(anonymous) 0x66cab4…82532d
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$668
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
16
Trades
118
lifetime
Volume
$37.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$319
Open exposure
$15.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-07-29
last 10-29 10:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
47% 45% -$2,158
Politics
32% 100% +$150
Tech
18% — —
Crypto
3% 0% -$162
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,200 $2,024 98¢ $2.2K +$135 07-30 07:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +2,200 $2,002 97¢ $2.1K +$141 07-29 06:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,200 $2,105 97¢ $2.1K +$25 08-04 06:56
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,200 $2,021 94¢ $2.1K +$58 09-21 09:35
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1,500 $1,178 96¢ $1.4K +$254 10-26 13:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +1,000 $937 96¢ $962 +$25 08-24 11:23
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +900 $798 97¢ $876 +$78 09-21 10:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +900 $837 92¢ $832 -$4 10-29 06:37
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +589 $499 94¢ $551 +$51 08-26 12:11
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +550 $512 96¢ $525 +$14 09-03 06:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +500 $433 97¢ $485 +$52 08-21 06:23
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +500 $420 88¢ $442 +$22 09-03 07:16
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +500 $465 88¢ $440 -$25 09-03 07:20
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +500 $332 58¢ $292 -$39 09-03 07:15
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +300 $246 74¢ $224 -$22 09-03 07:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +500 $305 43¢ $215 -$90 08-26 12:14
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? No +76 $62 79¢ $60 -$2 09-04 03:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,000 $64 6¢ $60 -$4 09-16 04:16
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +140 $38 26¢ $37 -$1 10-29 10:43