Unpleasant-Miracle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.72K

Unrealized P&L

+$63

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

620

Trades

18,400

lifetime

Volume

$261.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$36

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Sports

36% 68% +$1,887

Other

35% 52% +$2,382

Politics

22% 52% -$2,042

Crypto

8% 57% +$414

Tech

0% 67% +$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+1,784	-$26	2¢	$36	+$61	10-27 22:14
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+437	-$1	0¢	$1	+$1	10-27 17:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	706	$28.9K	214,322	221,984	-7,662	No	+$543	07-06 20:24
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	546	$16.1K	33,458	58,256	-24,798	No	+$10,528	07-19 21:35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	159	$12.3K	1,110	28,130	-27,020	Yes	-$15,325	07-15 20:48
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	337	$12.3K	30,142	30,826	-684	No	+$924	03-31 18:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	379	$11.3K	44,067	43,313	+754	Yes	-$1,484	03-03 21:49
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	370	$9.3K	37,595	34,243	+3,352	Yes	-$18	03-30 18:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	269	$9.1K	44,281	44,281	+0	No	+$480	07-15 20:43
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	176	$7.1K	0	15,500	-15,500	No	+$7,066	07-25 06:31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	228	$6.9K	37,231	35,207	+2,025	No	+$175	07-14 20:51
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	297	$6.1K	17,719	28,759	-11,040	No	+$3,308	10-26 20:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	268	$5.6K	36,103	38,505	-2,402	Yes	-$2,086	04-07 21:30
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	233	$5.1K	90,758	91,573	-815	Yes	+$376	03-24 21:50
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	421	$4.9K	18,409	40,027	-21,618	No	+$2,690	07-11 21:10
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	210	$4.7K	13,138	14,670	-1,532	No	+$250	04-23 17:57
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	381	$4.7K	111	11,206	-11,095	Yes	-$6,461	10-24 08:28
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	156	$4.5K	5,554	16,381	-10,827	No	+$3,863	07-24 15:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	132	$4.3K	5,378	5,378	+0	No	+$206	04-15 21:16
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	136	$3.7K	85,540	54,922	+30,618	Yes	+$166	03-23 22:34
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	170	$3.6K	17,125	19,650	-2,525	No	+$415	03-31 17:22
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	262	$3.4K	12,538	39,558	-27,020	No	+$2,062	07-15 20:59
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	101	$3.0K	27,108	27,108	+0	No	+$72	07-11 21:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	131	$2.9K	10,880	10,991	-111	No	-$21	04-21 19:59
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	206	$2.8K	128,601	148,703	-20,102	Yes	+$144	03-11 05:43
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	142	$2.6K	7,877	7,885	-7	Yes	+$105	04-16 19:49
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	79	$2.6K	0	16,500	-16,500	Yes	-$13,880	07-25 06:53
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	130	$2.2K	4,322	18,596	-14,274	No	+$2,145	07-25 15:59
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	178	$2.0K	38,198	38,198	+0	No	+$23	06-15 16:19
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	112	$2.0K	122,572	117,849	+4,723	No	-$81	07-03 00:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	133	$2.0K	11,349	8,880	+2,469	Yes	+$35	06-21 11:23
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	238	$1.8K	51,678	51,678	+0	No	+$88	06-26 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:14:56	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	595	2¢	$12	0x0ba22d…
10-27 22:04:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,607	2¢	$37	0x639d84…
10-27 22:03:57	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x5605f2…
10-27 22:03:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x68212f…
10-27 22:03:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xd2d521…
10-27 22:03:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$4	0xd23b38…
10-27 22:03:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$3	0x637630…
10-27 22:03:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x590441…
10-27 21:43:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0x940ced…
10-27 21:39:02	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	162	0¢	$1	0x94a867…
10-27 21:30:38	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	525	0¢	$2	0x0c5244…
10-27 21:28:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	626	2¢	$14	0xfae1f3…
10-27 21:27:44	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	784	2¢	$18	0xb77eaa…
10-27 21:23:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xd62694…
10-27 21:20:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x2ded24…
10-27 21:20:11	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x7e6cf9…
10-27 21:14:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,174	3¢	$32	0x0f7e03…
10-27 20:35:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,624	2¢	$36	0xe10441…
10-27 20:33:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	714	3¢	$19	0xde6661…
10-27 20:33:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,058	2¢	$22	0x0ce37f…
10-27 20:25:53	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	714	2¢	$15	0x1e6a1e…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x65fa1a…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6419b3…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x529408…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4bb21d…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4573a1…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4248e9…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x40b13a…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x38973a…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e3c10…
10-27 20:24:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	236	3¢	$7	0x81c594…
10-27 20:23:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3f0031…
10-27 20:23:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x22b6fa…
10-27 20:23:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9cc13b…
10-27 20:23:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x5129da…
10-27 20:23:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3fcc2b…
10-27 20:21:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,264	2¢	$30	0x28cb6d…
10-27 20:15:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	403	2¢	$10	0x9f8e4b…
10-27 20:05:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$8	0x93e0ee…
10-27 19:56:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	538	2¢	$9	0xfc7c84…
10-27 19:56:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x841c92…
10-27 19:52:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	347	2¢	$7	0xebddba…
10-27 19:49:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0xa4db8f…
10-27 19:49:27	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$5	0x7c45a2…
10-27 19:49:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x9b63c1…
10-27 19:48:41	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	845	2¢	$17	0xbc0eff…
10-27 19:48:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x3fceff…
10-27 19:48:24	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$4	0xf1c505…
10-27 19:48:12	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xb756fa…
10-27 19:48:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	777	2¢	$16	0x8d4bf6…
10-27 19:45:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	324	3¢	$9	0x757e4e…
10-27 19:43:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0xd0dfb3…
10-27 19:43:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xb76906…
10-27 19:37:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	389	2¢	$7	0xafa74d…
10-27 19:35:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x90fe32…
10-27 19:32:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	952	2¢	$22	0xb2d81d…
10-27 19:28:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x406021…
10-27 19:27:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	694	2¢	$16	0x446a0b…
10-27 19:06:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	556	2¢	$9	0x83c7fb…
10-27 18:17:59	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$4	0xdfc052…
10-27 18:13:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,121	2¢	$40	0x35199c…
10-27 18:08:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x32b266…
10-27 18:08:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x6849f9…
10-27 18:07:54	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe5a75c…
10-27 18:02:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,250	2¢	$30	0x70791f…
10-27 17:31:30	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x0e43ff…
10-27 17:26:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	417	2¢	$8	0x2a6222…
10-27 17:21:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	556	2¢	$11	0x7f2094…
10-27 17:20:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$3	0x8b1611…
10-27 17:19:57	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x920c80…
10-27 17:17:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$44	0x37b6c9…
10-27 17:16:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xdb2e4c…
10-27 17:16:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x953d3b…
10-27 17:15:14	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0x37627e…
10-27 16:24:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$7	0x6e2f0a…
10-27 16:10:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	291	2¢	$5	0x5c4669…
10-27 16:07:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,631	2¢	$29	0x0ad57d…
10-27 15:31:11	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x6b82ff…
10-27 15:19:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,875	2¢	$43	0x5875b2…
10-27 14:59:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$24	0xce1af9…
10-27 14:59:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$4	0xb16863…
10-27 14:52:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xd863a1…
10-27 14:48:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,576	2¢	$24	0xa7cfb9…
10-27 14:46:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$2	0xd3ee5c…
10-27 14:44:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf99ed7…
10-27 14:44:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea98f3…
10-27 14:44:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x668bdf…
10-27 14:44:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7fb543…
10-27 14:43:47	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe0c038…
10-27 14:43:47	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1ac64f…
10-27 14:43:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xef5fc4…
10-27 14:43:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdd2c73…
10-27 14:43:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcbae1e…
10-27 14:43:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5438c2…
10-27 14:42:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe15e3e…
10-27 14:42:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa4f388…
10-27 14:42:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x962e84…
10-27 14:42:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x71cfac…
10-27 14:42:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6e419b…
10-27 14:42:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f14df…