Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,312

lifetime

Volume

$48.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-25 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 50% $-8

Other

44% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	85	$4.4K	3,351	1,959	+1,392	open	—	02-28 19:37
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	27	$2.8K	1,525	1,655	-130	open	—	04-20 14:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	19	$2.5K	1,300	1,350	-50	open	—	05-30 16:00
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	94	$2.3K	808	2,088	-1,280	open	—	07-20 11:23
Kash Patel out by April 30?	41	$2.2K	1,326	1,326	+0	open	—	04-28 19:46
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	33	$2.1K	1,449	1,158	+292	open	—	05-12 09:34
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	61	$1.7K	1,642	1,005	+638	open	—	04-26 08:30
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	25	$1.5K	814	979	-165	open	—	05-31 09:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$1.4K	992	992	+0	open	—	05-23 17:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	6	$1.2K	675	675	+0	open	—	05-30 17:06
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	66	$981	2,094	415	+1,679	open	—	01-28 07:50
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	19	$981	699	499	+200	open	—	06-09 23:20
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	60	$872	523	543	-20	open	—	02-12 17:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$858	550	550	+0	open	—	04-19 12:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$840	572	572	+0	open	—	03-28 08:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	18	$807	560	560	+0	open	—	02-22 14:10
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	10	$706	458	458	+0	open	—	04-20 19:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$693	800	0	+800	open	—	06-30 07:27
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$646	360	360	+0	open	—	05-30 17:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$621	748	245	+503	open	—	04-15 17:21
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	7	$594	330	330	+0	open	—	07-10 21:51
kristi noem out by march 31	15	$546	354	354	+0	open	—	02-16 13:40
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	11	$524	386	386	+0	open	—	01-31 06:48
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	38	$511	720	720	+0	open	—	02-08 12:21
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	14	$489	700	700	+0	open	—	03-20 12:44
will bangladesh jamaat e islami finish with the third most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$487	250	250	+0	open	—	02-11 13:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$483	500	0	+500	open	—	04-12 07:28
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	25	$460	360	430	-70	open	—	02-08 12:20
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	8	$453	300	300	+0	open	—	04-16 15:39
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	10	$431	252	252	+0	open	—	06-06 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:37:31	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x794303…
07-25 08:05:19	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	92	81¢	$75	0xaaafd9…
07-25 07:28:34	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x0db760…
07-21 18:12:43	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x77707c…
07-20 11:23:46	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	199	92¢	$184	0x6ad26b…
07-20 06:46:09	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xec9941…
07-19 14:25:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x825269…
07-19 03:41:40	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x2213e7…
07-18 22:17:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x99b794…
07-18 22:17:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xf51d82…
07-18 22:17:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xca1b73…
07-18 18:54:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd3649f…
07-18 16:00:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x7ff7e1…
07-16 19:01:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xa92732…
07-16 13:57:22	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x6f80c8…
07-15 17:00:29	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x5ef50c…
07-13 10:57:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x7a887c…
07-12 21:13:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x20cc8b…
07-11 21:52:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xef5048…
07-11 21:49:04	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0xb4c57b…
07-11 21:40:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xdb6bc2…
07-11 17:52:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x83ee4a…
07-11 17:49:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe5762a…
07-11 16:14:28	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x0985e8…
07-11 16:09:56	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x312dd2…
07-11 16:09:50	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x981d66…
07-11 16:08:58	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x6dcebd…
07-11 16:08:52	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	45	86¢	$39	0x1db895…
07-11 16:08:47	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xa26204…
07-11 11:32:59	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x7c5a8d…
07-11 04:33:29	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5e0106…
07-10 21:51:40	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xdb628b…
07-10 19:52:11	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xd315fa…
07-10 07:58:47	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0x99a7f8…
07-09 23:07:07	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	259	94¢	$243	0xb60d91…
07-09 22:14:43	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x07dd0e…
07-09 18:03:56	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x7493ff…
07-09 18:03:52	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xbf1bfa…
07-09 17:25:38	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x996e29…
07-09 17:25:04	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xd20d26…
07-09 17:20:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x58fc6e…
07-08 07:52:11	ekrem imamolu released from custody in 2026	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xdb9e13…
07-07 21:51:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x6b60ab…
07-07 06:59:01	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	87	85¢	$74	0xfc7b34…
07-07 06:58:38	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	87	85¢	$74	0x0917dd…
07-06 10:23:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x059ba2…
07-06 10:23:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x1f1004…
07-06 10:22:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x011402…
07-06 10:20:02	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	594	84¢	$500	0x9f7db9…
07-03 20:36:29	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xf527e2…
07-02 22:14:16	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xd6c9af…
07-02 02:04:47	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xe1558e…
07-02 02:03:35	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xeec991…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xe9cadb…
06-29 17:38:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x30d4da…
06-28 19:15:58	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	301	33¢	$99	0x460794…
06-26 11:59:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xf5c452…
06-26 06:08:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe90fa4…
06-26 04:43:05	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc53498…
06-26 03:08:11	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xce247d…
06-26 03:08:10	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xc071bc…
06-26 01:53:53	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xa5c686…
06-26 01:53:53	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5bf774…
06-26 01:38:08	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x00db78…
06-26 01:38:07	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	53	84¢	$45	0x4a0b99…
06-25 13:54:44	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xc0bf1d…
06-25 13:54:41	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x686c84…
06-24 06:49:02	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x7130cc…
06-22 13:51:46	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xeeaeeb…
06-22 13:49:56	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xacb03e…
06-22 07:33:31	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	572	16¢	$91	0x4313b4…
06-21 22:29:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0xc8fa3b…
06-21 22:29:20	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xf756df…
06-21 21:11:32	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x60a339…
06-21 21:11:01	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	151	22¢	$33	0x42320e…
06-21 21:08:44	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x81fd09…
06-21 20:29:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xc0059d…
06-21 20:27:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x254548…
06-21 07:08:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x68cff1…
06-21 07:08:26	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa8f0a1…
06-21 07:04:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	14¢	$9	0x8eb3ed…
06-21 07:01:04	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb24fce…
06-21 07:00:22	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8db014…
06-20 07:03:26	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x46e236…
06-20 06:53:59	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x21fabb…
06-20 06:40:44	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x874400…
06-19 16:32:02	starmer out by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbaa2bb…
06-19 16:26:26	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x649e05…
06-19 15:49:17	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x446871…
06-19 15:48:38	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x526e0e…
06-19 15:47:50	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x0348ca…
06-19 15:47:13	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x73d395…
06-19 15:46:32	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x0b4e27…
06-19 15:31:55	starmer out by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x4c3f86…
06-19 14:20:43	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x1b344e…
06-19 14:11:53	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xf6f4a9…
06-19 14:11:53	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd5139e…
06-19 14:11:53	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x0c7488…
06-19 14:01:59	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6d326e…
06-19 13:59:01	starmer out by october 31 2026	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x0bc538…