Realized P&L
+$334
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
29
Trades
105
lifetime
Volume
$470
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$13
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-01 09:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
77% 20% +$378
Crypto
13% 0% -$30
Politics
10% 0% -$15
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +333 $6 2¢ $7 +$1 10-29 07:32
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +53 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-31 08:10
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +21 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:50
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +84 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-30 17:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-30 13:22
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-30 13:24
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-30 14:31
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 11-01 08:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +40 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-30 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +121 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 10-31 07:45
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-30 13:23