Dark-Well — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$221

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-14 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Sports

52% 44% -$6

Politics

48% 100% +$0

Other

1% 68% -$10

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$5.8K	2,894	2,894	+0	No	-$3	03-23 19:22
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$5.4K	2,691	2,691	+0	open	—	06-15 17:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$2	04-23 19:32
ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	2	$8	12	12	+0	Luke Riley	$0	03-20 16:44
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-14 20:51
will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	06-14 20:52
ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	2	$6	8	8	+0	Michael Page	$0	03-20 16:44
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-17 00:36
bun ein koe 2026 04 05 koe	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	04-02 23:41
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	-$5	05-13 09:09
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	04-02 23:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-28 13:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$4	9	9	+0	Yes	-$3	04-23 19:32
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	06-25 00:03
ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	2	$3	4	4	+0	Mason Jones	$0	03-20 16:44
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	03-12 21:50
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-03 04:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-28 13:15
bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	06-17 00:35
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 bay	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	03-12 21:47
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	03-07 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-16 00:10
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	47	0	+47	Yes	-$3	06-25 00:02
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-19 08:51
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-12 05:06
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	08-12 05:03
sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-07 14:55
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	06-25 00:02
val ns1 nrg 2026 03 13	1	$2	4	0	+4	Nongshim RedForce	-$2	03-12 21:49
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-07 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 08:30:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x215624…
09-16 00:11:19	will bitcoin reach 88k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ddce9…
09-16 00:10:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4c52cc…
09-09 05:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x15f7aa…
09-03 06:23:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x706f96…
09-03 06:21:33	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5e8050…
08-27 15:57:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc26b11…
08-19 08:51:36	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfbc6ba…
08-12 05:06:01	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdbe1c1…
08-12 05:03:57	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb25b58…
08-07 09:29:30	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd42c03…
07-21 23:30:34	will bitcoin reach 72k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x84d170…
06-25 00:03:44	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x96d06a…
06-25 00:02:55	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x0e8502…
06-25 00:02:10	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x1eb1b3…
06-17 00:36:19	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x67b771…
06-17 00:35:05	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf100e2…
06-15 17:46:40	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1,352	100¢	$1,349	0xdc0713…
06-15 17:15:31	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,352	100¢	$1,350	0x3df8d0…
06-15 16:58:24	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1,339	100¢	$1,337	0x3bd4af…
06-15 16:10:49	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,339	100¢	$1,338	0xe39ff9…
06-14 20:52:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa563f6…
06-14 20:51:51	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf36a23…
06-10 15:10:15	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x8b12c9…
06-10 15:09:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb66397…
06-03 04:42:19	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xee926b…
05-28 13:16:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x06339e…
05-28 13:15:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xedb5c5…
05-28 13:15:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8ef794…
05-13 09:09:49	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdbdf7f…
05-13 09:04:45	Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x098eb6…
04-23 19:32:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9f4479…
04-23 19:32:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4b2bdc…
04-08 09:40:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x43929f…
04-08 09:39:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x4d80ea…
04-02 23:42:25	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x99ce53…
04-02 23:41:05	bun ein koe 2026 04 05 koe	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x4d5f92…
03-23 19:22:17	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2,894	100¢	$2,888	0xa8c774…
03-23 18:09:19	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2,894	100¢	$2,891	0x44dd56…
03-20 16:44:39	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Axel Sola	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x6e0016…
03-20 16:44:21	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xbd1376…
03-20 16:44:01	ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	Michael Aswell	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x1938a7…
03-20 03:58:09	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Axel Sola	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6e2b2e…
03-20 03:56:51	ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	Michael Aswell	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x289a4a…
03-20 03:56:05	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf9b36f…
03-12 21:51:07	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe2742c…
03-12 21:50:03	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xb9ef75…
03-12 21:49:21	val ns1 nrg 2026 03 13	NRG	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x86fa66…
03-12 21:47:39	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 bay	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2f2262…
03-07 14:55:33	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x84be2b…
03-07 14:54:57	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0ddf10…