Realized P&L
+$68.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.26K
Hit rate
90.3%
Resolved
100,151
Trades
581,523
lifetime
Volume
$10.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.14M
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-01 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Other
72% 68% +$62,462
Politics
22% 83% +$2,337
Sports
6% 93% +$4,013
Tech
1% 78% -$533
Crypto
0% 56% -$218
Pop-Culture
0% 87% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 75345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +276,321 $187,486 72¢ $197.6K +$10,084 10-31 16:25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +157,191 $145,360 94¢ $148.5K +$3,186 10-31 05:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +183,452 $123,835 70¢ $129.3K +$5,498 10-31 20:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +276,321 $88,838 28¢ $76.0K -$12,849 10-31 16:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +183,452 $59,618 30¢ $54.1K -$5,499 10-31 20:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $43,492 99¢ $43.4K -$109 10-30 15:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $42,682 98¢ $43.0K +$329 10-30 15:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +42,845 $42,738 100¢ $42.7K -$43 10-30 15:10
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +43,971 $32,234 82¢ $35.8K +$3,602 10-31 16:37
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +35,307 $32,110 92¢ $32.3K +$196 11-01 02:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $35,116 72¢ $31.7K -$3,441 10-30 15:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +38,877 $31,464 80¢ $31.3K -$169 11-01 03:07
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +53,818 $23,161 52¢ $27.7K +$4,555 11-01 03:15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +36,043 $25,451 74¢ $26.5K +$1,040 10-31 17:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +36,453 $25,990 72¢ $26.4K +$438 11-01 02:38
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +53,818 $30,657 48¢ $26.1K -$4,555 11-01 03:15
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +28,364 $22,253 76¢ $21.6K -$696 10-31 18:44
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +26,679 $19,663 66¢ $17.5K -$2,188 10-31 21:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +25,968 $14,761 58¢ $15.2K +$431 10-30 17:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $9,885 30¢ $12.9K +$3,003 10-30 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,769 $12,129 88¢ $12.2K +$57 10-28 13:30
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +15,240 $10,649 78¢ $12.0K +$1,315 10-31 22:15
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +12,066 $11,112 93¢ $11.2K +$110 11-01 00:41
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +25,968 $11,207 42¢ $10.8K -$431 10-30 17:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +36,453 $10,463 26¢ $9.7K -$803 11-01 02:38
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +36,043 $10,592 26¢ $9.6K -$1,040 10-31 17:20
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +26,679 $7,016 34¢ $9.2K +$2,188 10-31 21:43
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,783 $8,694 99¢ $8.7K +$6 10-30 11:16
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,730 $8,668 100¢ $8.7K +$22 10-30 11:16
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,730 $8,670 100¢ $8.7K +$20 10-30 11:16