Realized P&L
+$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$864
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
237
Trades
4,321
lifetime
Volume
$125.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$5.25K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-27 22:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
55% 49% +$684
Politics
42% 65% +$833
Sports
3% 45% -$61
Crypto
0% 100% +$31
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +5,200 $1,664 60¢ $3.1K +$1,482 10-27 21:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +5,253 $1,548 18¢ $919 -$629 10-27 21:55
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +379 $365 96¢ $365 $0 08-22 20:08
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +4,774 $172 6¢ $282 +$109 10-27 22:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,031 $370 16¢ $170 -$200 10-24 03:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +408 $197 35¢ $144 -$54 10-15 17:33
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2,530 -$3 2¢ $58 +$61 10-26 19:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -150 -$129 39¢ $-58 +$71 10-01 15:26
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,193 $8 3¢ $35 +$27 10-25 18:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +150 $10 12¢ $17 +$8 09-13 15:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +130 $24 12¢ $15 -$9 10-15 16:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $12 70¢ $13 +$0 08-24 06:37
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -10 -$18 90¢ $-9 +$9 07-02 22:14
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +180 $8 4¢ $6 -$2 10-13 12:34
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +18 $7 30¢ $6 -$2 09-11 00:49
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +120 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 09-02 16:18
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +33 $5 9¢ $3 -$2 09-22 22:14
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 08-31 06:29
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-19 07:29
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +10 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-29 14:00
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +42 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 07-08 07:55
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +3 $2 12¢ $0 -$1 08-29 17:51
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 09-11 12:02