Realized P&L
-$1.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.54K
Hit rate
48.9%
Resolved
1,304
Trades
1,623
lifetime
Volume
$60.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$8.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 10-29 02:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Other
43% 43% -$1,938
Sports
42% 50% +$239
Politics
15% 52% -$144
Crypto
0% 43% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,953 $1,526 68¢ $2.0K +$467 09-16 21:37
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3,977 $1,200 40¢ $1.6K +$411 10-20 00:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2,079 $1,035 66¢ $1.4K +$347 09-11 13:41
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +1,494 $790 60¢ $904 +$114 10-22 16:09
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +993 $320 48¢ $472 +$152 10-24 18:47
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,557 $432 30¢ $459 +$27 10-27 01:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +769 $165 30¢ $227 +$62 09-18 05:15
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +980 $140 16¢ $157 +$17 10-18 02:56
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes +1,219 $410 12¢ $146 -$264 10-26 00:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +769 $100 16¢ $119 +$19 08-14 04:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +250 $50 32¢ $81 +$31 10-11 05:49
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +169 $60 42¢ $71 +$11 10-21 18:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +89 $51 68¢ $61 +$10 09-07 01:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +81 $50 72¢ $58 +$8 08-06 14:57
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +161 $50 30¢ $48 -$2 09-26 17:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -243 -$59 18¢ $-43 +$17 05-18 22:05
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -88 -$34 45¢ $-40 -$5 10-21 17:54
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +123 $30 30¢ $37 +$7 10-21 18:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -43 -$22 82¢ $-35 -$13 07-29 04:38
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +213 $30 16¢ $35 +$5 10-21 18:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -42 -$79 69¢ $-29 +$50 10-21 17:53
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -228 -$40 10¢ $-22 +$18 05-19 23:02
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +37 $20 55¢ $20 +$0 10-28 03:33
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +44 $20 45¢ $20 +$0 10-28 16:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30 $10 43¢ $13 +$3 09-02 15:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $10 82¢ $12 +$2 07-23 04:26
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +478 $20 1¢ $6 -$14 09-02 15:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $20 10¢ $4 -$16 07-23 04:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +59 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 08-23 16:48
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -420 -$88 0¢ $-1 +$88 05-22 06:19