 13:27:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5fcf7b…
10-27 12:07:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$359	0x4031c6…
10-27 12:02:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x447176…
10-27 12:00:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xda3b0f…
10-27 12:00:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf54c45…
10-27 12:00:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9c9d8a…
10-27 12:00:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f2610…
10-27 10:18:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	172	98¢	$168	0x39427b…
10-27 09:40:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65f32e…
10-27 08:55:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x299c0a…
10-27 07:50:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb5de74…
10-27 07:44:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a1f79…
10-27 07:44:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$168	0x81405b…
10-27 07:42:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff396c…
10-27 07:39:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cfdcb…
10-27 07:38:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e4232…
10-27 07:22:47	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x039ec0…
10-27 07:19:14	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7f1ab…
10-27 06:33:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xb1274f…
10-27 06:28:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf364e7…
10-27 06:17:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x38f93f…
10-27 05:52:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x696c87…
10-27 05:39:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xf0b959…
10-27 04:16:02	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$112	0x214cda…
10-27 04:12:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$106	0xbaabb6…
10-27 04:04:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	197	98¢	$193	0xe047c0…
10-27 04:02:35	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xdf42ef…
10-27 03:56:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5cefe0…
10-27 03:55:32	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xbe4011…
10-27 03:39:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x450917…
10-27 03:17:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xc71422…
10-27 03:16:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x403eea…
10-27 03:15:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x47f2e8…
10-27 03:12:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	301	96¢	$289	0x7faee0…
10-27 02:32:21	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x2bbea6…
10-27 02:12:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	366	100¢	$364	0x384c65…
10-27 02:11:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	366	99¢	$363	0x5d4524…
10-27 00:44:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x143ff4…
10-26 23:47:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe9b3a8…
10-26 23:38:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x3764c5…
10-26 23:34:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7988b3…
10-26 23:32:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x893c7b…
10-26 23:31:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	365	99¢	$361	0x743dcc…
10-26 23:31:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	491	99¢	$485	0x7989f7…
10-26 23:25:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	118	98¢	$115	0x8654e7…
10-26 23:23:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdb14d9…
10-26 22:59:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x8f8ed7…
10-26 21:23:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x58c854…