Vital-Vision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

2,427

Trades

9,437

lifetime

Volume

$528.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$212

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-05 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 87% -$3,706

Politics

35% 72% -$2,116

Other

16% 81% +$287

Sports

1% 33% +$266

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-216	-$205	98¢	$-212	-$7	06-26 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	71	$13.7K	7,450	7,450	+0	No	+$26	08-05 23:11
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	37	$5.8K	3,271	3,271	+0	open	—	10-05 14:17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$5.5K	2,893	2,893	+0	Yes	+$290	07-20 00:48
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	13	$5.2K	2,801	2,801	+0	Yes	+$104	05-13 10:40
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	49	$5.0K	2,655	2,655	+0	No	+$210	09-18 18:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$4.5K	2,299	2,299	+0	No	+$22	04-27 11:53
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$4.4K	2,808	2,808	+0	Yes	-$486	04-28 10:31
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	19	$4.3K	2,212	2,212	+0	No	+$28	06-05 00:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	8	$4.1K	2,136	2,136	+0	Yes	+$125	07-29 22:52
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	11	$3.9K	2,020	2,020	+0	No	+$66	05-31 21:54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	33	$3.8K	3,401	3,401	+0	Yes	-$70	10-05 14:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$3.7K	3,938	0	+3,938	Yes	+$223	04-07 23:12
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	19	$3.7K	2,018	2,018	+0	No	+$249	06-28 04:41
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	32	$3.5K	1,912	1,912	+0	No	+$54	08-31 20:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	11	$3.4K	1,848	1,848	+0	Yes	+$247	05-13 10:40
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	12	$3.4K	1,901	1,901	+0	open	—	10-05 14:07
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	12	$3.3K	1,740	1,740	+0	Yes	+$136	09-21 17:20
Iran leadership change by December 31?	10	$3.2K	1,851	1,851	+0	open	—	10-05 14:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	23	$2.9K	1,540	1,540	+0	Yes	+$137	08-10 01:34
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	3	$2.9K	1,478	1,478	+0	No	+$22	05-15 11:34
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	20	$2.8K	1,506	1,506	+0	No	+$9	07-02 16:08
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	13	$2.8K	1,436	1,436	+0	open	—	06-28 15:47
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$2.7K	2,506	2,506	+0	Yes	-$261	04-16 09:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	54	$2.6K	1,453	1,453	+0	open	—	10-05 14:28
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	20	$2.6K	1,376	1,376	+0	No	+$58	06-19 14:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	17	$2.5K	1,431	1,431	+0	Yes	+$110	07-31 18:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$2.4K	1,216	1,216	+0	No	+$40	05-27 22:40
Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30?	13	$2.3K	1,309	1,306	+3	No	-$148	09-30 18:52
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$2.3K	1,856	1,856	+0	No	-$941	04-21 21:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	11	$2.3K	1,213	1,213	+0	Yes	+$100	07-30 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 14:35:04	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	57	81¢	$46	0x53ed3c…
10-05 14:34:49	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x30dd99…
10-05 14:34:40	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0xca5a8e…
10-05 14:34:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x3bfd8d…
10-05 14:33:31	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x6bcf2b…
10-05 14:33:20	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x242124…
10-05 14:33:07	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xd400cf…
10-05 14:32:55	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x59195e…
10-05 14:32:43	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x9c6f4a…
10-05 14:32:32	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xf90c31…
10-05 14:32:23	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe8e96a…
10-05 14:32:11	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x676b0d…
10-05 14:32:02	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x18262d…
10-05 14:31:50	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xf15a58…
10-05 14:31:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x42c972…
10-05 14:31:28	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x624d8f…
10-05 14:31:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x066570…
10-05 14:31:02	Will Otzma Yehudit win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0x50a0d7…
10-05 14:30:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	64¢	$55	0xd9ac16…
10-05 14:30:40	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	199	90¢	$180	0xafc348…
10-05 14:30:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	127	91¢	$116	0xdd4403…
10-05 14:29:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x7b5834…
10-05 14:29:08	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xafbf14…
10-05 14:28:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x969ea3…
10-05 14:28:46	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0xf2e4ce…
10-05 14:28:32	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	129	94¢	$121	0x6ab66c…
10-05 14:28:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	97¢	$113	0x61f7a0…
10-05 14:27:58	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	SELL	104	94¢	$97	0x2beee1…
10-05 14:27:37	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	113	82¢	$92	0xdda12c…
10-05 14:27:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	99	83¢	$82	0x58948a…
10-05 14:27:08	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	89	81¢	$72	0x14faef…
10-05 14:26:56	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	106	83¢	$88	0xde508e…
10-05 14:24:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	62	83¢	$52	0x912657…
10-05 14:24:31	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0xbfce9b…
10-05 14:21:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbd14e1…
10-05 14:21:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x6590d8…
10-05 14:21:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xace88d…
10-05 14:20:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x80a243…
10-05 14:20:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x74478b…
10-05 14:20:20	Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xce8c12…
10-05 14:20:07	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa67feb…
10-05 14:19:55	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcfafcb…
10-05 14:19:37	Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x90d4ea…
10-05 14:19:22	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x3aa702…
10-05 14:19:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x3cfdb4…
10-05 14:18:55	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9e23b9…
10-05 14:18:32	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x01df2f…
10-05 14:18:16	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x8b900b…
10-05 14:18:02	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x380536…
10-05 14:17:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd8ccc7…
10-05 14:17:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb35740…
10-05 14:17:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x487886…
10-05 14:17:14	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x95ad90…
10-05 14:17:02	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xc0a8d2…
10-05 14:16:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x5104be…
10-05 14:16:32	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x6595be…
10-05 14:16:20	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x027f83…
10-05 14:16:08	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0xa4ce33…
10-05 14:15:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	95	14¢	$13	0x86486d…
10-05 14:15:46	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x465b9d…
10-05 14:15:32	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xc56680…
10-05 14:15:17	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x4f64b0…
10-05 14:15:04	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1af094…
10-05 14:14:49	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	51	89¢	$46	0x68c2fe…
10-05 14:14:19	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$49	0xb89625…
10-05 14:13:58	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0xdfe5fb…
10-05 14:11:28	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	182	69¢	$125	0xdefc82…
10-05 14:11:13	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	168	93¢	$157	0x421a32…
10-05 14:10:17	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	95¢	$199	0x0f368d…
10-05 14:09:58	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	324	93¢	$301	0xefedda…
10-05 14:09:47	will russia invade another country by december 31 2027	No	SELL	345	75¢	$258	0x55c585…
10-05 14:09:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	241	94¢	$226	0xa6554f…
10-05 14:09:10	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	324	89¢	$288	0x5273e3…
10-05 14:08:32	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	315	95¢	$300	0x2233de…
10-05 14:08:22	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	455	91¢	$415	0x74a625…
10-05 14:08:07	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	875	93¢	$817	0xeed4ee…
10-05 14:07:53	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	974	93¢	$906	0x29ef80…
10-05 14:07:41	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1,851	89¢	$1,647	0xcdeba2…
10-05 14:07:29	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	No	SELL	1,901	88¢	$1,680	0xefd3ea…
10-04 21:53:23	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	149	96¢	$143	0xc95c5e…
10-04 20:37:58	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x00192e…
10-03 21:57:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x368d63…
10-03 21:57:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x34f99c…
10-03 21:55:04	will russia invade another country by december 31 2027	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x22ee89…
10-03 21:52:04	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	220	95¢	$210	0x9ff771…
10-03 21:51:58	Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xa112a1…
10-03 21:50:23	Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x6a1f16…
10-03 21:45:55	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x29707b…
10-03 21:45:31	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2a98c2…
10-03 20:38:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xf0d7d4…
10-03 20:38:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5b6712…
10-03 20:38:05	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x798fe0…
10-03 20:38:01	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x03768c…
10-03 20:37:55	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa7d225…
10-03 20:37:52	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b1d96…
10-03 20:37:50	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa52239…
10-03 20:37:46	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbcf464…
10-03 20:36:17	Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0xd13fc5…
10-03 20:36:01	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x511a72…
10-03 20:30:08	Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x27943b…