Arctic-Kickoff 0xa66790…aaceb3
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
261
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$9.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 22:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57% — —
Politics
32% — —
Sports
10% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? No +2,064 $2,062 100¢ $2.1K $-1 05-10 22:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,673 $-1,401 82¢ $-1363 +$37 05-09 20:39
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No -725 $-723 100¢ $-723 $-0 05-10 22:36
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? No +671 $668 99¢ $668 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No +558 $358 64¢ $358 $-1 05-10 22:38
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? No +330 $330 100¢ $329 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No +277 $274 99¢ $274 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +246 $219 88¢ $218 $-1 05-10 22:33
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -217 $-217 100¢ $-217 $-0 05-10 22:36
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No -212 $-212 100¢ $-212 $-0 05-10 22:35
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No -208 $-207 100¢ $-207 $-0 05-10 22:35
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? Yes +1,581 $199 13¢ $198 $-1 05-10 17:05
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes +200 $195 98¢ $195 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +271 $195 70¢ $191 $-4 05-10 17:05
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No -170 $-165 97¢ $-166 $-1 05-10 17:00
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? No -151 $-151 100¢ $-151 $-0 05-10 22:36
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No -139 $-138 100¢ $-138 $-0 05-10 22:36
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? No +136 $135 99¢ $135 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No +131 $131 100¢ $131 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? No +127 $126 99¢ $126 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 $-0 05-10 17:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -188 $-92 62¢ $-115 $-23 05-10 16:55
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -850 $-99 13¢ $-108 $-10 05-10 17:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -166 $-116 64¢ $-106 +$10 05-10 22:37
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 05-10 22:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes +101 $98 97¢ $98 $-0 05-10 22:37
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? Yes +247 $95 39¢ $96 +$1 05-10 22:37
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Yes +1,596 $97 6¢ $93 $-4 05-10 22:37
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? No -94 $-92 98¢ $-92 $-0 05-10 22:36
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -93 $-89 95¢ $-89 $-0 05-10 17:00