Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb601…2a5e8a Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved (90d)
85
Trades (90d)
116
8,526 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$797
$29.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$201
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 21:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Politics
54% 66% -$36
Other
36% 60% -$38
Crypto
8% 52% -$20
Tech
1% 71% -$3
Sports
1% 57% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 96¢ $-14 -$1 09-27 00:50
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -15 -$12 94¢ $-14 -$2 05-03 19:55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -13 -$12 98¢ $-13 $0 11-01 19:51
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 06-29 21:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 11-05 18:02
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 11-01 19:51
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 11-05 18:03
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +8 $5 94¢ $8 +$3 08-09 11:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $7 92¢ $6 -$1 06-30 05:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 11-05 18:02
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 06-30 00:27
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 06-30 00:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 07-31 21:28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 06-30 00:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9 $5 62¢ $5 +$1 08-11 11:43
US recession by end of 2026? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-5 -$1 07-23 13:35
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 05-03 19:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 17:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 21:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 21:50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 06-30 00:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 06-30 00:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 05-05 11:52
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 19:55