Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$161
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,174
lifetime
Volume
$43.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$557
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-09 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% $-8
Other
40%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +200 $46 86¢ $172 +$125 06-09 23:20
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No -171 $-166 81¢ $-138 +$28 06-09 06:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 05-30 23:14
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +60 $50 91¢ $55 +$5 05-31 02:09
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +56 $46 93¢ $52 +$6 06-01 17:02
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -30 $-29 98¢ $-29 $-0 05-28 23:24
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? Yes +55 $10 19¢ $11 +$1 06-08 13:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $13 16¢ $8 $-5 06-01 19:55