Realized P&L
-$7.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
17,136
Trades
147,757
lifetime
Volume
$561.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$727
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-08 20:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
64% 71% -$4,558
Crypto
25% 74% +$92
Sports
10% 60% -$2,118
Politics
1% 69% -$436
Tech
0% 59% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 54% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -51 -$50 99¢ $-51 $0 10-06 18:15
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -52 -$50 97¢ $-50 $0 10-06 18:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -61 -$52 82¢ $-50 +$1 09-22 22:14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -51 -$50 98¢ $-50 +$0 10-06 18:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -53 -$49 95¢ $-50 -$1 10-06 18:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -41 -$37 86¢ $-35 +$2 10-06 18:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -40 -$29 74¢ $-29 -$1 10-06 21:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -30 -$27 94¢ $-28 -$1 10-06 21:28
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -27 -$26 100¢ $-27 $0 10-06 21:29
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -26 -$26 99¢ $-26 $0 10-06 21:29
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -27 -$26 96¢ $-26 +$0 10-06 21:29
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No -132 -$26 18¢ $-24 +$2 10-07 18:01
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -26 -$24 91¢ $-24 +$0 10-06 21:31
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -25 -$23 92¢ $-23 $0 10-06 21:31
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -27 -$21 82¢ $-22 -$1 10-07 18:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$18 100¢ $-19 $0 10-07 18:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$18 99¢ $-19 -$1 10-07 18:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$18 95¢ $-18 $0 10-07 18:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$18 94¢ $-18 $0 10-07 18:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$17 92¢ $-17 $0 10-07 18:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$16 89¢ $-17 -$1 10-08 20:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$16 90¢ $-17 $0 10-07 18:03
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No -16 -$16 99¢ $-16 $0 10-08 20:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -19 -$15 86¢ $-16 -$1 10-08 20:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -46 -$17 32¢ $-15 +$2 10-08 20:39
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -14 -$14 100¢ $-14 $0 10-08 20:40
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -14 -$14 100¢ $-14 $0 10-08 20:41
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -14 -$14 100¢ $-14 $0 10-08 20:41