Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,159

lifetime

Volume

$644.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$556

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 08-02 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 33% $-26,699

Other

49% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$71.0K	82,000	0	+82,000	open	—	04-09 19:18
netanyahu out by march 31 854	43	$59.0K	61,200	0	+61,200	open	—	03-25 12:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	77	$41.6K	56,445	8,000	+48,445	open	—	04-06 01:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	100	$34.5K	33,616	2,091	+31,525	open	—	03-25 12:33
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$32.5K	33,627	0	+33,627	open	—	04-09 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	23	$29.8K	39,187	0	+39,187	open	—	03-23 11:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	20	$29.2K	32,028	0	+32,028	open	—	04-07 20:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$27.0K	46,900	0	+46,900	open	—	04-01 13:03
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	33	$24.6K	26,758	0	+26,758	open	—	03-25 16:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	33	$21.2K	30,159	0	+30,159	open	—	04-10 10:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	17	$18.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-09 18:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$17.8K	20,500	0	+20,500	open	—	04-03 14:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	8	$17.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	$-17,800	04-10 07:47
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	72	$17.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-24 07:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	178	$17.1K	18,000	0	+18,000	open	—	04-10 09:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	17	$15.7K	17,000	17,000	+0	open	—	04-08 12:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	93	$15.2K	11,479	11,478	+0	Yes	+$1,377	04-09 21:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	26	$13.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	07-27 08:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	36	$10.8K	24,000	0	+24,000	open	—	04-09 15:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	13	$10.3K	11,165	0	+11,165	Yes	$-10,277	04-10 09:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$9.7K	11,013	0	+11,013	open	—	03-12 10:12
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	65	$9.2K	7,406	2,296	+5,111	open	—	03-29 12:37
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	15	$8.7K	7,300	1,825	+5,475	open	—	03-24 11:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$8.3K	9,238	0	+9,238	open	—	04-09 15:34
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	6	$7.6K	8,800	0	+8,800	open	—	03-23 11:08
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$7.5K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	08-02 04:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	16	$6.4K	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	03-12 13:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	16	$6.2K	6,624	0	+6,624	open	—	04-09 10:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	50	$5.6K	12,638	0	+12,638	open	—	03-16 05:06
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$4.6K	5,164	0	+5,164	open	—	03-23 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 04:47:38	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	94¢	$7,504	0x16ef3a…
07-27 08:20:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8707d8…
07-27 07:59:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0x20163c…
07-27 07:55:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x95a8c3…
07-27 07:37:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xf1e852…
07-27 07:29:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x64fc59…
07-27 07:19:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x54ee80…
07-27 07:11:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xe0b143…
07-27 07:10:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xfa0961…
07-27 07:10:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,337	91¢	$1,216	0x2a2b89…
07-27 06:13:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	91¢	$320	0x7b820e…
07-27 06:13:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	91¢	$981	0xf058ac…
07-27 05:13:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,161	91¢	$1,057	0xf9db8f…
07-27 05:07:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xf5c742…
07-27 04:34:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	374	91¢	$340	0xc92474…
07-27 04:34:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	91¢	$981	0x2db2a0…
07-27 03:13:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	374	91¢	$340	0xb47010…
07-27 03:13:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	91¢	$981	0xa707b1…
07-27 01:46:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	374	91¢	$340	0xc5a6bd…
07-27 01:45:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	91¢	$981	0xf0512c…
07-27 01:15:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfbb11b…
07-27 00:05:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	91¢	$3,640	0x53c8fe…
07-26 23:34:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	374	91¢	$340	0x9f7797…
07-26 23:34:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	91¢	$981	0x90cde0…
07-26 23:24:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x40a89b…
07-26 22:24:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	374	91¢	$340	0xd8aee9…
07-26 22:24:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	496	91¢	$452	0xfdfcce…
04-16 21:49:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,115	42¢	$468	0x497b5c…
04-16 21:32:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe38511…
04-16 21:29:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x422522…
04-16 20:50:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	755	42¢	$317	0x630816…
04-16 12:06:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	720	42¢	$303	0xa08719…
04-14 07:09:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	1,057	32¢	$338	0xf3c23b…
04-10 12:48:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	244	78¢	$190	0xce9d9d…
04-10 12:48:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	475	78¢	$371	0x8dda05…
04-10 12:48:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x7bc5d2…
04-10 12:48:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	523	78¢	$408	0xa0c829…
04-10 12:48:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	523	78¢	$408	0x902789…
04-10 12:48:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	523	78¢	$408	0x11c066…
04-10 12:48:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	213	78¢	$166	0x329ee3…
04-10 12:47:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	328	81¢	$266	0x01b34b…
04-10 12:47:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	172	81¢	$139	0xfe4cc3…
04-10 11:31:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	681	50¢	$341	0xbf19b6…
04-10 11:06:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x10e256…
04-10 10:51:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	3,000	62¢	$1,860	0xd56134…
04-10 10:18:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xe98405…
04-10 09:59:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,422	92¢	$7,723	0x628277…
04-10 09:57:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xe8db59…
04-10 09:57:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,566	92¢	$1,436	0x0906b1…
04-10 09:45:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,410	0xda1021…
04-10 07:47:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	86¢	$4,300	0x25017b…
04-10 05:37:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$956	0x03016a…
04-10 04:57:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,623	88¢	$4,069	0x9d8760…
04-10 04:56:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	88¢	$96	0xb99ddf…
04-10 04:53:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0xb959af…
04-10 04:46:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xa00cfe…
04-10 04:26:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x9b36f6…
04-10 04:19:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcecde5…
04-10 04:18:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x0f5e5f…
04-10 04:14:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x86de3e…
04-10 04:13:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	88¢	$79	0xfa8567…
04-10 04:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3da0de…
04-10 04:00:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x669b70…
04-10 03:58:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x25b82e…
04-10 03:58:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	389	50¢	$195	0x7da265…
04-10 02:12:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	765	96¢	$735	0x3d94c3…
04-10 02:11:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x85d19c…
04-10 02:10:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0xe31026…
04-10 02:10:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	424	96¢	$408	0x59bd6d…
04-10 02:10:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcb2493…
04-10 02:10:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x4aa6d1…
04-10 02:10:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x38eaab…
04-10 02:10:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x04c5ad…
04-10 02:10:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81b0ad…
04-10 02:10:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2a81b0…
04-10 02:10:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x0f6914…
04-10 02:10:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x00f63e…
04-10 02:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd0304…
04-10 02:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xaa65ce…
04-10 02:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x934937…
04-10 02:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x31e270…
04-10 02:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x04b181…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc488ff…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x9edfe0…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x72f46c…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x43ee10…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x2ad847…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x1ae4d0…
04-10 02:10:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	341	96¢	$328	0x09a80c…
04-10 02:10:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd664fa…
04-10 02:10:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xa9d7bd…
04-10 02:10:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x33e3ac…
04-10 02:10:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x27b049…
04-10 02:10:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x25c51e…
04-10 02:10:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xadae46…
04-10 02:10:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x5e7555…
04-10 02:10:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43e1aa…
04-10 02:10:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x0f0018…
04-10 02:10:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x66e406…
04-10 02:10:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3d274f…