Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
76
Trades
3,285
lifetime
Volume
$206.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$3.85K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-30 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 87% $-48
Politics
37% 100% +$71
Other
13% 100% +$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -783 $-775 100¢ $-781 $-6 06-05 00:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +699 $631 86¢ $605 $-26 06-30 16:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -593 $-555 95¢ $-561 $-6 06-26 17:11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -507 $-501 100¢ $-507 $-6 05-29 00:47
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? No -458 $-460 99¢ $-454 +$6 06-12 14:33
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +323 $301 94¢ $302 +$1 06-22 00:57
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -236 $-217 92¢ $-216 +$1 06-25 23:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -184 $-180 100¢ $-184 $-3 06-02 12:29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -172 $-161 90¢ $-155 +$5 06-18 15:43
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -32 $-30 96¢ $-30 $-0 06-28 15:47
Will Alberta join the US? No -28 $-28 98¢ $-28 $-0 06-19 14:33
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? No -25 $-31 100¢ $-25 +$6 06-28 14:20