Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb601…2a5e8a Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$112
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
56.0%
Resolved
1,497
Trades
8,593
lifetime
Volume
$29.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$206
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 15:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Politics
53% 66% -$36
Other
37% 60% -$56
Crypto
8% 52% -$20
Tech
1% 71% -$3
Sports
1% 57% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 96¢ $-14 -$1 09-27 00:50
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -15 -$12 94¢ $-14 -$2 05-03 19:55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -13 -$12 99¢ $-13 $0 11-01 19:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 11-05 18:02
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 06-29 21:44
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 11-05 18:03
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 11-01 19:51
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner PlayTime +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 11-10 15:27
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +8 $5 96¢ $8 +$3 08-09 11:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $7 92¢ $6 -$1 06-30 05:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9 $5 69¢ $6 +$1 08-11 11:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 11-05 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 07-31 21:28
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 06-30 00:27
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 06-30 00:32
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 06-30 00:17
US recession by end of 2026? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-5 -$1 07-23 13:35
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 08-03 10:02
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 05-03 19:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 06-29 21:50
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 06-30 00:26
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 11-05 18:02
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 21:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 11-05 18:03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 +$0 11-05 18:03
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$3 98¢ $-5 -$2 06-30 00:17