Pointed-Appearance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,277

lifetime

Volume

$2.62M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$798

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

54% 67% +$15

Politics

43% 57% +$138

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	103	$181.6K	131,478	84,584	+46,894	open	—	03-18 05:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	98	$115.2K	68,558	54,337	+14,221	open	—	03-31 19:21
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	101	$113.0K	124,148	55,142	+69,007	open	—	01-28 11:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	70	$104.1K	61,254	45,820	+15,434	open	—	04-21 02:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	69	$97.3K	58,951	57,674	+1,277	open	—	01-28 11:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	154	$92.8K	110,970	72,017	+38,952	open	—	03-12 05:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	28	$83.7K	63,000	48,000	+15,000	open	—	04-18 12:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	12	$74.6K	37,454	37,425	+29	open	—	02-28 07:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	76	$69.5K	56,767	28,514	+28,252	open	—	02-28 07:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	50	$66.5K	54,415	13,481	+40,935	open	—	05-29 07:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	11	$62.8K	63,604	1,501	+62,103	open	—	02-02 12:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$58.5K	53,048	5,800	+47,248	open	—	06-03 21:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$55.3K	55,535	500	+55,035	open	—	04-08 13:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	35	$52.3K	43,678	11,073	+32,606	open	—	04-01 02:28
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	69	$49.2K	46,454	18,353	+28,101	open	—	02-15 05:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	20	$48.3K	3,879	47,353	-43,474	open	—	02-18 08:39
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$45.4K	35,975	10,000	+25,975	open	—	02-09 04:26
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$45.3K	45,503	0	+45,503	open	—	01-30 11:56
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	21	$43.4K	32,469	11,250	+21,219	open	—	02-09 02:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	94	$41.4K	46,246	25,640	+20,606	open	—	06-15 13:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	29	$40.7K	40,779	0	+40,779	open	—	04-30 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	112	$37.7K	42,492	27,939	+14,553	open	—	06-01 03:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	21	$33.7K	34,125	1,500	+32,625	open	—	05-27 04:01
will the centrist reform alliance win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	27	$32.2K	31,399	1,000	+30,399	open	—	02-08 15:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	25	$31.3K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	05-28 08:10
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$29.6K	25,120	24,762	+358	open	—	02-25 06:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	26	$29.2K	21,500	12,500	+9,000	open	—	05-15 04:31
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	30	$28.8K	16,000	13,000	+3,000	open	—	05-21 03:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$26.2K	20,720	25,327	-4,607	open	—	04-08 08:59
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	20	$25.4K	13,036	13,036	+0	open	—	03-10 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 21:29:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5,000	2¢	$100	0xb228e2…
08-12 19:27:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$100	0x26eef2…
08-12 00:28:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x0b266d…
08-11 23:22:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,500	96¢	$2,402	0x83eb16…
08-11 16:30:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,500	95¢	$2,383	0x100f9d…
08-11 12:35:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,760	0xcf79d0…
08-11 11:01:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xbbd7a4…
08-11 10:39:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	400	91¢	$364	0x265af1…
08-11 10:29:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xa8cc5b…
08-11 10:26:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xa968af…
08-11 07:08:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x1a0243…
08-11 07:07:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x76ba27…
08-10 14:53:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x6eeb1c…
08-10 14:53:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x1bdef7…
08-10 14:23:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x86df04…
08-10 14:22:37	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x5044db…
08-10 11:22:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0x12a20b…
08-10 09:43:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x7e2450…
08-10 07:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	563	11¢	$62	0x74f5f1…
08-10 07:03:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x47ba36…
08-10 07:03:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x0c72ee…
08-10 07:03:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xca7016…
08-10 07:03:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xc9c1f4…
08-10 07:03:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3efe21…
08-10 07:03:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x04abff…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	444	11¢	$49	0x741900…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5332eb…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x4e4ad0…
08-09 21:09:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x92f7e5…
08-09 17:04:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x3bc91e…
08-09 05:16:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0x0cd928…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0xa3e8e8…
08-08 14:42:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,634	83¢	$1,356	0xfbe123…
08-08 14:41:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xdbce06…
08-08 14:39:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,134	83¢	$941	0xf96205…
08-08 12:06:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4,000	10¢	$400	0x5f0031…
08-08 12:05:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4,000	11¢	$440	0xd6cc13…
08-06 13:22:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	834	96¢	$802	0x7dab18…
08-06 13:02:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x4736bc…
08-06 00:52:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x98e361…
08-05 23:56:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	349	0¢	$2	0x49ec12…
08-05 22:56:36	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xb2f5c2…
08-05 22:00:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$1	0xb9b0d6…
08-05 18:43:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xe15cf3…
08-05 18:22:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x085ad9…
08-05 18:18:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xceb4c5…
08-02 05:59:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	192	97¢	$186	0x956e9e…
08-02 05:16:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x37dea7…
08-02 05:16:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	71	97¢	$68	0x342d77…
08-02 05:08:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0xe0409b…
08-02 05:08:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	119	97¢	$115	0x07f0d2…
08-02 05:08:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xc891bb…
08-02 04:12:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x43ff85…
08-02 04:12:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x5780a3…
08-01 04:33:21	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,988	0x3a8925…
07-31 10:29:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	911	94¢	$856	0x80b011…
07-31 08:15:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x3d1718…
07-31 07:54:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	71	94¢	$66	0x13accc…
07-30 16:50:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xd6dd80…
07-23 01:32:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	236	96¢	$227	0x546240…
07-22 12:25:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xaade69…
07-22 08:40:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	229	96¢	$220	0xf1d159…
07-21 17:03:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	136	96¢	$131	0x533c8c…
07-20 13:53:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	336	97¢	$326	0x23c7cd…
07-20 13:53:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	336	97¢	$326	0x8ec66c…
07-20 11:30:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,965	0x5aa853…
07-20 09:46:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	500	82¢	$412	0xfbf506…
07-20 09:00:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	648	100¢	$645	0x2322a2…
07-20 08:58:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,600	100¢	$1,592	0xaf8061…
07-20 08:58:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea11eb…
07-20 08:56:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0x6cb851…
07-20 08:55:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xe16633…
07-20 08:53:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05769d…
07-20 08:51:30	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x575c49…
07-20 08:49:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x721189…
07-20 07:45:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x2519fe…
07-18 15:13:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1,000	12¢	$120	0xd91ca4…
07-18 15:12:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x84b8c9…
07-10 20:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x66545e…
07-10 18:48:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	524	92¢	$482	0x184c64…
07-10 18:47:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	350	92¢	$322	0xf2f62e…
07-10 17:37:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	119	92¢	$109	0x230903…
07-10 17:35:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x306ca7…
07-10 17:19:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x57c7c4…
07-08 04:25:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x591222…
07-08 01:15:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x365e09…
07-08 01:13:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0x84b760…
07-07 21:32:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x5a43ca…
07-04 12:59:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x8dcb3e…
07-04 12:58:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xbae85d…
07-03 03:02:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	97	7¢	$7	0xc52b00…
07-03 03:01:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	97	6¢	$6	0x552293…
07-01 20:45:44	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x66c40d…
07-01 14:26:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	3,200	100¢	$3,184	0xe7fde5…
07-01 14:20:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$21	0xd1ee47…
07-01 11:47:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x2a2ed2…
07-01 08:10:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0x9f7c80…
07-01 07:52:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb15842…
07-01 07:35:26	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0xbc2b0a…
07-01 07:09:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e2326…