Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
76
Trades
5,391
lifetime
Volume
$295.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$1.62K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-21 00:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 87% $-48
Politics
32% 100% +$71
Other
12% 100% +$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -593 $-555 96¢ $-567 $-12 06-26 17:11
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -431 $-401 92¢ $-399 +$2 07-10 20:56
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -236 $-217 92¢ $-218 $-2 06-25 23:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +220 $198 92¢ $202 +$4 07-20 23:43
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -172 $-161 94¢ $-162 $-2 06-18 15:43
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -32 $-30 97¢ $-31 $-1 06-28 15:47
Will Alberta join the US? No -28 $-28 97¢ $-28 +$0 06-19 14:33
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-11 94¢ $-10 +$1 07-02 15:46