Realized P&L
-$4.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$366
Hit rate
92.8%
Resolved
21
Trades
508
lifetime
Volume
$204.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$402
Open exposure
$30.4K
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-18 02:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
75%
58%
+$288
Crypto
15%
100%
+$35
Politics
5%
50%
-$5,729
Sports
5%
100%
+$1,163
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +22,746 | $20,729 | 97¢ | $22.0K | +$1,300 | 06-02 07:07 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -8,598 | -$7,136 | 96¢ | $-8263 | -$1,126 | 05-11 03:31 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | +2,000 | $480 | 4¢ | $90 | -$390 | 05-29 12:35 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | +0 | $150 | 94¢ | $0 | -$150 | 06-18 02:34 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 36 | $64.8K | 33,000 | 33,000 | +0 | No | +$231 | 06-12 09:11 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 3 | $59.6K | 30,000 | 30,000 | +0 | No | +$300 | 05-30 20:24 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 32 | $20.7K | 22,746 | 0 | +22,746 | open | — | 06-02 07:07 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 17 | $9.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$35 | 06-16 14:55 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | 29 | $8.5K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | open | — | 06-18 02:34 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 83 | $7.7K | 9,849 | 7,856 | +1,993 | Yes | +$1,140 | 05-30 18:49 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 15 | $7.1K | 0 | 8,598 | -8,598 | open | — | 05-11 03:31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 6 | $4.4K | 7,250 | 0 | +7,250 | Yes | -$4,380 | 05-18 21:47 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? | 4 | $3.7K | 5,003 | 0 | +5,003 | No | +$1,351 | 05-16 13:27 |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16? | 29 | $2.7K | 5,538 | 0 | +5,538 | No | -$2,713 | 05-13 20:52 |
| Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election? | 44 | $2.2K | 5,017 | 1,000 | +4,017 | Yes | +$64 | 05-22 08:30 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 14 | $2.0K | 2,363 | 2,363 | +0 | No | +$24 | 05-22 06:53 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | 5 | $1.9K | 3,531 | 3,531 | +0 | Yes | -$141 | 05-30 16:55 |
| Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election? | 10 | $1.5K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | No | +$17 | 05-12 07:33 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 14 | $1.1K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$904 | 05-12 22:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $1.1K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | Yes | -$1,080 | 05-18 14:43 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 7 | $997 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$3 | 05-12 11:59 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $860 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | +$140 | 05-17 19:44 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? | 38 | $820 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | Yes | +$1,180 | 05-14 15:42 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16? | 50 | $680 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | -$680 | 05-13 10:23 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | 4 | $525 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | -$525 | 05-14 17:50 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | 25 | $490 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Yes | -$490 | 05-18 07:16 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 26 | $480 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | open | — | 05-29 12:35 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 7 | $330 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Yes | +$670 | 05-14 23:09 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | 8 | $292 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | -$292 | 05-16 19:56 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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