Will Podemos win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?
open
Total volume
$309
Trades
39
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$4,215
End date
2026-11-30
First seen
2026-10-22
last 11-03 15:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $222
vs crowd: 4% YES on $280)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $8 | $45 | $37 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $177 | $175 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $47 | $46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | — | $222 | $222 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $33 | $32 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +177 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 11-02 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +124 | $123 | $123 | 2 | 10-22 18:01 |
| Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | +59 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-22 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-22 11:35 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +42 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 10-22 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 11-01 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24c…7fe2 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 11-01 07:40 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 11-01 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-03 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-22 18:01 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-22 18:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 15:33:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5a7aa… |
| 11-03 15:33:45 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe5a7aa… |
| 11-03 15:33:45 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5a7aa… |
| 11-02 18:43:01 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x049ccb… |
| 11-02 18:43:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x049ccb… |
| 11-01 18:41:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3b223… |
| 11-01 18:41:18 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3b223… |
| 11-01 07:41:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd51161… |
| 11-01 07:41:24 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd51161… |
| 11-01 07:40:37 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf8dc0… |
| 11-01 07:40:37 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xbf8dc0… |
| 11-01 07:40:27 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1495b… |
| 11-01 07:40:27 | (anonymous) 0xa24c…7fe2 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xd0ecc3… |
| 11-01 07:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xf1495b… |
| 11-01 07:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0ecc3… |
| 10-31 18:41:16 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0aba1b… |
| 10-31 18:41:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0aba1b… |
| 10-28 22:59:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf892c8… |
| 10-28 22:59:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf892c8… |
| 10-28 08:02:23 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x06b007… |
| 10-28 08:02:23 | Dual-Gopher 0x7e64…1824 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x06b007… |
| 10-22 18:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc93bec… |
| 10-22 18:01:21 | Orange-Many 0xed6a…aeb9 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc93bec… |
| 10-22 18:01:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc93bec… |
| 10-22 18:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc93bec… |
| 10-22 11:35:53 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e2beb… |
| 10-22 11:35:53 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x6e2beb… |
| 10-22 11:35:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e2beb… |
| 10-22 11:35:53 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e2beb… |
| 10-22 08:40:48 | Orange-Many 0xed6a…aeb9 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x68af38… |
| 10-22 08:40:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x68af38… |
| 10-22 08:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x5db0ac… |
| 10-22 08:34:53 | Dual-Gopher 0x7e64…1824 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xae8581… |
| 10-22 08:34:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xae8581… |
| 10-22 08:34:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5db0ac… |
| 10-22 08:34:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbe34d2… |
| 10-22 08:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xbe34d2… |
| 10-22 08:34:47 | Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | BUY | 59 | 91¢ | $54 | 0x2af836… |
| 10-22 08:34:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x2af836… |